Tampa Bay Rays Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Tampa Bay Rays.
SABRhood team report

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays ranks 9th in run generation and 3rd in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 3 recent risers.

League intelligence# 5 72.3 index
Run generation#9
Composite score 59.5
Pitching#3
Composite score 85.2
Recent play#9
3 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#23
Current state taxed
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsThird base / First baseClearest upgrade lanesSecond base / Shortstop
CMiddle

Catcher

1.3WAR#17 of 30
Top valueNick Fortes1.0 WAR
1BStrength

First base

4.4WAR#4 of 30
Top valueYandy Díaz2.3 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.5WAR#26 of 30
Top valueBen Williamson0.3 WAR
3BStrength

Third base

3.5WAR#3 of 29
Top valueJunior Caminero3.6 WAR
SSNeed

Shortstop

-0.1WAR#26 of 28
Top valueTaylor Walls0.4 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

5.4WAR#7 of 30
Top valueChandler Simpson1.5 WAR
SPStrength

Starting pitching

8.5WAR#10 of 30
Top valueDrew Rasmussen3.2 WAR
RPStrength

Relief pitching

3.8WAR#9 of 30
Top valueBryan Baker1.1 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Tampa Bay Rays’s analytical identity

    Tampa Bay Rays ranks 9th in run generation and 3rd in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 3 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Victor Mesa Jr. is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.274 versus 0.722 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Cole Sulser is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

    Estimated wOBA: 0.210 vs L, 0.427 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Jorge Mateo

Tampa Bay Rays | RHB

58.7
Season PA207OPS0.574Est. wOBA0.251Samplemoderate
Biggest changehard-hit rate -3.87 z

Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 30th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS1st
0.574
Est. wOBA1st
0.251
Strikeout rate8th
30.9%
Walk rate12th
5.3%
Hard-hit rate30th
35.9%
Run value / PA3rd
-0.050
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-1.17 z
Recent 0.352 baseline 0.606
Est. wOBA-1.17 z
Recent 0.163 baseline 0.264
Strikeout rate-2.78 z
Recent 48.1% baseline 28.3%
Walk rate-1.15 z
Recent 0.0% baseline 6.1%
Hard-hit rate-3.87 z
Recent 0.0% baseline 39.8%
Run value / PA-0.32 z
Recent -0.073 baseline -0.047
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 30th percentile. Recent sample: 27 PA; prior sample: 180 PA.
Hitter change profile

Richie Palacios

Tampa Bay Rays | LHB

39.1
Season PA381OPS0.707Est. wOBA0.312Samplestrong
Biggest changehard-hit rate +2.54 z

Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.5 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 11th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS37th
0.707
Est. wOBA42nd
0.312
Strikeout rate77th
17.1%
Walk rate84th
11.5%
Hard-hit rate11th
29.5%
Run value / PA71st
0.026
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+1.50 z
Recent 1.033 baseline 0.679
Est. wOBA+1.47 z
Recent 0.437 baseline 0.302
Strikeout rate+0.49 z
Recent 13.3% baseline 17.4%
Walk rate+1.24 z
Recent 16.7% baseline 11.1%
Hard-hit rate+2.54 z
Recent 52.4% baseline 27.5%
Run value / PA+2.09 z
Recent 0.195 baseline 0.011
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.5 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 11th percentile. Recent sample: 30 PA; prior sample: 351 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays188
  2. 2Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays169
  3. 3Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay Rays108
  4. 4Liam HicksTampa Bay Rays62
  5. 5Nick FortesTampa Bay Rays54
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays40.1%
  2. 2Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays33.9%
  3. 3Ryan ViladeTampa Bay Rays31.4%
  4. 4Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay Rays26.0%
  5. 5Jorge MateoTampa Bay Rays23.7%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Brody HopkinsTampa Bay Rays15
  2. 2Shane McClanahanTampa Bay Rays0
  3. 3Joe BoyleTampa Bay Rays0
  4. 4Bryan BakerTampa Bay Rays0
  5. 5Freddy PeraltaTampa Bay Rays0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Shane McClanahanTampa Bay Rays0.0%
  2. 2Joe BoyleTampa Bay Rays0.0%
  3. 3Bryan BakerTampa Bay Rays0.0%
  4. 4Freddy PeraltaTampa Bay Rays0.0%
  5. 5Garrett CleavingerTampa Bay Rays0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Chandler SimpsonTampa Bay Rays0.309
  2. 2Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays0.291
  3. 3Liam HicksTampa Bay Rays0.287
  4. 4Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay Rays0.277
  5. 5Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays0.275
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays41
  2. 2Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays22
  3. 3Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay Rays22
  4. 4Liam HicksTampa Bay Rays18
  5. 5Victor Mesa Jr.Tampa Bay Rays14
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays0.878
  2. 2Victor Mesa Jr.Tampa Bay Rays0.811
  3. 3Liam HicksTampa Bay Rays0.806
  4. 4Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays0.799
  5. 5Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay Rays0.798
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Drew RasmussenTampa Bay Rays163
  2. 2Ian SeymourTampa Bay Rays155
  3. 3Freddy PeraltaTampa Bay Rays152
  4. 4Griffin JaxTampa Bay Rays115
  5. 5Shane McClanahanTampa Bay Rays106
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Garrett CleavingerTampa Bay Rays29.8%
  2. 2Cam BooserTampa Bay Rays29.2%
  3. 3Ian SeymourTampa Bay Rays29.1%
  4. 4Bryan BakerTampa Bay Rays26.4%
  5. 5Tyler WellsTampa Bay Rays26.1%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Bryan BakerTampa Bay Rays0.509
  2. 2Cam BooserTampa Bay Rays0.525
  3. 3Drew RasmussenTampa Bay Rays0.552
  4. 4Kevin KellyTampa Bay Rays0.565
  5. 5Tyler WellsTampa Bay Rays0.572
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Drew Rasmussen

117.1 IP · 2.91 ERA · 3.2 WAR

2,391 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
CutterFC · 740 pitches 30.9% 90.055th pct 22.8%71st pct 30.1%61st pct 48.8%32nd pct 0.0%100th pct 30.2%79th pct
Four-Seam FastballFF · 716 pitches 29.9% 95.969th pct 22.7%79th pct 38.1%98th pct 52.4%51st pct 0.0%100th pct 38.4%74th pct
SinkerSI · 603 pitches 25.2% 95.368th pct 14.7%78th pct 28.5%66th pct 59.9%75th pct 0.0%100th pct 36.2%72nd pct
ChangeupCH · 332 pitches 13.9% 89.785th pct 33.0%69th pct 39.7%74th pct 30.1%20th pct 0.0%100th pct 30.9%52nd pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge79.1

Cole Sulser

Tampa Bay Rays

Cole Sulser is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.210
vs R0.427

Estimated wOBA: 0.210 vs L, 0.427 vs R.

hitter edge78.8

Liam Hicks

Tampa Bay Rays

Liam Hicks is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.239
vs R0.380

Estimated wOBA: 0.239 vs L, 0.380 vs R.

pitcher edge76.4

Casey Legumina

Tampa Bay Rays

Casey Legumina is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.259
vs R0.369

Estimated wOBA: 0.259 vs L, 0.369 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter92.7

Cam Booser

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability98.9%Matchup100.0%Performance72.6%
Right-handed batter84.1

Bryan Baker

RHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability88.9%Matchup70.0%Performance78.1%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Junior Caminero Junior Caminero is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 91.7
Drew Rasmussen Drew Rasmussen is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 87.1
Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.6
Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 85.2
Bryan Baker Bryan Baker is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 83.9
Tyler Wells Tyler Wells is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 83.0
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.