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Performance Races

Transparent season-to-date MLB offensive and run-prevention race boards.

League race room

The strongest cases in baseball

Follow the players building exceptional season profiles, with every ingredient visible and every limitation stated.

FanGraphs season award room

MVP, Cy Young, Reliever of the Year, and the provisional rookie pool

WAR, counting production, rate quality, volume, leverage, defense, baserunning, run prevention, and command are translated into league-specific performance scores. Hitting and pitching WAR are combined by player ID so two-way value remains intact. The result is not presented as a ballot forecast.

Ranked race

AL MVP

Transparent season performance score

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHOU · hitter94.8
  2. 2Dillon DinglerDET · hitter94.5
  3. 3Ben RiceNYY · hitter92.0
  4. 4Junior CamineroTBR · hitter91.1
  5. 5Willson ContrerasBOS · hitter90.8
Combined hitting and pitching WAR 30, wRC+ 18, HR 12, RBI 8, runs 7, offense 10, defense 5, PA 5, WPA 5.
Ranked race

AL Cy Young

Transparent season performance score

  1. 1Cam SchlittlerNYY · pitcher97.3
  2. 2Dylan CeaseTOR · pitcher88.2
  3. 3Tarik SkubalDET · pitcher85.8
  4. 4Parker MessickCLE · pitcher85.5
  5. 5Logan GilbertSEA · pitcher84.7
WAR, ERA, FIP, K-BB rate, innings, and WHIP.
Ranked race

AL Reliever of the Year

Leverage, command, saves, and run prevention

  1. 1Louis VarlandTOR · reliever98.9
  2. 2Jacob LatzTEX · reliever94.1
  3. 3Cade SmithCLE · reliever93.6
  4. 4Grant TaylorCHW · reliever88.9
  5. 5Brent HeadrickNYY · reliever87.2
Relievers only: WAR 25, ERA 20, FIP 15, K-BB 15, WPA 10, saves 10, innings 5.
Ranked race

AL Rookie of the Year watch

Role-balanced hitter and pitcher score

  1. 1Kevin McGonigleDET · hitter96.9
  2. 2Parker MessickCLE · pitcher89.2
  3. 3Payton TolleBOS · pitcher85.8
  4. 4Tristan PetersCHW · hitter78.8
  5. 5Munetaka MurakamiCHW · hitter78.1
Hitters: WAR 40, wRC+ 25, offense 15, PA 10, defense 5, baserunning 5. Pitchers: WAR 40, ERA 20, FIP 15, K-BB 15, IP 10.
Ranked race

NL MVP

Transparent season performance score

  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC · hitter97.0
  2. 2James WoodWSN · hitter94.0
  3. 3Shohei OhtaniLAD · hitter91.7
  4. 4CJ AbramsWSN · hitter90.9
  5. 5Matt OlsonATL · hitter90.6
Combined hitting and pitching WAR 30, wRC+ 18, HR 12, RBI 8, runs 7, offense 10, defense 5, PA 5, WPA 5.
Ranked race

NL Cy Young

Transparent season performance score

  1. 1Jacob MisiorowskiMIL · pitcher98.4
  2. 2Chris SaleATL · pitcher93.8
  3. 3Cristopher SánchezPHI · pitcher92.5
  4. 4Zack WheelerPHI · pitcher90.2
  5. 5Jesús LuzardoPHI · pitcher89.5
WAR, ERA, FIP, K-BB rate, innings, and WHIP.
Ranked race

NL Reliever of the Year

Leverage, command, saves, and run prevention

  1. 1Mason MillerSDP · reliever98.1
  2. 2Jhoan DuranPHI · reliever94.3
  3. 3Tanner ScottLAD · reliever91.3
  4. 4Dylan LeeATL · reliever85.7
  5. 5Trevor MegillMIL · reliever84.1
Relievers only: WAR 25, ERA 20, FIP 15, K-BB 15, WPA 10, saves 10, innings 5.
Ranked race

NL Rookie of the Year watch

Role-balanced hitter and pitcher score

  1. 1Chase BurnsCIN · pitcher93.0
  2. 2JJ WetherholtSTL · hitter90.7
  3. 3Nolan McLeanNYM · pitcher89.0
  4. 4Kyle HarrisonMIL · pitcher85.0
  5. 5TJ RumfieldCOL · hitter81.8
Hitters: WAR 40, wRC+ 25, offense 15, PA 10, defense 5, baserunning 5. Pitchers: WAR 40, ERA 20, FIP 15, K-BB 15, IP 10.
MVP Combined WAR 30 · wRC+ 18 · HR 12 · RBI/runs 15 · offense 10 · defense/PA/WPA 15Cy Young WAR 25 · ERA 20 · FIP 15 · K-BB 15 · IP 15 · WHIP 10Reliever WAR 25 · ERA 20 · FIP/K-BB 30 · WPA 10 · saves 10 · IP 5ROTY Hitters and pitchers receive separate role-native weights before joining one race; official service days still require verification
Seventeen date-bounded checkpoints

How the MVP races reached today

The current top eight are traced backward through weekly cumulative FanGraphs pulls. Each point is recalculated with only the statistics available through that checkpoint, with stronger playing-time reliability shrinkage early in the season.

AL season path94.8

Yordan Alvarez leads

0.3 points ahead of Dillon Dingler.

Last lead change May 31Latest fastest riser: Nick Fortes
NL season path97.0

Pete Crow-Armstrong leads

3.0 points ahead of James Wood.

No recorded lead change after the first checkpointLatest fastest riser: Rafael Devers
American League MVP season-to-date Race Rating timeline for the current top eight
AL MVP season-to-date timeline
National League MVP season-to-date Race Rating timeline for the current top eight
NL MVP season-to-date timeline
American League Cy Young performance ladder
AL Cy Young performance ladder
National League Cy Young performance ladder
NL Cy Young performance ladder
American League reliever performance ladder
AL Reliever of the Year performance ladder
National League reliever performance ladder
NL Reliever of the Year performance ladder
Two complementary lenses.The FanGraphs award room above includes season value and defensive components. The PBP-derived boards below isolate offensive production and run prevention without claiming to predict a ballot.
The offensive race

Who has built the strongest hitting case?

Estimated wOBA, OPS, run value per plate appearance, contact quality, and sample reliability form the transparent composite.

Offense # 196.8

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

1.060 OPS | 0.441 estimated wOBA

441 PA | 52.9% hard-hit rate

Offense # 296.3

James Wood

Washington Nationals

0.924 OPS | 0.390 estimated wOBA

491 PA | 58.4% hard-hit rate

Offense # 395.4

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs

0.934 OPS | 0.395 estimated wOBA

454 PA | 48.0% hard-hit rate

Offensive board

Top 12 season performances

Rank Player Team PA OPS wOBA est. Hard-hit RV/PA Score
1 Yordan Alvarez Houston Astros 441 1.060 0.441 52.9% 0.112 96.8
2 James Wood Washington Nationals 491 0.924 0.390 58.4% 0.076 96.3
3 Pete Crow-Armstrong Chicago Cubs 454 0.934 0.395 48.0% 0.079 95.4
4 Ben Rice New York Yankees 423 0.926 0.388 48.3% 0.075 94.8
5 Nick Kurtz Athletics 411 0.878 0.378 58.3% 0.090 94.7
5 Juan Soto New York Mets 354 0.936 0.396 48.8% 0.065 94.7
7 Shohei Ohtani Los Angeles Dodgers 433 0.890 0.377 53.5% 0.065 94.3
8 Kyle Schwarber Philadelphia Phillies 447 0.900 0.381 52.2% 0.062 94.2
9 Willson Contreras Boston Red Sox 393 0.917 0.391 46.9% 0.064 93.9
10 Munetaka Murakami Chicago White Sox 291 0.879 0.374 58.5% 0.073 93.5
11 Esmerlyn Valdez Pittsburgh Pirates 139 1.057 0.433 54.4% 0.107 93.2
12 Junior Caminero Tampa Bay Rays 457 0.907 0.382 51.1% 0.030 91.7
The run-prevention race

Which pitchers are suppressing offense most completely?

Opponent estimated wOBA and OPS lead the model, reinforced by strikeouts, contact suppression, and sample reliability.

Run prevention # 194.3

Jacob Misiorowski

Milwaukee Brewers

0.453 OPS allowed | 0.207 estimated wOBA

439 BF | 39.4% strikeout rate

Run prevention # 294.1

Mason Miller

San Diego Padres

0.371 OPS allowed | 0.179 estimated wOBA

163 BF | 49.1% strikeout rate

Run prevention # 392.0

Dylan Lee

Atlanta Braves

0.466 OPS allowed | 0.202 estimated wOBA

174 BF | 33.9% strikeout rate

Run-prevention board

Top 12 season performances

Rank Pitcher Team BF OPS allowed wOBA est. K% Hard-hit Score
1 Jacob Misiorowski Milwaukee Brewers 439 0.453 0.207 39.4% 33.5% 94.3
2 Mason Miller San Diego Padres 163 0.371 0.179 49.1% 25.0% 94.1
3 Dylan Lee Atlanta Braves 174 0.466 0.202 33.9% 31.8% 92.0
4 Louis Varland Toronto Blue Jays 203 0.478 0.216 35.0% 33.6% 91.1
5 Josh Hader Houston Astros 78 0.431 0.203 42.3% 21.6% 91.0
6 Dylan Cease Toronto Blue Jays 464 0.540 0.247 36.6% 32.2% 90.9
7 Brandyn Garcia Arizona Diamondbacks 97 0.400 0.191 30.9% 32.2% 89.7
8 Tanner Scott Los Angeles Dodgers 157 0.520 0.225 35.0% 33.0% 89.2
9 Zack Wheeler Philadelphia Phillies 380 0.552 0.242 30.8% 33.9% 88.9
10 Samy Natera Jr. Los Angeles Angels 76 0.476 0.220 38.2% 31.6% 88.6
11 Luke Weaver New York Mets 156 0.458 0.205 27.6% 32.4% 88.5
12 Shohei Ohtani Los Angeles Dodgers 340 0.519 0.236 27.9% 33.8% 88.2

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