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Colorado Rockies Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Colorado Rockies.
← San Francisco GiantsAll teamsToronto Blue Jays →
SABRhood team report

Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies ranks 13th in run generation and 29th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 1 recent risers.

League intelligence# 24 33.3 index
Run generation#13
Composite score 52.6
Pitching#29
Composite score 14.0
Recent play#27
1 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#2
Current state rested
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsClearest upgrade lanesSecond base / Shortstop
CMiddle

Catcher

2.0WAR#12 of 30
Top valueHunter Goodman2.5 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

1.9WAR#15 of 30
Top valueTJ Rumfield1.9 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

-0.6WAR#29 of 30
Top valueWilli Castro0.5 WAR
3BMiddle

Third base

1.9WAR#11 of 29
Top valueKyle Karros1.9 WAR
SSNeed

Shortstop

-1.3WAR#28 of 28
Top valueEzequiel Tovar-1.3 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

2.2WAR#25 of 30
Top valueJake McCarthy1.7 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

-0.2WAR#16 of 20
Top valueSterlin Thompson-0.2 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

3.2WAR#26 of 30
Top valueMichael Lorenzen0.9 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

2.3WAR#18 of 30
Top valueAntonio Senzatela1.1 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Colorado Rockies’s analytical identity

    Colorado Rockies ranks 13th in run generation and 29th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 1 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Connor Norby is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.007 versus 0.675 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Juan Mejia is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

    Estimated wOBA: 0.397 vs L, 0.279 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Mickey Moniak

Colorado Rockies | LHB

38.6
Season PA426OPS0.764Est. wOBA0.319Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate -2.43 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.4 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 16th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS66th
0.764
Est. wOBA53rd
0.319
Strikeout rate16th
27.5%
Walk rate11th
5.2%
Hard-hit rate57th
41.2%
Run value / PA56th
0.013
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-1.45 z
Recent 0.475 vs baseline 0.792
Est. wOBA-1.47 z
Recent 0.203 vs baseline 0.330
Strikeout rate-2.43 z
Recent 43.2% vs baseline 26.0%
Walk rate+0.16 z
Recent 5.4% vs baseline 5.1%
Hard-hit rate+0.73 z
Recent 47.4% vs baseline 40.8%
Run value / PA-1.84 z
Recent -0.132 vs baseline 0.027
Cooling50Improving
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.4 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 16th percentile. Recent sample: 37 PA; prior sample: 389 PA.
Hitter change profile

Hunter Goodman

Colorado Rockies | RHB

37.0
Season PA546OPS0.835Est. wOBA0.350Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate +2.31 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 5th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS90th
0.835
Est. wOBA87th
0.350
Strikeout rate5th
31.5%
Walk rate36th
7.7%
Hard-hit rate77th
45.1%
Run value / PA35th
-0.004
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-0.30 z
Recent 0.784 vs baseline 0.839
Est. wOBA-0.36 z
Recent 0.325 vs baseline 0.352
Strikeout rate+2.31 z
Recent 15.4% vs baseline 32.7%
Walk rate+0.10 z
Recent 7.7% vs baseline 7.7%
Hard-hit rate-0.12 z
Recent 43.3% vs baseline 45.3%
Run value / PA-1.27 z
Recent -0.105 vs baseline 0.004
Cooling50Improving
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 5th percentile. Recent sample: 39 PA; prior sample: 507 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockies107
  2. 2Kyle KarrosColorado Rockies81
  3. 3Willi CastroColorado Rockies79
  4. 4Jake McCarthyColorado Rockies73
  5. 5Mickey MoniakColorado Rockies66
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockies33.0%
  2. 2Zac VeenColorado Rockies30.3%
  3. 3Kyle KarrosColorado Rockies27.1%
  4. 4Willi CastroColorado Rockies26.4%
  5. 5Sterlin ThompsonColorado Rockies25.0%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Chase DollanderColorado Rockies42
  2. 2Juan MejiaColorado Rockies1
  3. 3Jaden HillColorado Rockies0
  4. 4Nick FrassoColorado Rockies0
  5. 5Ryan FeltnerColorado Rockies0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Chase DollanderColorado Rockies5.7%
  2. 2Juan MejiaColorado Rockies0.1%
  3. 3Jaden HillColorado Rockies0.0%
  4. 4Nick FrassoColorado Rockies0.0%
  5. 5Ryan FeltnerColorado Rockies0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1TJ RumfieldColorado Rockies0.299
  2. 2Jake McCarthyColorado Rockies0.297
  3. 3Troy JohnstonColorado Rockies0.281
  4. 4Cole CarriggColorado Rockies0.270
  5. 5Willi CastroColorado Rockies0.257
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockies39
  2. 2Mickey MoniakColorado Rockies22
  3. 3TJ RumfieldColorado Rockies15
  4. 4Jake McCarthyColorado Rockies15
  5. 5Willi CastroColorado Rockies15
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1TJ RumfieldColorado Rockies0.839
  2. 2Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockies0.835
  3. 3Jake McCarthyColorado Rockies0.829
  4. 4Cole CarriggColorado Rockies0.790
  5. 5Kyle KarrosColorado Rockies0.765
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Kyle FreelandColorado Rockies104
  2. 2Tomoyuki SuganoColorado Rockies91
  3. 3Ryan FeltnerColorado Rockies89
  4. 4Tanner GordonColorado Rockies84
  5. 5Juan MejiaColorado Rockies64
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Jordan RomanoColorado Rockies25.4%
  2. 2Chase DollanderColorado Rockies24.7%
  3. 3Nick FrassoColorado Rockies23.6%
  4. 4Mason AdamsColorado Rockies22.8%
  5. 5Jaden HillColorado Rockies21.5%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Jordan RomanoColorado Rockies0.661
  2. 2Brennan BernardinoColorado Rockies0.676
  3. 3Jaden HillColorado Rockies0.722
  4. 4Chase DollanderColorado Rockies0.724
  5. 5Juan MejiaColorado Rockies0.767
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Michael Lorenzen

104.2 IP · 6.54 ERA · 0.9 WAR

2,399 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
ChangeupCH · 489 pitches 20.4% 84.628th pct 27.6%43rd pct 24.5%11th pct 34.8%39th pct 0.0%100th pct 29.3%57th pct
SinkerSI · 485 pitches 20.2% 93.437th pct 7.8%20th pct 20.6%24th pct 57.9%61st pct 0.0%100th pct 47.9%23rd pct
Four-Seam FastballFF · 455 pitches 19.0% 94.039th pct 8.7%3rd pct 23.1%23rd pct 54.3%66th pct 0.0%100th pct 57.6%3rd pct
CutterFC · 345 pitches 14.4% 90.257th pct 12.5%6th pct 16.6%1st pct 58.0%88th pct 0.0%100th pct 44.4%23rd pct
CurveballCU · 253 pitches 10.5% 82.775th pct 21.7%20th pct 29.6%44th pct 39.9%44th pct 0.0%100th pct 47.6%14th pct
SweeperST · 188 pitches 7.8% 82.855th pct 32.1%65th pct 28.2%29th pct 41.5%42nd pct 0.0%100th pct 48.1%4th pct
SliderSL · 184 pitches 7.7% 86.241st pct 22.2%15th pct 30.6%35th pct 46.7%69th pct 0.0%100th pct 52.4%5th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge80.9

Juan Mejia

Colorado Rockies

Juan Mejia is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.397
vs R0.279

Estimated wOBA: 0.397 vs L, 0.279 vs R.

pitcher edge75.5

Chase Dollander

Colorado Rockies

Chase Dollander is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.389
vs R0.248

Estimated wOBA: 0.389 vs L, 0.248 vs R.

hitter edge75.3

Jordan Beck

Colorado Rockies

Jordan Beck is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.315
vs R0.155

Estimated wOBA: 0.315 vs L, 0.155 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter83.7

Mark Manfredi

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability90.6%Matchup100.0%Performance50.0%
Right-handed batter82.3

Jordan Romano

RHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability93.9%Matchup70.0%Performance63.0%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
TJ Rumfield TJ Rumfield is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 85.2
Jake McCarthy Jake McCarthy is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 83.1
Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 81.5
Kyle Karros Kyle Karros is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 78.6
Cole Carrigg Cole Carrigg is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 77.4
Jordan Romano Jordan Romano’s Slider: 84.0 mph, 32.9% whiffs 72.3
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.
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