St. Louis Cardinals Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the St. Louis Cardinals.
SABRhood team report

St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals ranks 26th in run generation and 26th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 0 recent risers.

League intelligence# 29 27.3 index
Run generation#26
Composite score 33.8
Pitching#26
Composite score 20.9
Recent play#18
0 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#12
Current state usable
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsSecond baseClearest upgrade lanesRelief pitching / Third base
CMiddle

Catcher

1.2WAR#20 of 30
Top valueIván Herrera1.0 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

2.0WAR#13 of 30
Top valueAlec Burleson2.0 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

3.0WAR#5 of 30
Top valueJJ Wetherholt3.9 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

-0.2WAR#24 of 29
Top valueBlaze Jordan0.0 WAR
SSMiddle

Shortstop

1.9WAR#15 of 28
Top valueMasyn Winn1.9 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

3.0WAR#21 of 30
Top valueJordan Walker2.4 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

-0.2WAR#15 of 20
Top valueNelson Velázquez-0.2 WAR
SPMiddle

Starting pitching

8.3WAR#11 of 30
Top valueDustin May2.6 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

0.8WAR#25 of 30
Top valueRiley O’Brien0.6 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    St. Louis Cardinals’s analytical identity

    St. Louis Cardinals ranks 26th in run generation and 26th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 0 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Justin Bruihl is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.431 versus 0.710 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Alec Burleson is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.239 vs L, 0.397 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Jordan Walker

St. Louis Cardinals | RHB

47.5
Season PA644OPS0.808Est. wOBA0.345Samplestrong
Biggest changerun value per PA -2.98 z

Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 70th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS82nd
0.808
Est. wOBA79th
0.345
Strikeout rate26th
25.9%
Walk rate34th
7.6%
Hard-hit rate93rd
49.8%
Run value / PA70th
0.025
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-2.16 z
Recent 0.358 baseline 0.836
Est. wOBA-2.07 z
Recent 0.175 baseline 0.356
Strikeout rate-1.27 z
Recent 34.2% baseline 25.4%
Walk rate+0.74 z
Recent 10.5% baseline 7.4%
Hard-hit rate+1.84 z
Recent 66.7% baseline 48.9%
Run value / PA-2.98 z
Recent -0.218 baseline 0.040
Broadcast read: Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 70th percentile. Recent sample: 38 PA; prior sample: 606 PA.
Hitter change profile

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals | LHB

33.6
Season PA649OPS0.812Est. wOBA0.348Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate +2.08 z

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.1 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 41st percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS85th
0.812
Est. wOBA83rd
0.348
Strikeout rate74th
17.7%
Walk rate41st
8.0%
Hard-hit rate93rd
49.9%
Run value / PA97th
0.062
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+0.04 z
Recent 0.831 baseline 0.810
Est. wOBA+0.15 z
Recent 0.365 baseline 0.347
Strikeout rate-1.04 z
Recent 24.4% baseline 17.3%
Walk rate+2.08 z
Recent 17.1% baseline 7.4%
Hard-hit rate+0.52 z
Recent 54.2% baseline 49.7%
Run value / PA+0.71 z
Recent 0.121 baseline 0.058
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.1 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 41st percentile. Recent sample: 41 PA; prior sample: 608 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals159
  2. 2Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals157
  3. 3Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals125
  4. 4JJ WetherholtSt. Louis Cardinals81
  5. 5Masyn WinnSt. Louis Cardinals75
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals37.5%
  2. 2Leo BernalSt. Louis Cardinals36.2%
  3. 3Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals33.1%
  4. 4Thomas SaggeseSt. Louis Cardinals30.8%
  5. 5Jimmy CrooksSt. Louis Cardinals29.1%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals23
  2. 2Ryne StanekSt. Louis Cardinals12
  3. 3Matt SvansonSt. Louis Cardinals0
  4. 4George SorianoSt. Louis Cardinals0
  5. 5Hancel RinconSt. Louis Cardinals0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals2.2%
  2. 2Ryne StanekSt. Louis Cardinals1.1%
  3. 3Matt SvansonSt. Louis Cardinals0.0%
  4. 4George SorianoSt. Louis Cardinals0.0%
  5. 5Gordon GraceffoSt. Louis Cardinals0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals0.283
  2. 2Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals0.276
  3. 3Nathan ChurchSt. Louis Cardinals0.251
  4. 4José FermínSt. Louis Cardinals0.250
  5. 5Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals0.249
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals28
  2. 2Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals23
  3. 3Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals18
  4. 4JJ WetherholtSt. Louis Cardinals17
  5. 5Nathan ChurchSt. Louis Cardinals10
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals0.812
  2. 2Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals0.808
  3. 3Joshua BáezSt. Louis Cardinals0.788
  4. 4Everson PereiraSt. Louis Cardinals0.748
  5. 5Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals0.745
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Matthew LiberatoreSt. Louis Cardinals148
  2. 2Kyle LeahySt. Louis Cardinals129
  3. 3Michael McGreevySt. Louis Cardinals113
  4. 4Andre PallanteSt. Louis Cardinals104
  5. 5Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals64
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Luis GastelumSt. Louis Cardinals29.4%
  2. 2Ryan FernandezSt. Louis Cardinals28.0%
  3. 3Ryne StanekSt. Louis Cardinals24.7%
  4. 4Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals23.2%
  5. 5Matthew LiberatoreSt. Louis Cardinals22.6%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Gordon GraceffoSt. Louis Cardinals0.572
  2. 2Ryan FernandezSt. Louis Cardinals0.664
  3. 3Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals0.667
  4. 4Andre PallanteSt. Louis Cardinals0.673
  5. 5Justin BruihlSt. Louis Cardinals0.691
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Dustin May

109.0 IP · 4.38 ERA · 2.6 WAR

2,305 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 567 pitches 24.6% 96.985th pct 18.8%56th pct 24.2%31st pct 52.6%53rd pct 0.0%100th pct 55.7%6th pct
CutterFC · 551 pitches 23.9% 93.393rd pct 22.3%68th pct 38.0%91st pct 52.3%57th pct 0.0%100th pct 30.8%77th pct
SinkerSI · 453 pitches 19.7% 96.685th pct 16.2%86th pct 29.4%70th pct 55.0%43rd pct 0.0%100th pct 53.7%6th pct
SweeperST · 418 pitches 18.1% 86.088th pct 27.6%45th pct 30.5%42nd pct 42.8%49th pct 0.0%100th pct 33.8%33rd pct
CurveballCU · 171 pitches 7.4% 83.585th pct 30.2%59th pct 31.2%55th pct 34.5%17th pct 0.0%100th pct 61.5%1st pct
ChangeupCH · 145 pitches 6.3% 90.291st pct 19.4%10th pct 27.5%18th pct 37.2%52nd pct 0.0%100th pct 46.2%9th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge89.1

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals

Alec Burleson is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.239
vs R0.397

Estimated wOBA: 0.239 vs L, 0.397 vs R.

pitcher edge82.9

Kyle Leahy

St. Louis Cardinals

Kyle Leahy is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.369
vs R0.266

Estimated wOBA: 0.369 vs L, 0.266 vs R.

pitcher edge81.0

George Soriano

St. Louis Cardinals

George Soriano is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.259
vs R0.394

Estimated wOBA: 0.259 vs L, 0.394 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter81.1

Brycen Mautz

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability83.9%Matchup100.0%Performance50.0%
Right-handed batter81.4

Ryne Stanek

RHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability98.3%Matchup70.0%Performance52.3%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Alec Burleson Alec Burleson is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 89.8
Jordan Walker Jordan Walker is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 85.6
Iván Herrera Iván Herrera is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 77.0
George Soriano George Soriano’s Changeup: 90.0 mph, 33.7% whiffs 74.4
Luis Gastelum Luis Gastelum’s Changeup: 81.7 mph, 50.0% whiffs 72.8
Riley O’Brien Riley O’Brien’s Sweeper: 82.9 mph, 46.5% whiffs 72.6
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.