Atlanta Braves Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Atlanta Braves.
SABRhood team report

Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves ranks 12th in run generation and 6th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 0 recent risers.

League intelligence# 7 64.2 index
Run generation#12
Composite score 54.3
Pitching#6
Composite score 74.1
Recent play#16
0 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#8
Current state rested
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsOutfield / Relief pitchingClearest upgrade lanesShortstop / Starting pitching
CMiddle

Catcher

1.6WAR#14 of 30
Top valueDrake Baldwin2.3 WAR
1BStrength

First base

3.3WAR#8 of 30
Top valueMatt Olson3.3 WAR
2BMiddle

Second base

1.6WAR#18 of 30
Top valueOzzie Albies1.6 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

0.5WAR#20 of 29
Top valueAustin Riley0.4 WAR
SSNeed

Shortstop

-0.3WAR#27 of 28
Top valueJorge Mateo0.5 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

6.9WAR#4 of 30
Top valueMichael Harris II2.9 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

5.7WAR#23 of 30
Top valueChris Sale3.9 WAR
RPStrength

Relief pitching

4.3WAR#4 of 30
Top valueDylan Lee1.7 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Atlanta Braves’s analytical identity

    Atlanta Braves ranks 12th in run generation and 6th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 0 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Tyler Mahle is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.495 versus 0.714 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Dylan Lee’s Slider: 82.9 mph, 40.6% whiffs

    Quality score 81.4; usage 52.3%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Didier Fuentes

Atlanta Braves | RHP

49.1
Season BF288OPS allowed0.568Est. wOBA allowed0.251Samplestrong
Biggest changehard-hit rate allowed +3.29 z

Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 86th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed91st
0.568
Est. wOBA allowed91st
0.251
Strikeout rate95th
31.6%
Walk rate allowed71st
6.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed86th
32.8%
Run value allowed / PA96th
-0.064
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.65 z
Recent 0.432 baseline 0.581
Est. wOBA allowed+0.58 z
Recent 0.204 baseline 0.255
Strikeout rate-0.31 z
Recent 29.2% baseline 31.8%
Walk rate allowed-0.35 z
Recent 8.3% baseline 6.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed+3.29 z
Recent 0.0% baseline 35.8%
Run value allowed / PA-0.13 z
Recent -0.043 baseline -0.066
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 86th percentile. Recent sample: 24 BF; prior sample: 264 BF.
Pitcher change profile

JR Ritchie

Atlanta Braves | RHP

38.2
Season BF278OPS allowed0.774Est. wOBA allowed0.338Samplestrong
Biggest changeOPS allowed -2.59 z

OPS allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 18th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed18th
0.774
Est. wOBA allowed18th
0.338
Strikeout rate40th
20.9%
Walk rate allowed4th
13.3%
Hard-hit rate allowed25th
40.9%
Run value allowed / PA21st
0.023
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed-2.59 z
Recent 1.455 baseline 0.714
Est. wOBA allowed-2.28 z
Recent 0.573 baseline 0.318
Strikeout rate+0.29 z
Recent 22.7% baseline 20.7%
Walk rate allowed+0.82 z
Recent 9.1% baseline 13.7%
Hard-hit rate allowed-1.67 z
Recent 57.1% baseline 39.5%
Run value allowed / PA-1.53 z
Recent 0.175 baseline 0.010
Broadcast read: OPS allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 18th percentile. Recent sample: 22 BF; prior sample: 256 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Matt OlsonAtlanta Braves166
  2. 2Michael Harris IIAtlanta Braves161
  3. 3Drake BaldwinAtlanta Braves135
  4. 4Austin RileyAtlanta Braves111
  5. 5Ronald Acuña Jr.Atlanta Braves98
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Matt OlsonAtlanta Braves37.8%
  2. 2Michael Harris IIAtlanta Braves35.2%
  3. 3Sean MurphyAtlanta Braves34.9%
  4. 4Drake BaldwinAtlanta Braves33.7%
  5. 5Ronald Acuña Jr.Atlanta Braves33.2%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Didier FuentesAtlanta Braves16
  2. 2Robert SuarezAtlanta Braves14
  3. 3Victor MederosAtlanta Braves2
  4. 4AJ Smith-ShawverAtlanta Braves1
  5. 5Chris SaleAtlanta Braves1
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Robert SuarezAtlanta Braves3.0%
  2. 2Didier FuentesAtlanta Braves1.4%
  3. 3Victor MederosAtlanta Braves0.4%
  4. 4AJ Smith-ShawverAtlanta Braves0.2%
  5. 5Chris SaleAtlanta Braves0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Michael Harris IIAtlanta Braves0.287
  2. 2Drake BaldwinAtlanta Braves0.282
  3. 3Mauricio DubónAtlanta Braves0.273
  4. 4Ronald Acuña Jr.Atlanta Braves0.259
  5. 5Dominic SmithAtlanta Braves0.255
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Matt OlsonAtlanta Braves40
  2. 2Michael Harris IIAtlanta Braves26
  3. 3Drake BaldwinAtlanta Braves24
  4. 4Ozzie AlbiesAtlanta Braves22
  5. 5Ronald Acuña Jr.Atlanta Braves20
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Matt OlsonAtlanta Braves0.826
  2. 2Ronald Acuña Jr.Atlanta Braves0.811
  3. 3Drake BaldwinAtlanta Braves0.810
  4. 4Michael Harris IIAtlanta Braves0.796
  5. 5Mauricio DubónAtlanta Braves0.711
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Chris SaleAtlanta Braves190
  2. 2Tyler MahleAtlanta Braves133
  3. 3Bryce ElderAtlanta Braves121
  4. 4Grant HolmesAtlanta Braves114
  5. 5Martín PérezAtlanta Braves102
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Didier FuentesAtlanta Braves31.6%
  2. 2Chris SaleAtlanta Braves30.2%
  3. 3Dylan LeeAtlanta Braves29.8%
  4. 4Dylan DoddAtlanta Braves27.8%
  5. 5Spencer StriderAtlanta Braves27.7%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Robert SuarezAtlanta Braves0.444
  2. 2Didier FuentesAtlanta Braves0.568
  3. 3Dylan LeeAtlanta Braves0.568
  4. 4Dylan DoddAtlanta Braves0.569
  5. 5Chris SaleAtlanta Braves0.572
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · LHP

Chris Sale

117.0 IP · 2.08 ERA · 3.9 WAR

2,477 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 1,013 pitches 40.9% 96.173rd pct 22.4%78th pct 32.6%82nd pct 55.5%76th pct 0.0%100th pct 45.1%43rd pct
SliderSL · 987 pitches 39.8% 79.72nd pct 36.8%74th pct 37.5%72nd pct 43.0%47th pct 0.0%100th pct 21.7%94th pct
ChangeupCH · 260 pitches 10.5% 88.576th pct 28.0%45th pct 42.3%83rd pct 42.7%78th pct 0.0%100th pct 42.2%15th pct
SinkerSI · 217 pitches 8.8% 95.672nd pct 6.7%11th pct 37.5%94th pct 59.4%72nd pct 0.0%100th pct 30.4%89th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge75.9

Drake Baldwin

Atlanta Braves

Drake Baldwin is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.301
vs R0.379

Estimated wOBA: 0.301 vs L, 0.379 vs R.

pitcher edge75.2

Tyler Mahle

Atlanta Braves

Tyler Mahle is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.267
vs R0.345

Estimated wOBA: 0.267 vs L, 0.345 vs R.

hitter edge69.5

Lane Thomas

Atlanta Braves

Lane Thomas is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.350
vs R0.276

Estimated wOBA: 0.350 vs L, 0.276 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter89.7

Dylan Lee

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability85.6%Matchup100.0%Performance81.9%
Right-handed batter80.9

Didier Fuentes

RHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability77.8%Matchup70.0%Performance83.0%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Drake Baldwin Drake Baldwin is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 88.1
Chris Sale Chris Sale is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 87.9
Matt Olson Matt Olson is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 87.7
Didier Fuentes Didier Fuentes is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 86.3
Dylan Lee Dylan Lee is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 85.4
Ronald Acuña Jr. Ronald Acuña Jr. is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 85.3
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.