Boston Red Sox Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Boston Red Sox.
SABRhood team report

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox ranks 26th in offensive quality and 8th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 1 surge signals.

League intelligence# 15 48.3 index
Offensive quality#26
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.304
Run prevention#8
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.293
Recent form#8
1 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#25
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsCatcher / OutfieldClearest upgrade lanesFirst base / Second base
CStrength

Catcher

3.5WAR#2 of 30
Top valueWillson Contreras3.3 WAR
1BNeed

First base

-0.1WAR#25 of 30
Top valueRomy Gonzalez-0.1 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.6WAR#25 of 30
Top valueAnthony Seigler0.5 WAR
3BMiddle

Third base

1.5WAR#12 of 29
Top valueCaleb Durbin1.5 WAR
SSMiddle

Shortstop

0.7WAR#18 of 28
Top valueIsiah Kiner-Falefa1.1 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

5.6WAR#5 of 30
Top valueCeddanne Rafaela3.3 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

0.5WAR#9 of 20
Top valueRoman Anthony0.3 WAR
SPStrength

Starting pitching

10.3WAR#7 of 30
Top valueRanger Suarez3.0 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

3.2WAR#14 of 30
Top valueGarrett Whitlock1.2 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Boston Red Sox’s analytical identity

    Boston Red Sox ranks 26th in offensive quality and 8th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 1 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Brayan Bello is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.538 versus 0.851 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Wilyer Abreu is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.419 vs L, 0.287 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Aroldis Chapman

Boston Red Sox | LHP

30.5
Season BF144OPS allowed0.584Est. wOBA allowed0.267Samplemoderate
Biggest changewalk rate allowed -2.0 SD

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 9th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed92nd
0.584
Est. wOBA allowed87th
0.267
Strikeout rate93rd
29.9%
Walk rate allowed9th
11.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed59th
37.3%
Run value allowed / PA89th
-0.048
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.5 SD
Recent 0.478 baseline 0.607
Est. wOBA allowed+0.3 SD
Recent 0.239 baseline 0.273
Strikeout rate-0.1 SD
Recent 29.6% baseline 29.9%
Walk rate allowed-2.0 SD
Recent 18.5% baseline 10.3%
Hard-hit rate allowed+0.8 SD
Recent 28.6% baseline 39.1%
Run value allowed / PA+1.0 SD
Recent -0.128 baseline -0.029
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 9th percentile. Recent sample: 27 BF; prior sample: 117 BF.
Pitcher change profile

Brayan Bello

Boston Red Sox | RHP

28.6
Season BF317OPS allowed0.816Est. wOBA allowed0.351Samplestrong
Biggest changerun value allowed per PA +1.8 SD

Run value allowed per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 14th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed13th
0.816
Est. wOBA allowed13th
0.351
Strikeout rate12th
17.0%
Walk rate allowed47th
7.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed17th
43.4%
Run value allowed / PA14th
0.033
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+1.2 SD
Recent 0.538 baseline 0.851
Est. wOBA allowed+1.2 SD
Recent 0.244 baseline 0.364
Strikeout rate+1.5 SD
Recent 28.6% baseline 15.6%
Walk rate allowed+0.9 SD
Recent 2.9% baseline 8.5%
Hard-hit rate allowed+0.6 SD
Recent 36.4% baseline 44.1%
Run value allowed / PA+1.8 SD
Recent -0.123 baseline 0.052
Broadcast read: Run value allowed per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 14th percentile. Recent sample: 35 BF; prior sample: 282 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox0.289
  2. 2Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox0.278
  3. 3Isiah Kiner-FalefaBoston Red Sox0.276
  4. 4Connor WongBoston Red Sox0.266
  5. 5Anthony SeiglerBoston Red Sox0.262
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox20
  2. 2Wilyer AbreuBoston Red Sox15
  3. 3Jarren DuranBoston Red Sox13
  4. 4Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox10
  5. 5Caleb DurbinBoston Red Sox10
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox0.917
  2. 2Wilyer AbreuBoston Red Sox0.769
  3. 3Anthony SeiglerBoston Red Sox0.767
  4. 4Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox0.760
  5. 5Andruw MonasterioBoston Red Sox0.747
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Ranger SuarezBoston Red Sox97
  2. 2Payton TolleBoston Red Sox96
  3. 3Sonny GrayBoston Red Sox93
  4. 4Connelly EarlyBoston Red Sox90
  5. 5Brayan BelloBoston Red Sox54
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Justin SlatenBoston Red Sox30.3%
  2. 2Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox29.9%
  3. 3Tyron GuerreroBoston Red Sox29.8%
  4. 4Jovani MoránBoston Red Sox28.1%
  5. 5Garrett WhitlockBoston Red Sox27.6%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Garrett WhitlockBoston Red Sox0.543
  2. 2Jovani MoránBoston Red Sox0.544
  3. 3Jake BennettBoston Red Sox0.560
  4. 4Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox0.584
  5. 5Tyron GuerreroBoston Red Sox0.588
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Offspeed identity

Jovani Morán

Boston Red Sox | Changeup

81.9
Whiff49.5%
Chase32.4%
Usage49.2%
Average velocity83.1 mph
Breaking identity

Connelly Early

Boston Red Sox | Sweeper

81.4
Whiff42.9%
Chase45.3%
Usage8.0%
Average velocity82.6 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge85.6

Wilyer Abreu

Boston Red Sox

Wilyer Abreu is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.419
vs R0.287

Estimated wOBA: 0.419 vs L, 0.287 vs R.

hitter edge73.9

Andruw Monasterio

Boston Red Sox

Andruw Monasterio is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.393
vs R0.263

Estimated wOBA: 0.393 vs L, 0.263 vs R.

hitter edge66.5

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Boston Red Sox

Isiah Kiner-Falefa is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.224
vs R0.356

Estimated wOBA: 0.224 vs L, 0.356 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter89.6

Jovani Morán

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability87.2%Matchup100.0%Performance78.9%
Right-handed batter77.6

Jovani Morán

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability87.2%Matchup40.0%Performance78.9%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Willson Contreras Willson Contreras is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 91.3
run_prevention Jovani Morán Jovani Morán is suppressing offense at an elite rate 82.2
run_prevention Garrett Whitlock Garrett Whitlock is suppressing offense at an elite rate 80.0
run_prevention Ranger Suarez Ranger Suarez is suppressing offense at an elite rate 79.4
milestone Sonny Gray Sonny Gray reached 2,000 career strikeouts 78.9
pitch_identity Jovani Morán Jovani Morán’s Changeup: 83.1 mph, 49.5% whiffs 76.9
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.