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The SABRhood

MLB analysis for fans, journalists, and broadcasters.

Intelligence for the ’hood

See the game before the box score explains it.

The SABRhood combines pitch-level research, daily signals, simulation, history, and journalistic reporting for fans and broadcasters.

Open today’s headlines Explore today’s projections

Built for
FansUnderstand the game beyond the box score.
BroadcastersBuild game-day prep from one research desk.
JournalistsFind the next lead in the Trend Engine.
Headliners

Find headlines from different angles every day.

The engine hand picks new stories to keep things fresh.

Offensive race94.0

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

Yordan Alvarez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases

OPS 1.060; race score 96.8.

Run prevention92.0

Jacob Misiorowski

Milwaukee Brewers

Jacob Misiorowski is suppressing offense at an elite rate

OPS allowed 0.453; race score 94.3.

Pitch identity87.3

Cristopher Sánchez

Philadelphia Phillies

Cristopher Sánchez’s Changeup: 87.0 mph, 42.6% whiffs

Pitch quality score 89.0.

Team intelligence87.2

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers has a new league-wide reporting lead

Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 1st in offensive quality and 1st in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 0 surge signals.

Open the complete Story Engine
The Trend Engine

The winds have changed, where are these players heading now?

Our engine searches for the players with the most movement against there season averages.

Pitcher change profile

Joe Ryan

Minnesota Twins | RHP

59.7
Season BF479OPS allowed0.666Est. wOBA allowed0.287Samplestrong
Biggest changeestimated wOBA allowed -4.0 SD

Estimated wOBA allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 4.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 71st percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed68th
0.666
Est. wOBA allowed71st
0.287
Hard-hit rate allowed23rd
42.5%
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
Est. wOBA allowed-4.0 SD
Recent 0.647 vs baseline 0.266
Cooling0 SDImproving
Broadcast read: Estimated wOBA allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 4.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 71st percentile. Recent sample: 26 BF; prior sample: 453 BF.
Pitcher change profile

Braxton Ashcraft

Pittsburgh Pirates | RHP

53.5
Season BF481OPS allowed0.698Est. wOBA allowed0.301Samplestrong
Biggest changerun value allowed per PA -3.7 SD

Run value allowed per PA is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 52nd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed53rd
0.698
Est. wOBA allowed56th
0.301
Hard-hit rate allowed25th
42.3%
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
Run value allowed / PA-3.7 SD
Recent 0.324 vs baseline -0.022
Cooling0 SDImproving
Broadcast read: Run value allowed per PA is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 52nd percentile. Recent sample: 20 BF; prior sample: 461 BF.
Hitter change profile

Ty France

San Diego Padres | RHB

48.6
Season PA270OPS0.876Est. wOBA0.368Samplestrong
Biggest changerun value per PA +3.0 SD

Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 81st percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS93rd
0.876
Est. wOBA92nd
0.368
Hard-hit rate90th
50.3%
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
Run value / PA+3.0 SD
Recent 0.251 vs baseline -0.002
Cooling0 SDImproving
Broadcast read: Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 81st percentile. Recent sample: 44 PA; prior sample: 226 PA.
Hitter change profile

Esmerlyn Valdez

Pittsburgh Pirates | RHB

48.4
Season PA139OPS1.057Est. wOBA0.433Samplemoderate
Biggest changewalk rate +3.0 SD

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 92nd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS100th
1.057
Est. wOBA100th
0.433
Hard-hit rate97th
54.4%
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
Walk rate+3.0 SD
Recent 23.1% vs baseline 9.0%
Cooling0 SDImproving
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 92nd percentile. Recent sample: 39 PA; prior sample: 100 PA.
Open the full Player Change Engine
Simulation center preview

Probabilities with the uncertainty left in

The future daily board will report a lean, a score range, and the factors behind the number — never a naked percentage.

Game 1 · scheduled slateNarrow lean
AwayCleveland Guardians43.0%
HomeTampa Bay Rays57.0%
Mean score3.4 – 3.9Model total7.3One-run game39.1%
Tampa Bay Rays 57.0%20,000 draws · conditional orders · matched starters
Game 2 · scheduled slateClear lean
AwayArizona Diamondbacks64.5%
HomeWashington Nationals35.5%
Mean score5.1 – 4.0Model total9.1One-run game33.8%
Arizona Diamondbacks 64.5%20,000 draws · conditional orders · matched starters
Game 3 · scheduled slateClear lean
AwayChicago Cubs31.8%
HomePittsburgh Pirates68.2%
Mean score4.3 – 5.8Model total10.1One-run game30.1%
Pittsburgh Pirates 68.2%20,000 draws · conditional orders · matched starters
Preview the complete projection board
From our writers

Stories from the Sabrhood

Original stories crafted from our own research engine.

Artwork for Caleb Durbin is Digging Deep
Boston Red Sox | Hitting

Caleb Durbin is Digging Deep

There is a heat wave in Boston, centralized entirely in Caleb Durbin’s bat.

June 29, 2026Read story →
Artwork for Breaking Down Bello
Boston Red Sox | Pitching

Breaking Down Bello

A pitch-level look at Brayan Bello’s arsenal, results, and changing approach.

June 10, 2026Read story →
Artwork for A.J. Ewing Gets the Call
New York Mets | Prospects

A.J. Ewing Gets the Call

Can an early-season call-up change the direction of a club searching for a spark?

May 12, 2026Read story →
Open the full article archive
Around the league

Complete team reports

Taking you to every clubhouse around the league.

Rank Team Index Offense Run prev. Surging Pen Top driver
1 Los Angeles Dodgers 87.2 1 1 0 ready Roki Sasaki (Pitcher)
2 Milwaukee Brewers 78.6 6 2 1 ready Joey Ortiz (Hitter)
3 Tampa Bay Rays 69.0 9 7 1 ready Chris Roycroft (Pitcher)
4 Atlanta Braves 65.3 7 6 1 ready Drake Baldwin (Hitter)
5 Chicago Cubs 64.3 4 27 2 ready David Peterson (Pitcher)
6 Detroit Tigers 62.1 20 4 1 ready Hao-Yu Lee (Hitter)
7 New York Yankees 60.0 15 3 0 ready Paul Blackburn (Pitcher)
8 Pittsburgh Pirates 59.3 2 16 3 ready Bubba Chandler (Pitcher)
Open all 30 team reports

Research catered to you

Here to answer all of YOUR baseball questions.

Awards races, season leaders, matchup splits, daily historical notes, simulations, and reporting leads—organized around the questions baseball people actually ask.

Player intelligence Player Change Engine Performance races Story Engine Matchup edges Team pulse History desk Daily newsletter Research archive Broadcast services Read the methodology

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