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Pittsburgh Pirates Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Pittsburgh Pirates.
← Tampa Bay RaysAll teamsAtlanta Braves →
SABRhood team report

Pittsburgh Pirates

Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 4th in run generation and 10th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 1 recent risers.

League intelligence# 7 66.6 index
Run generation#4
Composite score 70.5
Pitching#10
Composite score 62.6
Recent play#4
1 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#3
Current state rested
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsSecond base / ShortstopClearest upgrade lanesThird base / Designated hitter
CMiddle

Catcher

1.5WAR#16 of 30
Top valueEndy Rodríguez1.1 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

2.0WAR#12 of 30
Top valueSpencer Horwitz1.3 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

5.3WAR#2 of 30
Top valueBrandon Lowe3.2 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

0.1WAR#22 of 29
Top valueJared Triolo0.2 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

2.7WAR#8 of 28
Top valueOneil Cruz1.6 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

5.2WAR#8 of 30
Top valueBryan Reynolds2.7 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

-1.0WAR#20 of 20
Top valueMarcell Ozuna-1.0 WAR
SPStrength

Starting pitching

10.2WAR#8 of 30
Top valuePaul Skenes3.6 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

3.5WAR#13 of 30
Top valueCarmen Mlodzinski1.5 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Pittsburgh Pirates’s analytical identity

    Pittsburgh Pirates ranks 4th in run generation and 10th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 1 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Carmen Mlodzinski is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.113 versus 0.739 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Brandon Lowe is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.263 vs L, 0.378 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Carmen Mlodzinski

Pittsburgh Pirates | RHP

42.0
Season BF494OPS allowed0.704Est. wOBA allowed0.308Samplestrong
Biggest changeestimated wOBA allowed +2.77 z

Estimated wOBA allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 47th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed49th
0.704
Est. wOBA allowed47th
0.308
Strikeout rate21st
18.0%
Walk rate allowed61st
7.5%
Hard-hit rate allowed2nd
46.8%
Run value allowed / PA49th
-0.005
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+2.56 z
Recent 0.113 vs baseline 0.739
Est. wOBA allowed+2.77 z
Recent 0.058 vs baseline 0.323
Strikeout rate-0.42 z
Recent 14.8% vs baseline 18.2%
Walk rate allowed+0.73 z
Recent 3.7% vs baseline 7.7%
Hard-hit rate allowed+0.59 z
Recent 40.9% vs baseline 47.2%
Run value allowed / PA+1.40 z
Recent -0.122 vs baseline 0.002
Cooling50Improving
Broadcast read: Estimated wOBA allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 47th percentile. Recent sample: 27 BF; prior sample: 467 BF.
Hitter change profile

Jared Triolo

Pittsburgh Pirates | RHB

39.0
Season PA336OPS0.631Est. wOBA0.284Samplestrong
Biggest changehard-hit rate -2.56 z

Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 24th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS9th
0.631
Est. wOBA13th
0.284
Strikeout rate64th
19.6%
Walk rate41st
8.0%
Hard-hit rate24th
33.9%
Run value / PA12th
-0.023
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+0.66 z
Recent 0.750 vs baseline 0.620
Est. wOBA+0.54 z
Recent 0.321 vs baseline 0.280
Strikeout rate-0.28 z
Recent 21.4% vs baseline 19.5%
Walk rate-0.10 z
Recent 7.1% vs baseline 8.1%
Hard-hit rate-2.56 z
Recent 10.0% vs baseline 36.1%
Run value / PA+0.51 z
Recent 0.013 vs baseline -0.026
Cooling50Improving
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 24th percentile. Recent sample: 28 PA; prior sample: 308 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Bryan ReynoldsPittsburgh Pirates129
  2. 2Brandon LowePittsburgh Pirates104
  3. 3Oneil CruzPittsburgh Pirates89
  4. 4Nick GonzalesPittsburgh Pirates67
  5. 5Ryan O’HearnPittsburgh Pirates55
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Oneil CruzPittsburgh Pirates47.1%
  2. 2Esmerlyn ValdezPittsburgh Pirates33.8%
  3. 3Bryan ReynoldsPittsburgh Pirates32.8%
  4. 4Rafael Flores Jr.Pittsburgh Pirates30.9%
  5. 5Endy RodríguezPittsburgh Pirates29.8%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Bubba ChandlerPittsburgh Pirates151
  2. 2Camilo DovalPittsburgh Pirates110
  3. 3Mason MontgomeryPittsburgh Pirates80
  4. 4Jared JonesPittsburgh Pirates60
  5. 5Antwone KellyPittsburgh Pirates26
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Antwone KellyPittsburgh Pirates18.4%
  2. 2Camilo DovalPittsburgh Pirates11.8%
  3. 3Mason MontgomeryPittsburgh Pirates7.9%
  4. 4Bubba ChandlerPittsburgh Pirates6.2%
  5. 5Jared JonesPittsburgh Pirates4.6%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Nick GonzalesPittsburgh Pirates0.305
  2. 2Jake MangumPittsburgh Pirates0.286
  3. 3Oneil CruzPittsburgh Pirates0.270
  4. 4Ryan O’HearnPittsburgh Pirates0.269
  5. 5Bryan ReynoldsPittsburgh Pirates0.268
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Brandon LowePittsburgh Pirates29
  2. 2Oneil CruzPittsburgh Pirates17
  3. 3Ryan O’HearnPittsburgh Pirates17
  4. 4Esmerlyn ValdezPittsburgh Pirates16
  5. 5Bryan ReynoldsPittsburgh Pirates16
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Esmerlyn ValdezPittsburgh Pirates0.849
  2. 2Endy RodríguezPittsburgh Pirates0.840
  3. 3Rafael Flores Jr.Pittsburgh Pirates0.837
  4. 4Oneil CruzPittsburgh Pirates0.830
  5. 5Brandon LowePittsburgh Pirates0.804
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Paul SkenesPittsburgh Pirates181
  2. 2Braxton AshcraftPittsburgh Pirates173
  3. 3Bubba ChandlerPittsburgh Pirates129
  4. 4Mason MontgomeryPittsburgh Pirates92
  5. 5Jared JonesPittsburgh Pirates92
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Mason MontgomeryPittsburgh Pirates38.2%
  2. 2Paul SkenesPittsburgh Pirates28.2%
  3. 3Gregory SotoPittsburgh Pirates27.9%
  4. 4Kirby YatesPittsburgh Pirates27.8%
  5. 5Yohan RamírezPittsburgh Pirates27.7%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Luke WeaverPittsburgh Pirates0.517
  2. 2Mason MontgomeryPittsburgh Pirates0.546
  3. 3Gregory SotoPittsburgh Pirates0.587
  4. 4Yohan RamírezPittsburgh Pirates0.610
  5. 5Lake BacharPittsburgh Pirates0.635
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Paul Skenes

124.2 IP · 3.90 ERA · 3.6 WAR

2,613 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 1,071 pitches 41.0% 96.983rd pct 27.1%93rd pct 33.3%85th pct 52.4%50th pct 0.0%100th pct 46.5%35th pct
SweeperST · 414 pitches 15.8% 84.374th pct 25.9%37th pct 21.6%8th pct 50.7%93rd pct 0.0%100th pct 23.9%82nd pct
ChangeupCH · 335 pitches 12.8% 88.779th pct 33.7%70th pct 37.2%61st pct 24.5%6th pct 0.0%100th pct 19.2%94th pct
SinkerSI · 312 pitches 11.9% 96.786th pct 10.9%50th pct 25.7%52nd pct 52.6%26th pct 0.0%100th pct 47.6%26th pct
SplitterFS · 283 pitches 10.8% 93.298th pct 17.4%7th pct 37.3%54th pct 43.1%82nd pct 0.0%100th pct 38.6%25th pct
SliderSL · 198 pitches 7.6% 86.751st pct 31.8%50th pct 39.7%85th pct 38.9%25th pct 0.0%100th pct 33.3%63rd pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge84.4

Brandon Lowe

Pittsburgh Pirates

Brandon Lowe is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.263
vs R0.378

Estimated wOBA: 0.263 vs L, 0.378 vs R.

pitcher edge74.2

Luke Weaver

Pittsburgh Pirates

Luke Weaver is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.287
vs R0.171

Estimated wOBA: 0.287 vs L, 0.171 vs R.

hitter edge74.0

Henry Davis

Pittsburgh Pirates

Henry Davis is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.165
vs R0.293

Estimated wOBA: 0.165 vs L, 0.293 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter91.9

Gregory Soto

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability94.4%Matchup100.0%Performance76.6%
Right-handed batter88.5

Luke Weaver

RHP · available · 5 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance78.0%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Oneil Cruz Oneil Cruz is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 88.3
Bryan Reynolds Bryan Reynolds is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 87.3
Esmerlyn Valdez Esmerlyn Valdez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 87.1
Brandon Lowe Brandon Lowe is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 85.2
Endy Rodríguez Endy Rodríguez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 83.7
Luke Weaver Luke Weaver is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 83.3
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.
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