Performance Races

Transparent season-to-date MLB offensive and run-prevention race boards.

League race room

The strongest cases in baseball

Follow the players building exceptional season profiles, with every ingredient visible and every limitation stated.

Legacy FanGraphs snapshot

MVP, Cy Young, Reliever of the Year, and the provisional rookie pool

This retained reference snapshot runs through 2026-08-02 and is no longer refreshed automatically. Its WAR-based boards remain visible during migration and are not presented as current ballot forecasts.

Ranked race

AL MVP

Transparent season performance score

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHOU · hitter96.1
  2. 2Junior CamineroTBR · hitter92.4
  3. 3Willson ContrerasBOS · hitter91.7
  4. 4Ben RiceNYY · hitter91.0
  5. 5Randy ArozarenaSEA · hitter90.0
Combined hitting and pitching WAR 30, wRC+ 18, HR 12, RBI 8, runs 7, offense 10, defense 5, PA 5, WPA 5.
Ranked race

AL Cy Young

Transparent season performance score

  1. 1Cam SchlittlerNYY · pitcher97.1
  2. 2Dylan CeaseTOR · pitcher91.7
  3. 3Drew RasmussenTBR · pitcher87.8
  4. 4Parker MessickCLE · pitcher87.6
  5. 5Tarik SkubalDET · pitcher85.8
WAR, ERA, FIP, K-BB rate, innings, and WHIP.
Ranked race

AL Reliever of the Year

Leverage, command, saves, and pitching performance

  1. 1Louis VarlandTOR · reliever99.1
  2. 2Cade SmithCLE · reliever93.9
  3. 3Jacob LatzTEX · reliever92.9
  4. 4Grant TaylorCHW · reliever90.3
  5. 5Aroldis ChapmanBOS · reliever89.8
Relievers only: WAR 25, ERA 20, FIP 15, K-BB 15, WPA 10, saves 10, innings 5.
Ranked race

AL Rookie of the Year watch

Role-balanced hitter and pitcher score

  1. 1Kevin McGonigleDET · hitter97.0
  2. 2Parker MessickCLE · pitcher91.6
  3. 3Payton TolleBOS · pitcher84.2
  4. 4Munetaka MurakamiCHW · hitter83.3
  5. 5Grant TaylorCHW · pitcher81.6
Hitters: WAR 40, wRC+ 25, offense 15, PA 10, defense 5, baserunning 5. Pitchers: WAR 40, ERA 20, FIP 15, K-BB 15, IP 10.
Ranked race

NL MVP

Transparent season performance score

  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC · hitter96.1
  2. 2James WoodWSN · hitter95.1
  3. 3CJ AbramsWSN · hitter94.8
  4. 4Shohei OhtaniLAD · hitter94.5
  5. 5Brice TurangMIL · hitter88.5
Combined hitting and pitching WAR 30, wRC+ 18, HR 12, RBI 8, runs 7, offense 10, defense 5, PA 5, WPA 5.
Ranked race

NL Cy Young

Transparent season performance score

  1. 1Jacob MisiorowskiMIL · pitcher97.7
  2. 2Chris SaleATL · pitcher94.5
  3. 3Cristopher SánchezPHI · pitcher92.0
  4. 4Yoshinobu YamamotoLAD · pitcher88.9
  5. 5Zack WheelerPHI · pitcher87.8
WAR, ERA, FIP, K-BB rate, innings, and WHIP.
Ranked race

NL Reliever of the Year

Leverage, command, saves, and pitching performance

  1. 1Mason MillerSDP · reliever98.6
  2. 2Jhoan DuranPHI · reliever93.3
  3. 3Tanner ScottLAD · reliever90.1
  4. 4Trevor MegillMIL · reliever86.6
  5. 5Dylan LeeATL · reliever86.0
Relievers only: WAR 25, ERA 20, FIP 15, K-BB 15, WPA 10, saves 10, innings 5.
Ranked race

NL Rookie of the Year watch

Role-balanced hitter and pitcher score

  1. 1Chase BurnsCIN · pitcher94.2
  2. 2JJ WetherholtSTL · hitter90.7
  3. 3Kyle HarrisonMIL · pitcher87.5
  4. 4Nolan McLeanNYM · pitcher86.7
  5. 5TJ RumfieldCOL · hitter84.3
Hitters: WAR 40, wRC+ 25, offense 15, PA 10, defense 5, baserunning 5. Pitchers: WAR 40, ERA 20, FIP 15, K-BB 15, IP 10.
MVP · 2020s ballot profile WAR 35 · SLG 8 · OPS 8 · Runs 8 · HR 8 · OBP 8 · RBI 7 · Hits 7 · AVG 7 · SB 5Cy Young WAR 25 · ERA 20 · FIP 15 · K-BB 15 · IP 15 · WHIP 10Reliever WAR 25 · ERA 20 · FIP/K-BB 30 · WPA 10 · saves 10 · IP 5ROTY Hitters and pitchers receive separate role-native weights before joining one race; official service days still require verification
League-specific defensive awards

Gold Glove Index

The American League and National League are ranked independently at every official FRV position. The utility placeholder and summary graphic have been removed for a cleaner comparison.

American League

Pos. Projected selection Team Innings Official FRV Gold Glove Index
C Brandon Valenzuela Toronto Blue Jays 291 +12.0 126.1
1B Paul Goldschmidt New York Yankees 280 +6.5 121.8
2B Chase Meidroth Chicago White Sox 626 +10.9 160.0
3B Maikel Garcia Kansas City Royals 294 +5.2 120.6
SS Andrés Giménez Toronto Blue Jays 541 +15.1 139.6
LF Cody Bellinger New York Yankees 512 +8.4 118.7
CF Ceddanne Rafaela Boston Red Sox 542 +15.0 128.5
RF Jonny DeLuca Tampa Bay Rays 329 +10.1 123.4

National League

Pos. Projected selection Team Innings Official FRV Gold Glove Index
C Joe Mack Miami Marlins 357 +10.0 128.6
1B Ty France San Diego Padres 460 +10.5 127.3
2B JJ Wetherholt St. Louis Cardinals 551 +22.4 134.6
3B Manny Machado San Diego Padres 548 +7.2 118.9
SS Masyn Winn St. Louis Cardinals 525 +16.4 124.8
LF Jackson Chourio Milwaukee Brewers 484 +8.1 127.0
CF Pete Crow-Armstrong Chicago Cubs 617 +26.8 160.0
RF Seiya Suzuki Chicago Cubs 433 +7.9 129.1
Index boundary: selections use league-position standardized, playing-time-shrunk official Fielding Run Value. Pitcher defense appears on the Fielding page as a separately labeled SABRhood estimate.
Legacy date-bounded checkpoints

The retained MVP race history

These historical checkpoints are frozen while the page moves to SABRhood PBP-derived value measures. They should be read as archived context, not a current race update.

AL season path96.1

Yordan Alvarez leads

3.6 points ahead of Junior Caminero.

No recorded lead change after the first checkpointLatest fastest riser: Munetaka Murakami
NL season path96.7

Pete Crow-Armstrong leads

0.7 points ahead of James Wood.

Last lead change July 26Latest fastest riser: Jake Cronenworth
American League MVP season-to-date Race Rating timeline for the current top eight
AL MVP season-to-date timeline
National League MVP season-to-date Race Rating timeline for the current top eight
NL MVP season-to-date timeline
Daily ballot-history rotation

What the 1,940s rewarded, compared with today

Every historical MVP is placed back into his own league-season distribution. The chart asks which categories MVP winners most consistently dominated in each decade, then compares that profile with winners from the 2020s.

MVP winner league percentiles by statistic for a rotating historical decade compared with the 2020s
Ballot DNA changes with the sport. The current model uses the 2020s statistical profile, with WAR retained as a 35% modern total-value anchor because Lahman does not contain season WAR.
American League Cy Young performance ladder
AL Cy Young performance ladder
National League Cy Young performance ladder
NL Cy Young performance ladder
American League reliever performance ladder
AL Reliever of the Year performance ladder
National League reliever performance ladder
NL Reliever of the Year performance ladder
Migration boundary.The legacy FanGraphs room above is frozen and clearly dated. The current boards below are rebuilt from SABRhood PBP-derived offensive and pitching performance without claiming to predict a ballot.
The offensive race

Who has built the strongest hitting case?

Estimated wOBA, OPS, run value per plate appearance, contact quality, and sample reliability form the transparent composite.

Offense # 197.6

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

1.004 OPS | 0.420 estimated wOBA

635 PA | 53.3% hard-hit rate

Offense # 296.9

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Chicago Cubs

0.946 OPS | 0.396 estimated wOBA

698 PA | 49.1% hard-hit rate

Offense # 396.6

Jake Bauers

Milwaukee Brewers

0.891 OPS | 0.383 estimated wOBA

550 PA | 52.6% hard-hit rate

Offensive board

Top 12 season performances

Rank Player Team PA OPS wOBA est. Hard-hit RV/PA Score
1 Yordan Alvarez Houston Astros 635 1.004 0.420 53.3% 0.108 97.6
2 Pete Crow-Armstrong Chicago Cubs 698 0.946 0.396 49.1% 0.069 96.9
3 Jake Bauers Milwaukee Brewers 550 0.891 0.383 52.6% 0.070 96.6
4 James Wood Washington Nationals 597 0.889 0.379 58.7% 0.060 96.5
5 Shohei Ohtani Los Angeles Dodgers 583 0.886 0.375 51.5% 0.057 95.8
6 Elly De La Cruz Cincinnati Reds 610 0.880 0.374 53.5% 0.052 95.5
7 Juan Soto New York Mets 445 0.898 0.381 48.6% 0.063 95.4
7 Nick Kurtz Athletics 429 0.865 0.373 57.3% 0.089 95.4
9 Ben Rice New York Yankees 639 0.881 0.374 48.1% 0.061 95.3
10 Pete Alonso Baltimore Orioles 678 0.863 0.368 56.2% 0.044 94.2
11 Willson Contreras Boston Red Sox 533 0.899 0.385 43.7% 0.054 94.0
12 Kyle Schwarber Philadelphia Phillies 669 0.860 0.365 49.3% 0.050 93.7
The pitching performance race

Which pitchers are limiting opponent production most completely?

Opponent estimated wOBA and OPS lead the model, reinforced by strikeouts, contact quality allowed, and sample reliability.

Pitching performance # 195.6

Jacob Misiorowski

Milwaukee Brewers

0.474 OPS allowed | 0.214 estimated wOBA

647 BF | 38.2% strikeout rate

Pitching performance # 295.4

Mason Miller

San Diego Padres

0.415 OPS allowed | 0.195 estimated wOBA

255 BF | 48.2% strikeout rate

Pitching performance # 393.1

Dylan Cease

Toronto Blue Jays

0.543 OPS allowed | 0.249 estimated wOBA

689 BF | 34.7% strikeout rate

Run-prevention board

Top 12 season performances

Rank Pitcher Team BF OPS allowed wOBA est. K% Hard-hit Score
1 Jacob Misiorowski Milwaukee Brewers 647 0.474 0.214 38.2% 33.0% 95.6
2 Mason Miller San Diego Padres 255 0.415 0.195 48.2% 28.0% 95.4
3 Dylan Cease Toronto Blue Jays 689 0.543 0.249 34.7% 31.5% 93.1
4 Brandyn Garcia Arizona Diamondbacks 182 0.444 0.207 31.3% 30.6% 92.6
5 Josh Hader Houston Astros 158 0.340 0.159 34.8% 32.6% 92.4
6 Blake Snell Los Angeles Dodgers 159 0.494 0.231 32.7% 15.9% 92.3
7 Adrian Morejon San Diego Padres 334 0.541 0.241 30.8% 31.9% 91.9
8 Edgardo Henriquez Los Angeles Dodgers 242 0.523 0.245 29.3% 27.1% 90.9
9 Garrett Whitlock Boston Red Sox 194 0.517 0.226 30.4% 33.9% 90.4
10 Louis Varland Toronto Blue Jays 304 0.502 0.227 31.2% 36.6% 90.3
11 Alex Vesia Los Angeles Dodgers 225 0.513 0.236 30.7% 34.6% 90.2
12 Shohei Ohtani Los Angeles Dodgers 340 0.519 0.236 27.9% 33.8% 90.0