Boston Red Sox Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Boston Red Sox.
SABRhood team report

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox ranks 7th in run generation and 2nd in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 0 recent risers.

League intelligence# 4 74.0 index
Run generation#7
Composite score 61.4
Pitching#2
Composite score 86.6
Recent play#25
0 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#25
Current state taxed
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsCatcher / OutfieldClearest upgrade lanesFirst base / Second base
CStrength

Catcher

3.4WAR#2 of 30
Top valueWillson Contreras3.5 WAR
1BNeed

First base

-0.2WAR#27 of 30
Top valueRomy Gonzalez-0.2 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.6WAR#24 of 30
Top valueNick Sogard0.4 WAR
3BMiddle

Third base

1.7WAR#13 of 29
Top valueCaleb Durbin1.7 WAR
SSNeed

Shortstop

0.7WAR#22 of 28
Top valueIsiah Kiner-Falefa1.1 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

5.9WAR#6 of 30
Top valueCeddanne Rafaela3.9 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

0.3WAR#9 of 20
Top valueRoman Anthony0.3 WAR
SPStrength

Starting pitching

10.9WAR#7 of 30
Top valueRanger Suarez3.3 WAR
RPStrength

Relief pitching

4.1WAR#7 of 30
Top valueAroldis Chapman1.4 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Boston Red Sox’s analytical identity

    Boston Red Sox ranks 7th in run generation and 2nd in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 0 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Trevor Story is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 0.838 versus 0.547 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Erik Miller’s Slider: 85.7 mph, 53.7% whiffs

    Quality score 84.2; usage 46.9%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Mickey Gasper

Boston Red Sox | RHB

41.8
Season PA192OPS0.870Est. wOBA0.375Samplemoderate
Biggest changewalk rate +2.57 z

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 93rd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS96th
0.870
Est. wOBA97th
0.375
Strikeout rate88th
14.6%
Walk rate93rd
13.0%
Hard-hit rate39th
37.6%
Run value / PA92nd
0.048
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+0.76 z
Recent 0.990 baseline 0.838
Est. wOBA+0.80 z
Recent 0.424 baseline 0.361
Strikeout rate+0.11 z
Recent 14.0% baseline 14.8%
Walk rate+2.57 z
Recent 23.3% baseline 10.1%
Hard-hit rate-0.60 z
Recent 32.0% baseline 38.9%
Run value / PA-0.34 z
Recent 0.021 baseline 0.055
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 93rd percentile. Recent sample: 43 PA; prior sample: 149 PA.
Hitter change profile

Caleb Durbin

Boston Red Sox | RHB

34.0
Season PA529OPS0.703Est. wOBA0.309Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate +2.03 z

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 45th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS36th
0.703
Est. wOBA41st
0.309
Strikeout rate91st
13.8%
Walk rate45th
8.3%
Hard-hit rate4th
25.7%
Run value / PA66th
0.020
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-0.61 z
Recent 0.565 baseline 0.715
Est. wOBA-0.26 z
Recent 0.283 baseline 0.312
Strikeout rate-0.93 z
Recent 19.6% baseline 13.2%
Walk rate+2.03 z
Recent 17.6% baseline 7.3%
Hard-hit rate+0.58 z
Recent 30.0% baseline 25.3%
Run value / PA-0.89 z
Recent -0.054 baseline 0.027
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 45th percentile. Recent sample: 51 PA; prior sample: 478 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Wilyer AbreuBoston Red Sox114
  2. 2Jarren DuranBoston Red Sox108
  3. 3Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox95
  4. 4Adley RutschmanBoston Red Sox58
  5. 5Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox55
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Roman AnthonyBoston Red Sox37.5%
  2. 2Jahmai JonesBoston Red Sox34.1%
  3. 3Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox31.2%
  4. 4Jarren DuranBoston Red Sox29.7%
  5. 5Romy GonzalezBoston Red Sox28.9%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Tyron GuerreroBoston Red Sox277
  2. 2Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox26
  3. 3Erik MillerBoston Red Sox0
  4. 4Payton TolleBoston Red Sox0
  5. 5Brayan BelloBoston Red Sox0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Tyron GuerreroBoston Red Sox48.3%
  2. 2Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox3.3%
  3. 3Erik MillerBoston Red Sox0.0%
  4. 4Payton TolleBoston Red Sox0.0%
  5. 5Brayan BelloBoston Red Sox0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox0.282
  2. 2Isiah Kiner-FalefaBoston Red Sox0.275
  3. 3Masataka YoshidaBoston Red Sox0.274
  4. 4Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox0.273
  5. 5Mickey GasperBoston Red Sox0.269
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox26
  2. 2Wilyer AbreuBoston Red Sox23
  3. 3Jarren DuranBoston Red Sox20
  4. 4Curtis MeadBoston Red Sox17
  5. 5Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox16
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Willson ContrerasBoston Red Sox0.894
  2. 2Mickey GasperBoston Red Sox0.870
  3. 3Curtis MeadBoston Red Sox0.845
  4. 4Wilyer AbreuBoston Red Sox0.795
  5. 5Ceddanne RafaelaBoston Red Sox0.758
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Payton TolleBoston Red Sox159
  2. 2Sonny GrayBoston Red Sox135
  3. 3Ranger SuarezBoston Red Sox122
  4. 4Connelly EarlyBoston Red Sox93
  5. 5Jake BennettBoston Red Sox81
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Erik MillerBoston Red Sox35.4%
  2. 2Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox32.3%
  3. 3Garrett WhitlockBoston Red Sox30.0%
  4. 4Payton TolleBoston Red Sox28.9%
  5. 5Justin SlatenBoston Red Sox28.5%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Garrett WhitlockBoston Red Sox0.506
  2. 2Alec GamboaBoston Red Sox0.571
  3. 3Erik MillerBoston Red Sox0.584
  4. 4Aroldis ChapmanBoston Red Sox0.590
  5. 5Jake BennettBoston Red Sox0.599
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · LHP

Ranger Suarez

100.0 IP · 3.15 ERA · 3.3 WAR

2,007 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
SinkerSI · 494 pitches 24.6% 90.36th pct 10.4%45th pct 26.1%56th pct 52.6%27th pct 0.0%100th pct 40.3%56th pct
Four-Seam FastballFF · 480 pitches 23.9% 91.56th pct 13.6%25th pct 21.7%17th pct 52.1%48th pct 0.0%100th pct 31.7%90th pct
CutterFC · 407 pitches 20.3% 88.026th pct 13.5%8th pct 30.2%59th pct 49.6%37th pct 0.0%100th pct 28.2%82nd pct
CurveballCU · 349 pitches 17.4% 75.68th pct 38.1%84th pct 44.0%98th pct 33.5%13th pct 0.0%100th pct 30.4%64th pct
ChangeupCH · 277 pitches 13.8% 81.110th pct 26.3%39th pct 33.0%39th pct 25.6%9th pct 0.0%100th pct 24.5%76th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge71.8

Jake Bennett

Boston Red Sox

Jake Bennett is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.185
vs R0.287

Estimated wOBA: 0.185 vs L, 0.287 vs R.

pitcher edge70.7

Greg Weissert

Boston Red Sox

Greg Weissert is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.372
vs R0.261

Estimated wOBA: 0.372 vs L, 0.261 vs R.

hitter edge68.9

Wilyer Abreu

Boston Red Sox

Wilyer Abreu is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.385
vs R0.319

Estimated wOBA: 0.385 vs L, 0.319 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter92.0

Erik Miller

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability92.2%Matchup100.0%Performance80.4%
Right-handed batter80.9

Greg Weissert

RHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability92.8%Matchup70.0%Performance59.0%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Willson Contreras Willson Contreras is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 91.6
Curtis Mead Curtis Mead is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.5
Garrett Whitlock Garrett Whitlock is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 84.7
Mickey Gasper Mickey Gasper is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 83.0
Erik Miller Erik Miller is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 82.7
Erik Miller Erik Miller’s Slider: 85.7 mph, 53.7% whiffs 80.6
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.