Colorado Rockies Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Colorado Rockies.
SABRhood team report

Colorado Rockies

Colorado Rockies ranks 12th in run generation and 27th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 1 recent risers.

League intelligence# 23 35.6 index
Run generation#12
Composite score 54.1
Pitching#27
Composite score 17.1
Recent play#18
1 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#9
Current state usable
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsClearest upgrade lanesSecond base / Shortstop
CMiddle

Catcher

2.0WAR#12 of 30
Top valueHunter Goodman2.5 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

1.9WAR#15 of 30
Top valueTJ Rumfield1.9 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

-0.6WAR#29 of 30
Top valueWilli Castro0.5 WAR
3BMiddle

Third base

1.9WAR#11 of 29
Top valueKyle Karros1.9 WAR
SSNeed

Shortstop

-1.3WAR#28 of 28
Top valueEzequiel Tovar-1.3 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

2.2WAR#25 of 30
Top valueJake McCarthy1.7 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

-0.2WAR#16 of 20
Top valueSterlin Thompson-0.2 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

3.2WAR#26 of 30
Top valueMichael Lorenzen0.9 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

2.3WAR#18 of 30
Top valueAntonio Senzatela1.1 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Colorado Rockies’s analytical identity

    Colorado Rockies ranks 12th in run generation and 27th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 1 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    TJ Rumfield is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.281 versus 0.806 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Juan Mejia is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

    Estimated wOBA: 0.394 vs L, 0.280 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

TJ Rumfield

Colorado Rockies | LHB

45.4
Season PA570OPS0.848Est. wOBA0.369Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate +2.69 z

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 85th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS93rd
0.848
Est. wOBA95th
0.369
Strikeout rate91st
13.9%
Walk rate85th
11.6%
Hard-hit rate7th
28.0%
Run value / PA97th
0.061
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+2.22 z
Recent 1.281 baseline 0.806
Est. wOBA+2.16 z
Recent 0.534 baseline 0.352
Strikeout rate+0.73 z
Recent 9.3% baseline 14.3%
Walk rate+2.69 z
Recent 24.1% baseline 10.3%
Hard-hit rate+1.33 z
Recent 38.9% baseline 26.9%
Run value / PA+1.25 z
Recent 0.153 baseline 0.051
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 85th percentile. Recent sample: 54 PA; prior sample: 516 PA.
Hitter change profile

Willi Castro

Colorado Rockies | LHB

30.8
Season PA482OPS0.740Est. wOBA0.322Samplestrong
Biggest changehard-hit rate -2.03 z

Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 49th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS57th
0.740
Est. wOBA56th
0.322
Strikeout rate19th
26.8%
Walk rate48th
8.5%
Hard-hit rate49th
39.9%
Run value / PA65th
0.019
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-0.96 z
Recent 0.524 baseline 0.751
Est. wOBA-0.69 z
Recent 0.259 baseline 0.326
Strikeout rate+0.12 z
Recent 25.9% baseline 26.8%
Walk rate+1.34 z
Recent 14.8% baseline 8.1%
Hard-hit rate-2.03 z
Recent 20.0% baseline 40.9%
Run value / PA-1.17 z
Recent -0.081 baseline 0.025
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 49th percentile. Recent sample: 27 PA; prior sample: 455 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockies100
  2. 2Willi CastroColorado Rockies79
  3. 3Kyle KarrosColorado Rockies70
  4. 4Jake McCarthyColorado Rockies68
  5. 5Mickey MoniakColorado Rockies62
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockies33.7%
  2. 2Willi CastroColorado Rockies26.4%
  3. 3Kyle KarrosColorado Rockies26.1%
  4. 4Sterlin ThompsonColorado Rockies25.0%
  5. 5Mickey MoniakColorado Rockies23.3%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Chase DollanderColorado Rockies42
  2. 2Juan MejiaColorado Rockies1
  3. 3Jaden HillColorado Rockies0
  4. 4Nick FrassoColorado Rockies0
  5. 5Ryan FeltnerColorado Rockies0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Chase DollanderColorado Rockies5.7%
  2. 2Juan MejiaColorado Rockies0.1%
  3. 3Jaden HillColorado Rockies0.0%
  4. 4Nick FrassoColorado Rockies0.0%
  5. 5Ryan FeltnerColorado Rockies0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1TJ RumfieldColorado Rockies0.298
  2. 2Jake McCarthyColorado Rockies0.293
  3. 3Troy JohnstonColorado Rockies0.283
  4. 4Cole CarriggColorado Rockies0.263
  5. 5Kyle KarrosColorado Rockies0.258
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockies37
  2. 2Mickey MoniakColorado Rockies22
  3. 3TJ RumfieldColorado Rockies15
  4. 4Jake McCarthyColorado Rockies15
  5. 5Willi CastroColorado Rockies15
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1TJ RumfieldColorado Rockies0.848
  2. 2Hunter GoodmanColorado Rockies0.842
  3. 3Jake McCarthyColorado Rockies0.817
  4. 4Mickey MoniakColorado Rockies0.783
  5. 5Cole CarriggColorado Rockies0.779
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Kyle FreelandColorado Rockies103
  2. 2Ryan FeltnerColorado Rockies81
  3. 3Tomoyuki SuganoColorado Rockies79
  4. 4Tanner GordonColorado Rockies76
  5. 5Juan MejiaColorado Rockies55
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Jordan RomanoColorado Rockies25.0%
  2. 2Chase DollanderColorado Rockies24.7%
  3. 3Jaden HillColorado Rockies22.9%
  4. 4Jimmy HergetColorado Rockies20.1%
  5. 5Juan MejiaColorado Rockies20.0%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Jordan RomanoColorado Rockies0.629
  2. 2Brennan BernardinoColorado Rockies0.682
  3. 3Jaden HillColorado Rockies0.708
  4. 4Chase DollanderColorado Rockies0.724
  5. 5Gabriel HughesColorado Rockies0.729
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Michael Lorenzen

104.2 IP · 6.54 ERA · 0.9 WAR

2,282 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
ChangeupCH · 474 pitches 20.8% 84.627th pct 28.0%43rd pct 25.2%12th pct 35.4%42nd pct 0.0%100th pct 30.4%50th pct
SinkerSI · 449 pitches 19.7% 93.335th pct 7.4%18th pct 20.9%26th pct 57.5%57th pct 0.0%100th pct 48.2%24th pct
Four-Seam FastballFF · 445 pitches 19.5% 94.038th pct 8.3%2nd pct 23.4%23rd pct 54.8%71st pct 0.0%100th pct 57.1%4th pct
CutterFC · 326 pitches 14.3% 90.258th pct 13.1%7th pct 17.5%2nd pct 58.0%87th pct 0.0%100th pct 44.1%22nd pct
CurveballCU · 251 pitches 11.0% 82.775th pct 21.7%21st pct 29.8%47th pct 39.8%43rd pct 0.0%100th pct 47.6%16th pct
SliderSL · 174 pitches 7.6% 86.240th pct 21.7%13th pct 30.1%30th pct 46.6%67th pct 0.0%100th pct 52.6%4th pct
SweeperST · 163 pitches 7.1% 82.648th pct 33.3%69th pct 27.8%28th pct 40.5%34th pct 0.0%100th pct 50.0%4th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge78.3

Juan Mejia

Colorado Rockies

Juan Mejia is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.394
vs R0.280

Estimated wOBA: 0.394 vs L, 0.280 vs R.

hitter edge76.0

Jordan Beck

Colorado Rockies

Jordan Beck is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.327
vs R0.148

Estimated wOBA: 0.327 vs L, 0.148 vs R.

pitcher edge75.0

Chase Dollander

Colorado Rockies

Chase Dollander is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.389
vs R0.248

Estimated wOBA: 0.389 vs L, 0.248 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter86.1

Brennan Bernardino

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability95.0%Matchup100.0%Performance52.5%
Right-handed batter83.3

Jordan Romano

RHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability94.4%Matchup70.0%Performance66.2%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
TJ Rumfield TJ Rumfield is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 85.7
Hunter Goodman Hunter Goodman is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 83.4
Jake McCarthy Jake McCarthy is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 80.4
Kyle Karros Kyle Karros is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 78.3
Mickey Moniak Mickey Moniak is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 76.3
Cole Carrigg Cole Carrigg is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 73.8
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.