Run Game
Between the Bases
Who locks down the basepaths?
The Run Game Engine assigns credit to each base running event, to curate a summary of how each player responds to, or controls, the running game.
Every foot between the bases, broken down
Pitcher hold, catcher throwing, runner selection, pitch-count windows, called-pitch framing, and ABS challenge value are scored independently. Low samples are pulled toward league average.
Pitching Leaders in Baserunning Runs Saved
Lower attempt and success-allowed indexes are better; the pitchers who intimidate runners the most.
| Pitcher | Team | Eligible | Attempt index | Success allowed | Runs saved | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Bradish | Baltimore Orioles | 871 | 72 | 91 | +1.86 | 90.6% |
| Matthew Boyd | Chicago Cubs | 486 | 63 | 88 | +1.59 | 84.4% |
| Noah Cameron | Kansas City Royals | 813 | 72 | 84 | +1.57 | 90.0% |
| Tyler Rogers | Toronto Blue Jays | 335 | 122 | 95 | +1.51 | 78.8% |
| Noah Schultz | Chicago White Sox | 402 | 167 | 88 | +1.38 | 81.7% |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies | 1,028 | 86 | 93 | +1.37 | 91.9% |
| Drew Anderson | Detroit Tigers | 568 | 130 | 87 | +1.32 | 86.3% |
| Kyle Leahy | St. Louis Cardinals | 815 | 80 | 95 | +1.28 | 90.1% |
| Michael King | San Diego Padres | 920 | 91 | 89 | +1.24 | 91.1% |
| Jesús Luzardo | Philadelphia Phillies | 930 | 109 | 92 | +1.14 | 91.2% |
| Aaron Nola | Philadelphia Phillies | 845 | 108 | 90 | +1.12 | 90.4% |
| Elvis Alvarado | Athletics | 303 | 139 | 88 | +1.12 | 77.1% |
| Jeffrey Springs | Athletics | 742 | 78 | 92 | +1.10 | 89.2% |
| Chase Burns | Cincinnati Reds | 813 | 193 | 97 | +1.10 | 90.0% |
| Evan Sisk | Pittsburgh Pirates | 320 | 150 | 90 | +1.04 | 78.0% |
Catcher throwing and called-pitch framing
The throwing board adjusts for pitchers and runners faced. The framing board estimates extra called strikes from location and context.
Throwing value
| Catcher | Team | Eligible | Attempt | Success allowed | Runs saved |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | 6,222 | 92 | 93 | +3.58 |
| Salvador Perez | Kansas City Royals | 3,722 | 90 | 90 | +3.31 |
| Henry Davis | Pittsburgh Pirates | 3,314 | 62 | 88 | +3.05 |
| Miguel Amaya | Chicago Cubs | 2,441 | 76 | 88 | +2.49 |
| Freddy Fermin | San Diego Padres | 3,177 | 111 | 93 | +2.40 |
| Garrett Stubbs | Philadelphia Phillies | 875 | 137 | 89 | +2.09 |
| Samuel Basallo | Baltimore Orioles | 2,161 | 68 | 91 | +2.03 |
| Rodolfo Durán | San Diego Padres | 1,314 | 117 | 94 | +2.01 |
| Rafael Marchán | Philadelphia Phillies | 1,410 | 89 | 88 | +1.95 |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | 5,876 | 79 | 95 | +1.67 |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | 4,376 | 100 | 97 | +1.47 |
| Drew Romo | Chicago White Sox | 2,818 | 116 | 96 | +1.45 |
Framing development score
| Catcher | Team | Called pitches | Extra strikes | Runs* | Score* | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iván Herrera | St. Louis Cardinals | 11,089 | +229.9 | +28.74 | 110.4 | 98.1% |
| William Contreras | Milwaukee Brewers | 9,391 | +217.6 | +27.20 | 111.6 | 97.7% |
| Dillon Dingler | Detroit Tigers | 9,655 | +215.8 | +26.98 | 111.2 | 97.8% |
| Austin Wells | New York Yankees | 7,183 | +199.3 | +24.91 | 113.9 | 97.0% |
| Liam Hicks | Miami Marlins | 6,899 | +195.8 | +24.47 | 114.2 | 96.9% |
| Drake Baldwin | Atlanta Braves | 9,173 | +175.4 | +21.93 | 109.6 | 97.7% |
| J.T. Realmuto | Philadelphia Phillies | 8,005 | +162.1 | +20.27 | 110.1 | 97.3% |
| Keibert Ruiz | Washington Nationals | 6,357 | +155.3 | +19.41 | 112.2 | 96.7% |
| Hunter Goodman | Colorado Rockies | 8,897 | +154.0 | +19.24 | 108.7 | 97.6% |
| Francisco Alvarez | New York Mets | 7,112 | +145.0 | +18.13 | 110.2 | 97.0% |
| Carson Kelly | Chicago Cubs | 6,944 | +141.8 | +17.73 | 110.2 | 96.9% |
| Gabriel Moreno | Arizona Diamondbacks | 7,328 | +134.4 | +16.81 | 109.2 | 97.1% |
Best adjusted runners
Aggression and success are estimated separately, then combined into stealing run value.
| Runner | Team | Attempts | Adj. attempt | Adj. success | Successes vs exp. | Stealing runs | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasim Nuñez | Washington Nationals | 38 | 5.2% | 89.2% | +3.40 | +2.21 | 94.4% |
| Xander Bogaerts | San Diego Padres | 17 | 2.0% | 92.4% | +2.51 | +1.63 | 95.8% |
| Bryson Stott | Philadelphia Phillies | 17 | 2.1% | 92.5% | +2.48 | +1.61 | 95.6% |
| Julio Rodríguez | Seattle Mariners | 20 | 2.8% | 89.3% | +2.35 | +1.53 | 94.7% |
| Nico Hoerner | Chicago Cubs | 19 | 1.8% | 89.4% | +2.07 | +1.35 | 96.7% |
| Esteury Ruiz | Miami Marlins | 29 | 5.4% | 87.0% | +1.98 | +1.29 | 89.1% |
| Royce Lewis | Minnesota Twins | 11 | 2.1% | 89.5% | +1.85 | +1.20 | 92.8% |
| Brenton Doyle | Colorado Rockies | 11 | 4.0% | 89.6% | +1.84 | +1.20 | 86.4% |
| Carson Benge | New York Mets | 15 | 1.6% | 86.7% | +1.80 | +1.17 | 96.2% |
| José Ramírez | Cleveland Guardians | 23 | 3.5% | 87.9% | +1.74 | +1.13 | 94.3% |
| Jarren Duran | Boston Red Sox | 15 | 2.2% | 87.1% | +1.71 | +1.11 | 94.8% |
| Dane Myers | Cincinnati Reds | 10 | 2.0% | 89.1% | +1.69 | +1.10 | 93.0% |
| Dylan Crews | Washington Nationals | 9 | 2.1% | 88.1% | +1.59 | +1.03 | 92.0% |
| Kody Clemens | Minnesota Twins | 8 | 1.3% | 86.3% | +1.57 | +1.02 | 94.3% |
| Oswald Peraza | Los Angeles Angels | 9 | 1.7% | 88.4% | +1.56 | +1.02 | 93.3% |
Pitcher-specific count windows
Projected offspeed and breaking-ball mix, plate flight time, disengagements, and observed running behavior shape the index. This is a scouting prompt, not a green light by itself.
| Pitcher | Team | Target | Count | Eligible | Window index | Reliability | Research note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Cruz | New York Yankees | Second | 0-2 | 19 | 199 | 38.8% | Best projected count window: 0-2. 48% offspeed and 18% breaking balls across 19 eligible pitches; reliability 39%. |
| Jhoan Duran | Philadelphia Phillies | Second | 0-1 | 30 | 182 | 50.0% | Best projected count window: 0-1. 43% offspeed and 23% breaking balls across 30 eligible pitches; reliability 50%. |
| Roki Sasaki | Los Angeles Dodgers | Third | 1-0 | 38 | 176 | 55.9% | Best projected count window: 1-0. 41% offspeed and 22% breaking balls across 38 eligible pitches; reliability 56%. |
| David Bednar | New York Yankees | Second | 1-2 | 29 | 175 | 49.2% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 42% offspeed and 19% breaking balls across 29 eligible pitches; reliability 49%. |
| Fernando Cruz | New York Yankees | Third | 1-1 | 26 | 170 | 46.4% | Best projected count window: 1-1. 38% offspeed and 22% breaking balls across 26 eligible pitches; reliability 46%. |
| Kyle Finnegan | Detroit Tigers | Third | 1-2 | 28 | 169 | 48.3% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 39% offspeed and 21% breaking balls across 28 eligible pitches; reliability 48%. |
| Peyton Gray | Texas Rangers | Second | 1-1 | 26 | 167 | 46.4% | Best projected count window: 1-1. 37% offspeed and 25% breaking balls across 26 eligible pitches; reliability 46%. |
| Cristopher Sánchez | Philadelphia Phillies | Third | 1-2 | 54 | 166 | 64.3% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 36% offspeed and 26% breaking balls across 54 eligible pitches; reliability 64%. |
| Shota Imanaga | Chicago Cubs | Second | 0-2 | 48 | 166 | 61.5% | Best projected count window: 0-2. 37% offspeed and 24% breaking balls across 48 eligible pitches; reliability 62%. |
| Trey Yesavage | Toronto Blue Jays | Third | 0-1 | 32 | 166 | 51.6% | Best projected count window: 0-1. 35% offspeed and 31% breaking balls across 32 eligible pitches; reliability 52%. |
| Shane McClanahan | Tampa Bay Rays | Second | 1-2 | 39 | 165 | 56.5% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 37% offspeed and 23% breaking balls across 39 eligible pitches; reliability 57%. |
| Roki Sasaki | Los Angeles Dodgers | Second | 1-2 | 33 | 165 | 52.4% | Best projected count window: 1-2. 36% offspeed and 27% breaking balls across 33 eligible pitches; reliability 52%. |
| Jacob Webb | Chicago Cubs | Second | 0-1 | 45 | 165 | 60.0% | Best projected count window: 0-1. 34% offspeed and 32% breaking balls across 45 eligible pitches; reliability 60%. |
| Bailey Ober | Minnesota Twins | Second | 1-0 | 40 | 164 | 57.1% | Best projected count window: 1-0. 35% offspeed and 27% breaking balls across 40 eligible pitches; reliability 57%. |
| Huascar Brazobán | New York Mets | Second | 2-2 | 23 | 164 | 43.4% | Best projected count window: 2-2. 39% offspeed and 17% breaking balls across 23 eligible pitches; reliability 43%. |
Official challenge value leaderboard
Batter, catcher, and pitcher roles are shown together. Runs vs. expected compares observed challenge value with the official opportunity model.
| Player | Team | Role | Opportunities | Challenges | Overturn rate | Overturns vs exp. | Runs vs exp. | Reliability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Realmuto | PHI | catcher | 5,191 | 70 | 78.6% | +17.45 | +2.00 | 87.5% |
| Bryce Eldridge | SF | batter | 267 | 19 | 68.4% | +5.88 | +1.87 | 65.5% |
| Matt McLain | CIN | batter | 331 | 6 | 100.0% | +4.48 | +1.79 | 37.5% |
| Tyler Stephenson | CIN | batter | 278 | 7 | 85.7% | +6.71 | +1.66 | 41.2% |
| Corbin Carroll | AZ | batter | 359 | 8 | 75.0% | +7.87 | +1.56 | 44.4% |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | batter | 239 | 20 | 60.0% | +4.47 | +1.54 | 66.7% |
| Tyler Soderstrom | ATH | batter | 251 | 6 | 66.7% | +4.75 | +1.49 | 37.5% |
| Taylor Ward | SEA | batter | 543 | 15 | 53.3% | +6.06 | +1.47 | 60.0% |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | batter | 325 | 14 | 85.7% | +9.58 | +1.42 | 58.3% |
| Isaac Paredes | HOU | batter | 428 | 15 | 73.3% | +6.46 | +1.34 | 60.0% |
| Riley Greene | DET | batter | 297 | 12 | 66.7% | +5.46 | +1.32 | 54.5% |
| Brice Turang | MIL | batter | 420 | 4 | 75.0% | +5.50 | +1.31 | 28.6% |
| Drew Gilbert | SF | batter | 250 | 10 | 70.0% | +4.90 | +1.29 | 50.0% |
| Gabriel Moreno | AZ | batter | 440 | 20 | 65.0% | +5.93 | +1.27 | 66.7% |
| Salvador Perez | KC | batter | 247 | 9 | 88.9% | +6.88 | +1.25 | 47.4% |
| Carson Benge | NYM | batter | 384 | 9 | 66.7% | +4.94 | +1.17 | 47.4% |
| Davis Schneider | TOR | batter | 124 | 16 | 81.2% | +8.50 | +1.12 | 61.5% |
| Jose Trevino | CIN | catcher | 2,145 | 43 | 65.1% | +1.72 | +1.12 | 81.1% |