Tampa Bay Rays Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Tampa Bay Rays.
SABRhood team report

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays ranks 9th in offensive quality and 7th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 1 surge signals.

League intelligence# 3 69.0 index
Offensive quality#9
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.322
Run prevention#7
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.293
Recent form#14
1 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#16
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsThird base / First baseClearest upgrade lanesSecond base / Shortstop
CMiddle

Catcher

1.3WAR#17 of 30
Top valueNick Fortes1.0 WAR
1BStrength

First base

4.2WAR#5 of 30
Top valueYandy Díaz2.2 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.5WAR#26 of 30
Top valueBen Williamson0.4 WAR
3BStrength

Third base

3.4WAR#3 of 29
Top valueJunior Caminero3.5 WAR
SSNeed

Shortstop

0.1WAR#25 of 28
Top valueTaylor Walls0.6 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

5.2WAR#8 of 30
Top valueChandler Simpson1.5 WAR
SPStrength

Starting pitching

7.8WAR#10 of 30
Top valueDrew Rasmussen2.5 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

2.9WAR#16 of 30
Top valueBryan Baker1.0 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Tampa Bay Rays’s analytical identity

    Tampa Bay Rays ranks 9th in offensive quality and 7th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 1 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Chris Roycroft is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.729 versus 1.237 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Cole Sulser is suppressing left-handed batters more effectively

    Estimated wOBA: 0.200 vs L, 0.469 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Chris Roycroft

Tampa Bay Rays | RHP

37.1
Season BF93OPS allowed0.999Est. wOBA allowed0.423Sampledeveloping
Biggest changewalk rate allowed +2.3 SD

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 9th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed0th
0.999
Est. wOBA allowed0th
0.423
Strikeout rate8th
16.1%
Walk rate allowed9th
11.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed13th
43.9%
Run value allowed / PA0th
0.124
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+2.0 SD
Recent 0.729 baseline 1.237
Est. wOBA allowed+2.2 SD
Recent 0.303 baseline 0.518
Strikeout rate+0.1 SD
Recent 17.1% baseline 15.4%
Walk rate allowed+2.3 SD
Recent 4.9% baseline 17.3%
Hard-hit rate allowed-0.5 SD
Recent 46.9% baseline 41.2%
Run value allowed / PA+2.0 SD
Recent 0.017 baseline 0.208
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 9th percentile. Recent sample: 41 BF; prior sample: 52 BF.
Hitter change profile

Jonathan Aranda

Tampa Bay Rays | LHB

30.9
Season PA448OPS0.812Est. wOBA0.352Samplestrong
Biggest changerun value per PA -1.9 SD

Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: declining by 1.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 76th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS77th
0.812
Est. wOBA79th
0.352
Strikeout rate38th
23.2%
Walk rate86th
11.8%
Hard-hit rate71st
44.3%
Run value / PA76th
0.035
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-1.4 SD
Recent 0.477 baseline 0.852
Est. wOBA-1.4 SD
Recent 0.219 baseline 0.367
Strikeout rate-1.5 SD
Recent 34.8% baseline 21.9%
Walk rate-0.9 SD
Recent 6.5% baseline 12.4%
Hard-hit rate+0.3 SD
Recent 46.2% baseline 44.1%
Run value / PA-1.9 SD
Recent -0.129 baseline 0.054
Broadcast read: Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: declining by 1.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 76th percentile. Recent sample: 46 PA; prior sample: 402 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays0.304
  2. 2Chandler SimpsonTampa Bay Rays0.291
  3. 3Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays0.282
  4. 4Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay Rays0.282
  5. 5Nick FortesTampa Bay Rays0.281
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays29
  2. 2Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays14
  3. 3Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay Rays14
  4. 4Cedric MullinsTampa Bay Rays12
  5. 5Ryan ViladeTampa Bay Rays8
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Junior CamineroTampa Bay Rays0.907
  2. 2Yandy DíazTampa Bay Rays0.834
  3. 3Jonathan ArandaTampa Bay Rays0.812
  4. 4Ryan ViladeTampa Bay Rays0.800
  5. 5Victor Mesa Jr.Tampa Bay Rays0.781
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Drew RasmussenTampa Bay Rays104
  2. 2Shane McClanahanTampa Bay Rays88
  3. 3Ian SeymourTampa Bay Rays86
  4. 4Griffin JaxTampa Bay Rays82
  5. 5Nick MartinezTampa Bay Rays68
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Cam BooserTampa Bay Rays34.2%
  2. 2Garrett CleavingerTampa Bay Rays32.3%
  3. 3Ian SeymourTampa Bay Rays28.3%
  4. 4Bryan BakerTampa Bay Rays27.5%
  5. 5Drew RasmussenTampa Bay Rays24.9%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Bryan BakerTampa Bay Rays0.473
  2. 2Cam BooserTampa Bay Rays0.508
  3. 3Kevin KellyTampa Bay Rays0.545
  4. 4Drew RasmussenTampa Bay Rays0.594
  5. 5Shane McClanahanTampa Bay Rays0.601
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Offspeed identity

Shane McClanahan

Tampa Bay Rays | Changeup

79.9
Whiff37.2%
Chase40.4%
Usage29.3%
Average velocity87.0 mph
Offspeed identity

Bryan Baker

Tampa Bay Rays | Changeup

78.3
Whiff33.6%
Chase40.4%
Usage46.8%
Average velocity85.6 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge81.2

Cole Sulser

Tampa Bay Rays

Cole Sulser is suppressing left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.200
vs R0.469

Estimated wOBA: 0.200 vs L, 0.469 vs R.

pitcher edge78.3

Ian Seymour

Tampa Bay Rays

Ian Seymour is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.368
vs R0.252

Estimated wOBA: 0.368 vs L, 0.252 vs R.

pitcher edge76.3

Casey Legumina

Tampa Bay Rays

Casey Legumina is suppressing left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.252
vs R0.390

Estimated wOBA: 0.252 vs L, 0.390 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter89.2

Cam Booser

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability92.8%Matchup100.0%Performance68.3%
Right-handed batter86.6

Bryan Baker

RHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability95.0%Matchup70.0%Performance78.6%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Junior Caminero Junior Caminero is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 90.0
offensive_race Yandy Díaz Yandy Díaz is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 87.4
offensive_race Jonathan Aranda Jonathan Aranda is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 82.9
run_prevention Bryan Baker Bryan Baker is suppressing offense at an elite rate 82.9
run_prevention Drew Rasmussen Drew Rasmussen is suppressing offense at an elite rate 80.7
pitch_identity Shane McClanahan Shane McClanahan’s Changeup: 87.0 mph, 37.2% whiffs 77.9
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.