Boston Red Sox Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Boston Red Sox.
SABRhood team report

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox ranks 8th in run generation and 2nd in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 1 recent risers.

League intelligence# 4 73.9 index
Run generation#8
Composite score 60.2
Pitching#2
Composite score 87.6
Recent play#26
1 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#3
Current state rested
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsCatcher / OutfieldClearest upgrade lanesFirst base / Second base
CStrength

Catcher

3.4WAR#2 of 30
Top valueWillson Contreras3.5 WAR
1BNeed

First base

-0.2WAR#27 of 30
Top valueRomy Gonzalez-0.2 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.6WAR#24 of 30
Top valueNick Sogard0.4 WAR
3BMiddle

Third base

1.7WAR#13 of 29
Top valueCaleb Durbin1.7 WAR
SSNeed

Shortstop

0.7WAR#22 of 28
Top valueIsiah Kiner-Falefa1.1 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

5.9WAR#6 of 30
Top valueCeddanne Rafaela3.9 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

0.3WAR#9 of 20
Top valueRoman Anthony0.3 WAR
SPStrength

Starting pitching

10.9WAR#7 of 30
Top valueRanger Suarez3.3 WAR
RPStrength

Relief pitching

4.1WAR#7 of 30
Top valueAroldis Chapman1.4 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Boston Red Sox’s analytical identity

    Boston Red Sox ranks 8th in run generation and 2nd in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 1 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Brayan Bello is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.382 versus 0.752 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Erik Miller’s Slider: 85.6 mph, 52.3% whiffs

    Quality score 82.8; usage 45.8%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Brayan Bello

Boston Red Sox | RHP

43.3
Season BF486OPS allowed0.725Est. wOBA allowed0.315Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate +2.76 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 24th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed37th
0.725
Est. wOBA allowed35th
0.315
Strikeout rate24th
18.5%
Walk rate allowed74th
6.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed31st
39.9%
Run value allowed / PA38th
0.005
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+1.46 z
Recent 0.382 baseline 0.752
Est. wOBA allowed+1.64 z
Recent 0.163 baseline 0.327
Strikeout rate+2.76 z
Recent 38.2% baseline 17.0%
Walk rate allowed+1.35 z
Recent 0.0% baseline 7.3%
Hard-hit rate allowed+1.55 z
Recent 23.8% baseline 40.9%
Run value allowed / PA+1.19 z
Recent -0.100 baseline 0.013
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 24th percentile. Recent sample: 34 BF; prior sample: 452 BF.
Hitter change profile

Nick Sogard

Boston Red Sox | LHB

34.5
Season PA255OPS0.720Est. wOBA0.317Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate -2.12 z

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.1 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 83rd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS44th
0.720
Est. wOBA48th
0.317
Strikeout rate62nd
20.0%
Walk rate83rd
11.4%
Hard-hit rate8th
28.7%
Run value / PA24th
-0.011
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-0.89 z
Recent 0.563 baseline 0.752
Est. wOBA-1.01 z
Recent 0.245 baseline 0.332
Strikeout rate-1.37 z
Recent 27.9% baseline 18.4%
Walk rate-2.12 z
Recent 2.3% baseline 13.2%
Hard-hit rate-0.05 z
Recent 27.6% baseline 28.9%
Run value / PA-0.67 z
Recent -0.058 baseline -0.002
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.1 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 83rd percentile. Recent sample: 43 PA; prior sample: 212 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Wilyer AbreuBoston Red Sox123
  2. 2Jarren DuranBoston Red Sox109
  3. 3Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox97
  4. 4Adley RutschmanBoston Red Sox63
  5. 5Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox55
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Roman AnthonyBoston Red Sox34.8%
  2. 2Jahmai JonesBoston Red Sox33.0%
  3. 3Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox31.0%
  4. 4Romy GonzalezBoston Red Sox28.9%
  5. 5Jarren DuranBoston Red Sox28.5%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Tyron GuerreroBoston Red Sox287
  2. 2Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox27
  3. 3Erik MillerBoston Red Sox0
  4. 4Payton TolleBoston Red Sox0
  5. 5Brayan BelloBoston Red Sox0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Tyron GuerreroBoston Red Sox49.1%
  2. 2Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox3.3%
  3. 3Erik MillerBoston Red Sox0.0%
  4. 4Payton TolleBoston Red Sox0.0%
  5. 5Brayan BelloBoston Red Sox0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox0.282
  2. 2Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox0.275
  3. 3Masataka YoshidaBoston Red Sox0.274
  4. 4Mickey GasperBoston Red Sox0.254
  5. 5Caleb DurbinBoston Red Sox0.253
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox27
  2. 2Wilyer AbreuBoston Red Sox24
  3. 3Jarren DuranBoston Red Sox20
  4. 4Curtis MeadBoston Red Sox17
  5. 5Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox16
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox0.899
  2. 2Curtis MeadBoston Red Sox0.845
  3. 3Mickey GasperBoston Red Sox0.819
  4. 4Wilyer AbreuBoston Red Sox0.784
  5. 5Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox0.758
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Payton TolleBoston Red Sox166
  2. 2Sonny GrayBoston Red Sox146
  3. 3Ranger SuarezBoston Red Sox135
  4. 4Connelly EarlyBoston Red Sox93
  5. 5Jake BennettBoston Red Sox90
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Erik MillerBoston Red Sox33.8%
  2. 2Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox32.4%
  3. 3Garrett WhitlockBoston Red Sox30.4%
  4. 4Payton TolleBoston Red Sox28.9%
  5. 5Justin SlatenBoston Red Sox28.5%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Garrett WhitlockBoston Red Sox0.517
  2. 2Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox0.583
  3. 3Tyron GuerreroBoston Red Sox0.590
  4. 4Jovani MoránBoston Red Sox0.601
  5. 5Alec GamboaBoston Red Sox0.604
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · LHP

Ranger Suarez

100.0 IP · 3.15 ERA · 3.3 WAR

2,298 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
SinkerSI · 558 pitches 24.3% 90.35th pct 10.8%47th pct 27.0%60th pct 52.9%28th pct 0.0%100th pct 40.3%57th pct
Four-Seam FastballFF · 515 pitches 22.4% 91.67th pct 14.6%29th pct 21.9%18th pct 52.0%48th pct 0.0%100th pct 33.3%88th pct
CutterFC · 434 pitches 18.9% 88.024th pct 13.2%8th pct 29.4%57th pct 49.1%35th pct 0.0%100th pct 29.2%80th pct
CurveballCU · 386 pitches 16.8% 75.78th pct 38.5%87th pct 43.1%99th pct 34.5%16th pct 0.0%100th pct 28.0%72nd pct
ChangeupCH · 287 pitches 12.5% 81.110th pct 25.5%34th pct 33.3%42nd pct 24.7%7th pct 0.0%100th pct 25.0%77th pct
SliderSL · 118 pitches 5.1% 78.92nd pct 42.1%92nd pct 40.0%87th pct 28.0%0th pct 0.0%100th pct 46.7%10th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge78.9

Jake Bennett

Boston Red Sox

Jake Bennett is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.175
vs R0.318

Estimated wOBA: 0.175 vs L, 0.318 vs R.

pitcher edge69.8

Patrick Sandoval

Boston Red Sox

Patrick Sandoval is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.433
vs R0.326

Estimated wOBA: 0.433 vs L, 0.326 vs R.

pitcher edge67.5

Alec Gamboa

Boston Red Sox

Alec Gamboa is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.358
vs R0.212

Estimated wOBA: 0.358 vs L, 0.212 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter94.5

Jovani Morán

LHP · available · 6 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup100.0%Performance78.0%
Right-handed batter85.3

Garrett Whitlock

RHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability89.4%Matchup70.0%Performance82.2%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Willson Contreras Willson Contreras is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 92.2
Curtis Mead Curtis Mead is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.5
Garrett Whitlock Garrett Whitlock is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 86.0
Payton Tolle Payton Tolle is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 83.0
Erik Miller Erik Miller is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 82.0
Jovani Morán Jovani Morán is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 81.7
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.