St. Louis Cardinals Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the St. Louis Cardinals.
SABRhood team report

St. Louis Cardinals

St. Louis Cardinals ranks 23rd in run generation and 26th in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 2 recent risers.

League intelligence# 27 30.6 index
Run generation#23
Composite score 38.8
Pitching#26
Composite score 22.4
Recent play#7
2 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#24
Current state taxed
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsSecond baseClearest upgrade lanesRelief pitching / Third base
CMiddle

Catcher

1.2WAR#20 of 30
Top valueIván Herrera1.0 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

2.0WAR#13 of 30
Top valueAlec Burleson2.0 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

3.0WAR#5 of 30
Top valueJJ Wetherholt3.9 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

-0.2WAR#24 of 29
Top valueBlaze Jordan0.0 WAR
SSMiddle

Shortstop

1.9WAR#15 of 28
Top valueMasyn Winn1.9 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

3.0WAR#21 of 30
Top valueJordan Walker2.4 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

-0.2WAR#15 of 20
Top valueNelson Velázquez-0.2 WAR
SPMiddle

Starting pitching

8.3WAR#11 of 30
Top valueDustin May2.6 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

0.8WAR#25 of 30
Top valueRiley O’Brien0.6 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    St. Louis Cardinals’s analytical identity

    St. Louis Cardinals ranks 23rd in run generation and 26th in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 2 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Thomas Saggese is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.361 versus 0.520 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Alec Burleson is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.234 vs L, 0.401 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Thomas Saggese

St. Louis Cardinals | RHB

62.1
Season PA121OPS0.780Est. wOBA0.333Samplemoderate
Biggest changeOPS +3.88 z

OPS is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 74th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS74th
0.780
Est. wOBA69th
0.333
Strikeout rate16th
27.3%
Walk rate45th
8.3%
Hard-hit rate49th
39.7%
Run value / PA60th
0.015
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+3.88 z
Recent 1.361 baseline 0.520
Est. wOBA+3.69 z
Recent 0.546 baseline 0.232
Strikeout rate+1.98 z
Recent 17.9% baseline 31.7%
Walk rate+0.64 z
Recent 10.3% baseline 7.3%
Hard-hit rate+0.60 z
Recent 42.9% baseline 38.0%
Run value / PA+3.23 z
Recent 0.200 baseline -0.073
Broadcast read: OPS is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 74th percentile. Recent sample: 39 PA; prior sample: 82 PA.
Pitcher change profile

Gordon Graceffo

St. Louis Cardinals | RHP

48.1
Season BF289OPS allowed0.566Est. wOBA allowed0.253Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate +3.02 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 24th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed91st
0.566
Est. wOBA allowed90th
0.253
Strikeout rate24th
18.3%
Walk rate allowed23rd
10.4%
Hard-hit rate allowed11th
43.1%
Run value allowed / PA94th
-0.058
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+1.00 z
Recent 0.361 baseline 0.598
Est. wOBA allowed+1.08 z
Recent 0.166 baseline 0.266
Strikeout rate+3.02 z
Recent 39.5% baseline 15.1%
Walk rate allowed+1.10 z
Recent 5.3% baseline 11.2%
Hard-hit rate allowed+2.01 z
Recent 23.8% baseline 45.4%
Run value allowed / PA+0.99 z
Recent -0.133 baseline -0.047
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 24th percentile. Recent sample: 38 BF; prior sample: 251 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals151
  2. 2Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals148
  3. 3Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals118
  4. 4JJ WetherholtSt. Louis Cardinals80
  5. 5Masyn WinnSt. Louis Cardinals73
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals37.1%
  2. 2Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals32.8%
  3. 3Joshua BáezSt. Louis Cardinals32.7%
  4. 4Jimmy CrooksSt. Louis Cardinals29.1%
  5. 5Nolan GormanSt. Louis Cardinals28.7%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals23
  2. 2Ryne StanekSt. Louis Cardinals12
  3. 3Matt SvansonSt. Louis Cardinals0
  4. 4George SorianoSt. Louis Cardinals0
  5. 5Hancel RinconSt. Louis Cardinals0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals2.3%
  2. 2Ryne StanekSt. Louis Cardinals1.2%
  3. 3Matt SvansonSt. Louis Cardinals0.0%
  4. 4George SorianoSt. Louis Cardinals0.0%
  5. 5Gordon GraceffoSt. Louis Cardinals0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals0.285
  2. 2Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals0.283
  3. 3Thomas SaggeseSt. Louis Cardinals0.275
  4. 4Bryan TorresSt. Louis Cardinals0.259
  5. 5Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals0.251
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals28
  2. 2Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals22
  3. 3JJ WetherholtSt. Louis Cardinals17
  4. 4Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals16
  5. 5Nathan ChurchSt. Louis Cardinals10
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Jordan WalkerSt. Louis Cardinals0.830
  2. 2Alec BurlesonSt. Louis Cardinals0.816
  3. 3Thomas SaggeseSt. Louis Cardinals0.780
  4. 4Everson PereiraSt. Louis Cardinals0.748
  5. 5Iván HerreraSt. Louis Cardinals0.743
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Matthew LiberatoreSt. Louis Cardinals144
  2. 2Kyle LeahySt. Louis Cardinals124
  3. 3Michael McGreevySt. Louis Cardinals106
  4. 4Andre PallanteSt. Louis Cardinals98
  5. 5George SorianoSt. Louis Cardinals62
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Luis GastelumSt. Louis Cardinals30.3%
  2. 2Ryan FernandezSt. Louis Cardinals28.0%
  3. 3Ryne StanekSt. Louis Cardinals24.4%
  4. 4Matthew LiberatoreSt. Louis Cardinals23.6%
  5. 5George SorianoSt. Louis Cardinals23.3%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Gordon GraceffoSt. Louis Cardinals0.566
  2. 2Riley O’BrienSt. Louis Cardinals0.651
  3. 3Ryan FernandezSt. Louis Cardinals0.664
  4. 4Andre PallanteSt. Louis Cardinals0.665
  5. 5Justin BruihlSt. Louis Cardinals0.710
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Dustin May

109.0 IP · 4.38 ERA · 2.6 WAR

2,151 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 550 pitches 25.6% 96.984th pct 17.9%51st pct 24.5%31st pct 52.5%52nd pct 0.0%100th pct 55.2%7th pct
CutterFC · 507 pitches 23.6% 93.394th pct 21.2%58th pct 37.8%90th pct 51.5%51st pct 0.0%100th pct 30.2%76th pct
SweeperST · 403 pitches 18.7% 86.088th pct 27.2%43rd pct 30.7%40th pct 42.7%48th pct 0.0%100th pct 34.4%30th pct
SinkerSI · 399 pitches 18.5% 96.685th pct 16.7%88th pct 30.3%74th pct 56.1%51st pct 0.0%100th pct 55.8%5th pct
CurveballCU · 151 pitches 7.0% 83.484th pct 30.9%60th pct 30.2%50th pct 36.4%27th pct 0.0%100th pct 58.3%1st pct
ChangeupCH · 141 pitches 6.6% 90.392nd pct 18.3%10th pct 27.0%15th pct 36.9%51st pct 0.0%100th pct 48.0%6th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge90.0

Alec Burleson

St. Louis Cardinals

Alec Burleson is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.234
vs R0.401

Estimated wOBA: 0.234 vs L, 0.401 vs R.

pitcher edge86.1

Kyle Leahy

St. Louis Cardinals

Kyle Leahy is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.374
vs R0.256

Estimated wOBA: 0.374 vs L, 0.256 vs R.

pitcher edge78.3

George Soriano

St. Louis Cardinals

George Soriano is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.259
vs R0.380

Estimated wOBA: 0.259 vs L, 0.380 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter75.6

Gordon Graceffo

RHP · available · 6 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup35.0%Performance54.2%
Right-handed batter82.6

Gordon Graceffo

RHP · available · 6 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance54.2%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Alec Burleson Alec Burleson is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 89.4
Jordan Walker Jordan Walker is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 88.4
Thomas Saggese Thomas Saggese is changing the recent-performance baseline 81.3
Iván Herrera Iván Herrera is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 76.4
George Soriano George Soriano’s Changeup: 90.1 mph, 34.9% whiffs 74.0
Riley O’Brien Riley O’Brien’s Sweeper: 83.0 mph, 44.4% whiffs 71.2
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.