St. Louis Cardinals Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the St. Louis Cardinals.
SABRhood team report

St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals ranks 21st in offensive quality and 19th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 0 surge signals.

League intelligence# 27 32.8 index
Offensive quality#21
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.308
Run prevention#19
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.310
Recent form#23
0 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#19
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsSecond baseClearest upgrade lanesRelief pitching / Third base
CMiddle

Catcher

1.3WAR#16 of 30
Top valueIván Herrera1.0 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

1.9WAR#13 of 30
Top valueAlec Burleson1.9 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

3.0WAR#5 of 30
Top valueJJ Wetherholt3.8 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

-0.2WAR#23 of 29
Top valueBlaze Jordan0.1 WAR
SSMiddle

Shortstop

1.4WAR#16 of 28
Top valueMasyn Winn1.4 WAR
OFMiddle

Outfield

3.2WAR#18 of 30
Top valueJordan Walker2.5 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

-0.1WAR#14 of 20
Top valueNelson Velázquez-0.1 WAR
SPMiddle

Starting pitching

7.5WAR#13 of 30
Top valueDustin May2.5 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

0.7WAR#25 of 30
Top valueRiley O’Brien0.6 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    St. Louis Cardinals’s analytical identity

    St. Louis Cardinals ranks 21st in offensive quality and 19th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 0 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Kyle Leahy is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.450 versus 0.754 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Alec Burleson is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.214 vs L, 0.403 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Iván Herrera

St. Louis Cardinals | RHB

32.1
Season PA456OPS0.725Est. wOBA0.326Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate -2.0 SD

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 71st percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS46th
0.725
Est. wOBA57th
0.326
Strikeout rate73rd
17.3%
Walk rate71st
10.3%
Hard-hit rate36th
38.4%
Run value / PA47th
0.010
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-1.6 SD
Recent 0.350 baseline 0.765
Est. wOBA-1.9 SD
Recent 0.155 baseline 0.343
Strikeout rate-1.2 SD
Recent 26.8% baseline 16.4%
Walk rate-2.0 SD
Recent 0.0% baseline 11.3%
Hard-hit rate-1.6 SD
Recent 20.7% baseline 40.2%
Run value / PA-0.9 SD
Recent -0.075 baseline 0.018
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 71st percentile. Recent sample: 41 PA; prior sample: 415 PA.
Pitcher change profile

Hunter Dobbins

St. Louis Cardinals | RHP

28.4
Season BF119OPS allowed0.717Est. wOBA allowed0.313Samplemoderate
Biggest changewalk rate allowed +1.9 SD

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 40th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed42nd
0.717
Est. wOBA allowed43rd
0.313
Strikeout rate57th
23.5%
Walk rate allowed40th
8.4%
Hard-hit rate allowed3rd
47.5%
Run value allowed / PA88th
-0.047
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.6 SD
Recent 0.596 baseline 0.750
Est. wOBA allowed+0.6 SD
Recent 0.265 baseline 0.325
Strikeout rate-0.5 SD
Recent 20.8% baseline 24.2%
Walk rate allowed+1.9 SD
Recent 0.0% baseline 10.5%
Hard-hit rate allowed+0.3 SD
Recent 44.4% baseline 48.4%
Run value allowed / PA+1.0 SD
Recent -0.127 baseline -0.027
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 40th percentile. Recent sample: 24 BF; prior sample: 95 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals0.287
  2. 2Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals0.285
  3. 3José FermínSt. Louis Cardinals0.261
  4. 4JJ WetherholtSt. Louis Cardinals0.255
  5. 5Blaze JordanSt. Louis Cardinals0.245
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals22
  2. 2Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals15
  3. 3JJ WetherholtSt. Louis Cardinals15
  4. 4Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals11
  5. 5Nathan ChurchSt. Louis Cardinals8
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals0.857
  2. 2Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals0.810
  3. 3JJ WetherholtSt. Louis Cardinals0.746
  4. 4Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals0.725
  5. 5Lars NootbaarSt. Louis Cardinals0.715
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Dustin MaySt. Louis Cardinals103
  2. 2Matthew LiberatoreSt. Louis Cardinals95
  3. 3Andre PallanteSt. Louis Cardinals83
  4. 4Kyle LeahySt. Louis Cardinals79
  5. 5Michael McGreevySt. Louis Cardinals74
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Ryne StanekSt. Louis Cardinals24.7%
  2. 2Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals24.3%
  3. 3Hunter DobbinsSt. Louis Cardinals23.5%
  4. 4JoJo RomeroSt. Louis Cardinals23.4%
  5. 5Dustin MaySt. Louis Cardinals23.2%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Gordon GraceffoSt. Louis Cardinals0.610
  2. 2Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals0.635
  3. 3George SorianoSt. Louis Cardinals0.638
  4. 4Andre PallanteSt. Louis Cardinals0.668
  5. 5Michael McGreevySt. Louis Cardinals0.690
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Breaking identity

Ryan Fernandez

St. Louis Cardinals | Slider

85.8
Whiff44.6%
Chase38.9%
Usage100.0%
Average velocity87.3 mph
Offspeed identity

George Soriano

St. Louis Cardinals | Changeup

80.5
Whiff34.3%
Chase42.3%
Usage34.1%
Average velocity89.9 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge89.0

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals

Alec Burleson is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.214
vs R0.403

Estimated wOBA: 0.214 vs L, 0.403 vs R.

pitcher edge82.7

Kyle Leahy

St. Louis Cardinals

Kyle Leahy is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.374
vs R0.267

Estimated wOBA: 0.374 vs L, 0.267 vs R.

pitcher edge75.9

George Soriano

St. Louis Cardinals

George Soriano is suppressing left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.214
vs R0.341

Estimated wOBA: 0.214 vs L, 0.341 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter81.4

Justin Bruihl

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability91.7%Matchup100.0%Performance38.9%
Right-handed batter77.3

Riley O’Brien

RHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability85.6%Matchup70.0%Performance56.3%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Jordan Walker Jordan Walker is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 89.1
offensive_race Alec Burleson Alec Burleson is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 85.1
pitch_identity Ryan Fernandez Ryan Fernandez’s Slider: 87.3 mph, 44.6% whiffs 76.6
offensive_race JJ Wetherholt JJ Wetherholt is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 75.6
pitch_identity George Soriano George Soriano’s Changeup: 89.9 mph, 34.3% whiffs 74.9
pitch_identity Matthew Liberatore Matthew Liberatore’s Slider: 86.5 mph, 35.4% whiffs 71.0
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.