Run Game
Between the Bases
Who locks down the basepaths?
The Run Game Engine assigns credit to each base running event, to curate a summary of how each player responds to, or controls, the running game.
Every foot between the bases, broken down
Pitcher hold, catcher throwing, runner selection, pitch-count windows, called-pitch framing, and ABS challenge value are scored independently. Low samples are pulled toward league average.
Pitching Leaders in Baserunning Runs Saved
Lower attempt and success-allowed indexes are better; the pitchers who intimidate runners the most.
| Pitcher | Team | Eligible | Attempt index | Success allowed | Runs saved | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies | 1,086 | 88 | 90 | +1.90 | 92.3% |
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | 896 | 71 | 90 | +1.86 | 90.9% |
| Matthew Boyd | Chicago Cubs | 548 | 57 | 89 | +1.60 | 85.9% |
| Elvis Alvarado | Athletics | 315 | 155 | 84 | +1.58 | 77.8% |
| Tyler Rogers | Toronto Blue Jays | 355 | 116 | 95 | +1.52 | 79.8% |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | 875 | 77 | 86 | +1.48 | 90.7% |
| Brady Singer | Cincinnati Reds | 913 | 108 | 95 | +1.43 | 91.0% |
| Noah Schultz | Chicago White Sox | 423 | 159 | 88 | +1.40 | 82.5% |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | 844 | 78 | 95 | +1.29 | 90.4% |
| Drew Anderson | Detroit Tigers | 591 | 136 | 89 | +1.27 | 86.8% |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | 972 | 95 | 91 | +1.21 | 91.5% |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | 895 | 102 | 90 | +1.15 | 90.9% |
| Jesús Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | 930 | 108 | 92 | +1.10 | 91.2% |
| Andrew Alvarez | Washington Nationals | 583 | 114 | 94 | +1.09 | 86.6% |
| Walbert Ureña | Los Angeles Angels | 819 | 81 | 94 | +1.09 | 90.1% |
Catcher throwing and called-pitch framing
The throwing board adjusts for pitchers and runners faced. The framing board estimates extra called strikes from location and context.
Throwing value
| Catcher | Team | Eligible | Attempt | Success allowed | Runs saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | 6,511 | 90 | 94 | +3.59 |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | 3,816 | 88 | 90 | +3.37 |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3,390 | 63 | 88 | +2.97 |
| Miguel Amaya | Chicago Cubs | 2,597 | 87 | 89 | +2.64 |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | 3,236 | 109 | 93 | +2.47 |
| Garrett Stubbs | Philadelphia Phillies | 921 | 131 | 89 | +2.12 |
| Rodolfo Durán | San Diego Padres | 1,314 | 117 | 94 | +2.02 |
| Samuel Basallo | Baltimore Orioles | 2,489 | 83 | 93 | +1.98 |
| Rafael Marchán | Philadelphia Phillies | 1,418 | 89 | 87 | +1.93 |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | 4,567 | 102 | 96 | +1.85 |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | 6,215 | 75 | 95 | +1.79 |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | 5,461 | 89 | 96 | +1.60 |
Framing development score
| Catcher | Team | Called pitches | Extra strikes | Runs* | Score* | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Herrera | St. Louis Cardinals | 11,749 | +247.3 | +30.91 | 110.5 | 98.2% |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | 10,087 | +239.2 | +29.90 | 111.9 | 97.9% |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | 9,885 | +232.5 | +29.06 | 111.8 | 97.8% |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | 7,807 | +224.6 | +28.07 | 114.4 | 97.3% |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | 7,224 | +217.7 | +27.21 | 115.1 | 97.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | 9,845 | +199.2 | +24.90 | 110.1 | 97.8% |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | 8,605 | +171.3 | +21.41 | 110.0 | 97.5% |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | 9,349 | +163.1 | +20.38 | 108.7 | 97.7% |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | 6,752 | +161.5 | +20.19 | 112.0 | 96.8% |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | 7,626 | +158.1 | +19.76 | 110.4 | 97.2% |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | 7,998 | +153.2 | +19.15 | 109.6 | 97.3% |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | 7,381 | +148.1 | +18.52 | 110.0 | 97.1% |
Best adjusted runners
Aggression and success are estimated separately, then combined into stealing run value.
| Runner | Team | Attempts | Adj. attempt | Adj. success | Successes vs exp. | Stealing runs | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | 19 | 2.1% | 93.0% | +2.71 | +1.76 | 96.1% |
| Nasim Nuñez | Washington Nationals | 39 | 5.1% | 87.5% | +2.69 | +1.75 | 94.4% |
| Julio Rodríguez | Seattle Mariners | 22 | 2.8% | 89.9% | +2.67 | +1.73 | 95.2% |
| Bryson Stott | Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 2.0% | 92.3% | +2.54 | +1.65 | 95.8% |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | 31 | 5.4% | 87.4% | +2.44 | +1.59 | 89.9% |
| José Ramírez | Cleveland Guardians | 26 | 3.6% | 88.8% | +2.15 | +1.40 | 94.6% |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | 19 | 1.7% | 89.3% | +2.10 | +1.36 | 96.7% |
| Jackson Chourio | Milwaukee Brewers | 17 | 1.8% | 87.9% | +2.01 | +1.31 | 96.4% |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | 16 | 2.3% | 87.5% | +1.89 | +1.23 | 94.9% |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | 11 | 1.9% | 89.5% | +1.85 | +1.20 | 93.5% |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | 15 | 1.5% | 86.8% | +1.77 | +1.15 | 96.5% |
| Matt McLain | Cincinnati Reds | 17 | 2.5% | 88.8% | +1.74 | +1.13 | 94.7% |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | 9 | 1.3% | 87.8% | +1.63 | +1.06 | 95.0% |
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | 10 | 1.9% | 89.5% | +1.62 | +1.05 | 93.4% |
| Oswald Peraza | Los Angeles Angels | 9 | 1.7% | 88.3% | +1.57 | +1.02 | 93.5% |
Pitcher-specific count windows
Projected offspeed and breaking-ball mix, plate flight time, disengagements, and observed running behavior shape the index. This is a scouting prompt, not a green light by itself.
| Pitcher | Team | Target | Count | Eligible | Window index | Reliability | Research note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Cruz | New York Yankees | Second | 0-2 | 19 | 199 | 38.8% | Best projected count window: 0-2. 48% offspeed and 18% breaking balls across 19 eligible pitches; reliability 39%. |
| Jhoan Duran | Philadelphia Phillies | Second | 0-1 | 32 | 182 | 51.6% | Best projected count window: 0-1. 43% offspeed and 23% breaking balls across 32 eligible pitches; reliability 52%. |
| David Bednar | New York Yankees | Second | 1-2 | 32 | 179 | 51.6% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 43% offspeed and 18% breaking balls across 32 eligible pitches; reliability 52%. |
| Roki Sasaki | Los Angeles Dodgers | Third | 1-0 | 38 | 176 | 55.9% | Best projected count window: 1-0. 41% offspeed and 22% breaking balls across 38 eligible pitches; reliability 56%. |
| Nathan Eovaldi | Texas Rangers | Second | 2-2 | 45 | 172 | 60.0% | Best projected count window: 2-2. 39% offspeed and 21% breaking balls across 45 eligible pitches; reliability 60%. |
| Shota Imanaga | Chicago Cubs | Second | 0-2 | 50 | 171 | 62.5% | Best projected count window: 0-2. 38% offspeed and 24% breaking balls across 50 eligible pitches; reliability 62%. |
| Fernando Cruz | New York Yankees | Third | 1-1 | 26 | 170 | 46.4% | Best projected count window: 1-1. 38% offspeed and 22% breaking balls across 26 eligible pitches; reliability 46%. |
| Kyle Finnegan | Detroit Tigers | Third | 1-2 | 28 | 169 | 48.3% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 39% offspeed and 21% breaking balls across 28 eligible pitches; reliability 48%. |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Third | 1-2 | 57 | 169 | 65.5% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 37% offspeed and 25% breaking balls across 57 eligible pitches; reliability 66%. |
| Peyton Gray | Texas Rangers | Second | 1-1 | 26 | 167 | 46.4% | Best projected count window: 1-1. 37% offspeed and 25% breaking balls across 26 eligible pitches; reliability 46%. |
| Trey Yesavage | Toronto Blue Jays | Third | 0-1 | 32 | 166 | 51.6% | Best projected count window: 0-1. 35% offspeed and 31% breaking balls across 32 eligible pitches; reliability 52%. |
| Shane McClanahan | Tampa Bay Rays | Second | 1-2 | 39 | 165 | 56.5% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 37% offspeed and 23% breaking balls across 39 eligible pitches; reliability 57%. |
| Roki Sasaki | Los Angeles Dodgers | Second | 1-2 | 33 | 165 | 52.4% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 36% offspeed and 27% breaking balls across 33 eligible pitches; reliability 52%. |
| Huascar Brazobán | New York Mets | Second | 2-2 | 23 | 164 | 43.4% | Best projected count window: 2-2. 39% offspeed and 17% breaking balls across 23 eligible pitches; reliability 43%. |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins | Second | 1-0 | 41 | 162 | 57.7% | Best projected count window: 1-0. 35% offspeed and 27% breaking balls across 41 eligible pitches; reliability 58%. |
Official challenge value leaderboard
Batter, catcher, and pitcher roles are shown together. Runs vs. expected compares observed challenge value with the official opportunity model.
| Player | Team | Role | Opportunities | Challenges | Overturn rate | Overturns vs exp. | Runs vs exp. | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | catcher | 5,614 | 78 | 79.5% | +20.33 | +2.41 | 88.6% |
| Matt McLain | CIN | batter | 343 | 6 | 100.0% | +4.38 | +1.79 | 37.5% |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | batter | 259 | 22 | 63.6% | +6.55 | +1.74 | 68.8% |
| Tyler Stephenson | CIN | batter | 295 | 7 | 85.7% | +6.75 | +1.72 | 41.2% |
| Bryce Eldridge | SF | batter | 283 | 21 | 61.9% | +4.43 | +1.58 | 67.7% |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | batter | 376 | 8 | 75.0% | +7.88 | +1.54 | 44.4% |
| Tyler Soderstrom | ATH | batter | 251 | 6 | 66.7% | +4.75 | +1.49 | 37.5% |
| Riley Greene | DET | batter | 319 | 13 | 69.2% | +5.95 | +1.48 | 56.5% |
| Davis Schneider | TOR | batter | 126 | 17 | 82.4% | +9.13 | +1.48 | 63.0% |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | batter | 271 | 10 | 70.0% | +5.53 | +1.44 | 50.0% |
| Brice Turang | MIL | batter | 450 | 7 | 71.4% | +5.43 | +1.43 | 41.2% |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | batter | 337 | 14 | 85.7% | +9.38 | +1.41 | 58.3% |
| Taylor Ward | SEA | batter | 553 | 15 | 53.3% | +5.58 | +1.39 | 60.0% |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | batter | 482 | 24 | 70.8% | +8.07 | +1.39 | 70.6% |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | batter | 452 | 15 | 73.3% | +6.42 | +1.38 | 60.0% |
| Jake Burger | TEX | batter | 337 | 19 | 63.2% | +3.13 | +1.31 | 65.5% |
| Carson Benge | NYM | batter | 410 | 10 | 70.0% | +5.84 | +1.30 | 50.0% |
| Salvador Perez | KC | batter | 260 | 9 | 88.9% | +6.95 | +1.27 | 47.4% |