Pittsburgh Pirates Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Pittsburgh Pirates.
SABRhood team report

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 2nd in offensive quality and 16th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 3 surge signals.

League intelligence# 8 59.3 index
Offensive quality#2
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.333
Run prevention#16
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.307
Recent form#21
3 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#23
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsSecond base / OutfieldClearest upgrade lanesThird base / Designated hitter
CMiddle

Catcher

1.2WAR#19 of 30
Top valueEndy Rodríguez0.9 WAR
1BStrength

First base

2.1WAR#10 of 30
Top valueSpencer Horwitz1.3 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

4.5WAR#2 of 30
Top valueBrandon Lowe2.6 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

0.2WAR#22 of 29
Top valueJared Triolo0.3 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

2.7WAR#8 of 28
Top valueOneil Cruz1.6 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

5.3WAR#7 of 30
Top valueBryan Reynolds2.7 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

-0.8WAR#20 of 20
Top valueMarcell Ozuna-0.8 WAR
SPStrength

Starting pitching

9.6WAR#8 of 30
Top valuePaul Skenes3.5 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

3.2WAR#13 of 30
Top valueCarmen Mlodzinski1.3 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Pittsburgh Pirates’s analytical identity

    Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 2nd in offensive quality and 16th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 3 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Bubba Chandler is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.293 versus 0.713 previously.

  3. 3
    milestone

    Marcell Ozuna reached 300 career home runs

    Career estimate 304.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Braxton Ashcraft

Pittsburgh Pirates | RHP

53.5
Season BF481OPS allowed0.698Est. wOBA allowed0.301Samplestrong
Biggest changerun value allowed per PA -3.7 SD

Run value allowed per PA is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 52nd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed53rd
0.698
Est. wOBA allowed56th
0.301
Strikeout rate81st
27.0%
Walk rate allowed79th
5.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed25th
42.3%
Run value allowed / PA52nd
-0.007
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed-2.8 SD
Recent 1.342 baseline 0.669
Est. wOBA allowed-2.8 SD
Recent 0.561 baseline 0.289
Strikeout rate-2.2 SD
Recent 10.0% baseline 27.8%
Walk rate allowed-0.1 SD
Recent 5.0% baseline 5.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed-1.9 SD
Recent 64.7% baseline 41.0%
Run value allowed / PA-3.7 SD
Recent 0.324 baseline -0.022
Broadcast read: Run value allowed per PA is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 52nd percentile. Recent sample: 20 BF; prior sample: 461 BF.
Hitter change profile

Esmerlyn Valdez

Pittsburgh Pirates | RHB

48.4
Season PA139OPS1.057Est. wOBA0.433Samplemoderate
Biggest changewalk rate +3.0 SD

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 92nd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS100th
1.057
Est. wOBA100th
0.433
Strikeout rate0th
38.1%
Walk rate92nd
12.9%
Hard-hit rate97th
54.4%
Run value / PA99th
0.107
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-0.5 SD
Recent 0.951 baseline 1.092
Est. wOBA-0.4 SD
Recent 0.400 baseline 0.446
Strikeout rate-0.8 SD
Recent 43.6% baseline 36.0%
Walk rate+3.0 SD
Recent 23.1% baseline 9.0%
Hard-hit rate+0.8 SD
Recent 61.5% baseline 52.7%
Run value / PA+0.4 SD
Recent 0.122 baseline 0.101
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 92nd percentile. Recent sample: 39 PA; prior sample: 100 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Nick GonzalesPittsburgh Pirates0.311
  2. 2Jake MangumPittsburgh Pirates0.307
  3. 3Esmerlyn ValdezPittsburgh Pirates0.283
  4. 4Spencer HorwitzPittsburgh Pirates0.279
  5. 5Ryan O’HearnPittsburgh Pirates0.277
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Brandon LowePittsburgh Pirates21
  2. 2Ryan O’HearnPittsburgh Pirates16
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsPittsburgh Pirates14
  4. 4Oneil CruzPittsburgh Pirates14
  5. 5Esmerlyn ValdezPittsburgh Pirates13
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Esmerlyn ValdezPittsburgh Pirates1.057
  2. 2Endy RodríguezPittsburgh Pirates0.858
  3. 3Spencer HorwitzPittsburgh Pirates0.839
  4. 4Bryan ReynoldsPittsburgh Pirates0.830
  5. 5Oneil CruzPittsburgh Pirates0.817
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Paul SkenesPittsburgh Pirates149
  2. 2Braxton AshcraftPittsburgh Pirates130
  3. 3Bubba ChandlerPittsburgh Pirates90
  4. 4Mitch KellerPittsburgh Pirates83
  5. 5Carmen MlodzinskiPittsburgh Pirates69
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Mason MontgomeryPittsburgh Pirates36.4%
  2. 2Paul SkenesPittsburgh Pirates30.3%
  3. 3Jared JonesPittsburgh Pirates28.6%
  4. 4Evan SiskPittsburgh Pirates28.1%
  5. 5Gregory SotoPittsburgh Pirates27.2%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Gregory SotoPittsburgh Pirates0.589
  2. 2Mason MontgomeryPittsburgh Pirates0.616
  3. 3Jared JonesPittsburgh Pirates0.630
  4. 4Paul SkenesPittsburgh Pirates0.633
  5. 5Wilber DotelPittsburgh Pirates0.643
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Breaking identity

Gregory Soto

Pittsburgh Pirates | Slider

81.4
Whiff42.5%
Chase37.6%
Usage24.4%
Average velocity83.4 mph
Breaking identity

Braxton Ashcraft

Pittsburgh Pirates | Curveball

79.4
Whiff39.9%
Chase43.7%
Usage27.5%
Average velocity85.0 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge77.1

Brandon Lowe

Pittsburgh Pirates

Brandon Lowe is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.264
vs R0.362

Estimated wOBA: 0.264 vs L, 0.362 vs R.

pitcher edge75.1

Jared Jones

Pittsburgh Pirates

Jared Jones is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.331
vs R0.184

Estimated wOBA: 0.331 vs L, 0.184 vs R.

pitcher edge74.3

Mitch Keller

Pittsburgh Pirates

Mitch Keller is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.351
vs R0.260

Estimated wOBA: 0.351 vs L, 0.260 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter80.8

Brandon Eisert

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability92.2%Matchup100.0%Performance35.6%
Right-handed batter74.9

Isaac Mattson

RHP · available · 6 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance23.5%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Esmerlyn Valdez Esmerlyn Valdez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.9
offensive_race Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.0
offensive_race Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 84.3
milestone Marcell Ozuna Marcell Ozuna reached 300 career home runs 81.1
offensive_race Endy Rodríguez Endy Rodríguez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 81.0
offensive_race Ryan O’Hearn Ryan O’Hearn is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 80.3
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.