Toronto Blue Jays Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Toronto Blue Jays.
SABRhood team report

Toronto Blue Jays

Toronto Blue Jays ranks 29th in run generation and 14th in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 5 recent risers.

League intelligence# 26 33.2 index
Run generation#29
Composite score 16.9
Pitching#14
Composite score 49.5
Recent play#1
5 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#23
Current state taxed
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsRelief pitching / Second baseClearest upgrade lanesDesignated hitter
CStrength

Catcher

2.6WAR#7 of 30
Top valueBrandon Valenzuela1.8 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

0.5WAR#20 of 30
Top valueVladimir Guerrero Jr.1.1 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

2.8WAR#6 of 30
Top valueErnie Clement1.5 WAR
3BStrength

Third base

2.0WAR#10 of 29
Top valueKazuma Okamoto2.0 WAR
OFMiddle

Outfield

3.5WAR#16 of 30
Top valueDaulton Varsho1.2 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

-0.1WAR#13 of 20
Top valueEloy Jiménez-0.1 WAR
SPMiddle

Starting pitching

7.9WAR#15 of 30
Top valueDylan Cease4.3 WAR
RPStrength

Relief pitching

5.4WAR#2 of 30
Top valueLouis Varland2.5 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Toronto Blue Jays’s analytical identity

    Toronto Blue Jays ranks 29th in run generation and 14th in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 5 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Myles Straw is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.031 versus 0.604 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Dylan Cease’s Slider: 88.8 mph, 41.6% whiffs

    Quality score 82.2; usage 30.3%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Myles Straw

Toronto Blue Jays | RHB

35.3
Season PA293OPS0.650Est. wOBA0.285Samplestrong
Biggest changeestimated wOBA +2.26 z

Estimated wOBA is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 14th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS13th
0.650
Est. wOBA14th
0.285
Strikeout rate92nd
13.3%
Walk rate44th
8.2%
Hard-hit rate5th
26.6%
Run value / PA12th
-0.023
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+2.00 z
Recent 1.031 baseline 0.604
Est. wOBA+2.26 z
Recent 0.454 baseline 0.264
Strikeout rate+0.68 z
Recent 9.1% baseline 13.8%
Walk rate+2.21 z
Recent 18.2% baseline 6.9%
Hard-hit rate+0.87 z
Recent 33.3% baseline 25.9%
Run value / PA+1.47 z
Recent 0.085 baseline -0.037
Broadcast read: Estimated wOBA is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 14th percentile. Recent sample: 33 PA; prior sample: 260 PA.
Hitter change profile

George Springer

Toronto Blue Jays | RHB

29.5
Season PA464OPS0.730Est. wOBA0.317Samplestrong
Biggest changerun value per PA +1.81 z

Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 51st percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS51st
0.730
Est. wOBA52nd
0.317
Strikeout rate70th
18.3%
Walk rate58th
9.3%
Hard-hit rate40th
37.8%
Run value / PA51st
0.009
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+1.17 z
Recent 0.949 baseline 0.706
Est. wOBA+1.11 z
Recent 0.399 baseline 0.309
Strikeout rate+0.02 z
Recent 18.2% baseline 18.3%
Walk rate-0.43 z
Recent 6.8% baseline 9.5%
Hard-hit rate+0.64 z
Recent 42.4% baseline 37.2%
Run value / PA+1.81 z
Recent 0.145 baseline -0.006
Broadcast read: Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 51st percentile. Recent sample: 44 PA; prior sample: 420 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Toronto Blue Jays134
  2. 2Kazuma OkamotoToronto Blue Jays94
  3. 3George SpringerToronto Blue Jays74
  4. 4Jesús SánchezToronto Blue Jays61
  5. 5Alejandro KirkToronto Blue Jays51
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Toronto Blue Jays31.2%
  2. 2Yohendrick PiñangoToronto Blue Jays31.2%
  3. 3Jesús SánchezToronto Blue Jays30.0%
  4. 4Kazuma OkamotoToronto Blue Jays27.0%
  5. 5Alejandro KirkToronto Blue Jays24.8%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Louis VarlandToronto Blue Jays57
  2. 2José SorianoToronto Blue Jays5
  3. 3Dylan CeaseToronto Blue Jays3
  4. 4Spencer MilesToronto Blue Jays1
  5. 5Yariel RodríguezToronto Blue Jays0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Louis VarlandToronto Blue Jays5.0%
  2. 2José SorianoToronto Blue Jays0.2%
  3. 3Dylan CeaseToronto Blue Jays0.1%
  4. 4Spencer MilesToronto Blue Jays0.1%
  5. 5Yariel RodríguezToronto Blue Jays0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Brett BatemanToronto Blue Jays0.330
  2. 2Alejandro KirkToronto Blue Jays0.275
  3. 3Ernie ClementToronto Blue Jays0.272
  4. 4Nathan LukesToronto Blue Jays0.270
  5. 5Vladimir Guerrero Jr.Toronto Blue Jays0.261
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Kazuma OkamotoToronto Blue Jays30
  2. 2George SpringerToronto Blue Jays14
  3. 3Nathan LukesToronto Blue Jays10
  4. 4Alejandro KirkToronto Blue Jays9
  5. 5Ernie ClementToronto Blue Jays9
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Brett BatemanToronto Blue Jays0.784
  2. 2Kazuma OkamotoToronto Blue Jays0.764
  3. 3Alejandro KirkToronto Blue Jays0.750
  4. 4Jesús SánchezToronto Blue Jays0.732
  5. 5George SpringerToronto Blue Jays0.730
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Dylan CeaseToronto Blue Jays227
  2. 2José SorianoToronto Blue Jays154
  3. 3Spencer ArrighettiToronto Blue Jays100
  4. 4Trey YesavageToronto Blue Jays91
  5. 5Louis VarlandToronto Blue Jays87
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Dylan CeaseToronto Blue Jays35.0%
  2. 2Brendon LittleToronto Blue Jays33.9%
  3. 3Louis VarlandToronto Blue Jays31.0%
  4. 4Paul SewaldToronto Blue Jays25.8%
  5. 5Mason FluhartyToronto Blue Jays25.6%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Louis VarlandToronto Blue Jays0.514
  2. 2Dylan CeaseToronto Blue Jays0.531
  3. 3Tyler RogersToronto Blue Jays0.550
  4. 4Spencer MilesToronto Blue Jays0.559
  5. 5Mason FluhartyToronto Blue Jays0.623
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Dylan Cease

119.1 IP · 2.41 ERA · 4.3 WAR

2,725 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 1,004 pitches 36.8% 97.085th pct 21.9%75th pct 33.0%82nd pct 47.5%17th pct 0.0%100th pct 38.5%74th pct
SliderSL · 826 pitches 30.3% 88.884th pct 41.6%91st pct 43.9%96th pct 38.3%23rd pct 0.0%100th pct 25.0%88th pct
ChangeupCH · 313 pitches 11.5% 81.611th pct 46.6%97th pct 15.8%0th pct 39.3%62nd pct 0.0%100th pct 21.9%87th pct
Knuckle CurveKC · 266 pitches 9.8% 81.946th pct 25.4%29th pct 15.2%4th pct 38.0%43rd pct 0.0%100th pct 47.1%25th pct
SinkerSI · 216 pitches 7.9% 95.977th pct 12.0%61st pct 29.9%72nd pct 50.5%12th pct 0.0%100th pct 35.7%75th pct
SweeperST · 100 pitches 3.7% 83.459th pct 22.6%20th pct 24.2%13th pct 38.0%22nd pct 0.0%100th pct 28.6%56th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge81.3

Mason Fluharty

Toronto Blue Jays

Mason Fluharty is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.195
vs R0.376

Estimated wOBA: 0.195 vs L, 0.376 vs R.

pitcher edge79.5

Michael Lorenzen

Toronto Blue Jays

Michael Lorenzen is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.436
vs R0.346

Estimated wOBA: 0.436 vs L, 0.346 vs R.

pitcher edge75.2

Paul Sewald

Toronto Blue Jays

Paul Sewald is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.377
vs R0.219

Estimated wOBA: 0.377 vs L, 0.219 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter82.5

Joe Mantiply

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability90.6%Matchup100.0%Performance45.3%
Right-handed batter87.5

Spencer Miles

RHP · available · 5 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance73.9%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Dylan Cease Dylan Cease is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 92.1
Louis Varland Louis Varland is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 86.3
Dylan Cease Dylan Cease’s Slider: 88.8 mph, 41.6% whiffs 81.9
Spencer Miles Spencer Miles is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 80.7
Mason Fluharty Mason Fluharty is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 77.4
Trey Yesavage Trey Yesavage is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 76.9
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.