Cincinnati Reds Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Cincinnati Reds.
SABRhood team report

Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds ranks 26th in run generation and 29th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 4 recent risers.

League intelligence# 30 24.6 index
Run generation#26
Composite score 32.8
Pitching#29
Composite score 16.4
Recent play#11
4 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#10
Current state usable
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsShortstop / First baseClearest upgrade lanesThird base / Second base
CMiddle

Catcher

1.3WAR#18 of 30
Top valueTyler Stephenson0.8 WAR
1BStrength

First base

2.8WAR#9 of 30
Top valueSal Stewart1.8 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

-0.2WAR#28 of 30
Top valueMatt McLain0.1 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

-3.0WAR#29 of 29
Top valueEugenio Suárez-0.9 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

4.0WAR#4 of 28
Top valueElly De La Cruz4.0 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

1.8WAR#27 of 30
Top valueJJ Bleday1.4 WAR
SPMiddle

Starting pitching

6.9WAR#17 of 30
Top valueChase Burns3.0 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

-0.6WAR#27 of 30
Top valueTejay Antone0.5 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Cincinnati Reds’s analytical identity

    Cincinnati Reds ranks 26th in run generation and 29th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 4 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Elly De La Cruz is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.385 versus 0.812 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Elly De La Cruz is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.446 vs L, 0.338 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Tejay Antone

Cincinnati Reds | RHP

47.1
Season BF209OPS allowed0.682Est. wOBA allowed0.295Samplemoderate
Biggest changestrikeout rate +3.21 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.2 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 68th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed58th
0.682
Est. wOBA allowed61st
0.295
Strikeout rate68th
24.4%
Walk rate allowed67th
7.2%
Hard-hit rate allowed74th
35.1%
Run value allowed / PA74th
-0.025
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed-0.69 z
Recent 0.852 baseline 0.664
Est. wOBA allowed-0.73 z
Recent 0.363 baseline 0.287
Strikeout rate+3.21 z
Recent 47.6% baseline 21.8%
Walk rate allowed-0.56 z
Recent 9.5% baseline 6.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed-0.23 z
Recent 37.5% baseline 34.9%
Run value allowed / PA-0.47 z
Recent 0.016 baseline -0.030
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.2 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 68th percentile. Recent sample: 21 BF; prior sample: 188 BF.
Hitter change profile

Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds | LHB

45.3
Season PA565OPS0.866Est. wOBA0.369Samplestrong
Biggest changeestimated wOBA +2.68 z

Estimated wOBA is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 95th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS95th
0.866
Est. wOBA95th
0.369
Strikeout rate18th
27.1%
Walk rate76th
10.8%
Hard-hit rate96th
52.6%
Run value / PA91st
0.047
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+2.67 z
Recent 1.385 baseline 0.812
Est. wOBA+2.68 z
Recent 0.575 baseline 0.348
Strikeout rate+0.48 z
Recent 24.1% baseline 27.4%
Walk rate+0.53 z
Recent 13.0% baseline 10.6%
Hard-hit rate+1.48 z
Recent 64.7% baseline 51.3%
Run value / PA+2.43 z
Recent 0.232 baseline 0.028
Broadcast read: Estimated wOBA is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 95th percentile. Recent sample: 54 PA; prior sample: 511 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds136
  2. 2Sal StewartCincinnati Reds117
  3. 3JJ BledayCincinnati Reds75
  4. 4Tyler StephensonCincinnati Reds70
  5. 5Spencer SteerCincinnati Reds63
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds39.9%
  2. 2Sal StewartCincinnati Reds27.9%
  3. 3Tyler StephensonCincinnati Reds27.8%
  4. 4Ke’Bryan HayesCincinnati Reds26.3%
  5. 5Spencer SteerCincinnati Reds26.1%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds29
  2. 2Hunter GreeneCincinnati Reds23
  3. 3Luis MeyCincinnati Reds22
  4. 4Zach MaxwellCincinnati Reds18
  5. 5Connor PhillipsCincinnati Reds16
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Zach MaxwellCincinnati Reds6.2%
  2. 2Hunter GreeneCincinnati Reds5.0%
  3. 3Luis MeyCincinnati Reds4.4%
  4. 4Connor PhillipsCincinnati Reds2.9%
  5. 5Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds1.2%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds0.283
  2. 2Blake DunnCincinnati Reds0.282
  3. 3Dane MyersCincinnati Reds0.266
  4. 4Héctor RodríguezCincinnati Reds0.266
  5. 5Sal StewartCincinnati Reds0.264
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Sal StewartCincinnati Reds31
  2. 2Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds25
  3. 3JJ BledayCincinnati Reds22
  4. 4Eugenio SuárezCincinnati Reds22
  5. 5Spencer SteerCincinnati Reds16
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds0.866
  2. 2Sal StewartCincinnati Reds0.806
  3. 3Héctor RodríguezCincinnati Reds0.781
  4. 4Tyler StephensonCincinnati Reds0.749
  5. 5JJ BledayCincinnati Reds0.742
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds176
  2. 2Andrew AbbottCincinnati Reds120
  3. 3Brady SingerCincinnati Reds120
  4. 4Rhett LowderCincinnati Reds90
  5. 5Nick LodoloCincinnati Reds75
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Luis MeyCincinnati Reds32.2%
  2. 2Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds29.2%
  3. 3Graham AshcraftCincinnati Reds28.3%
  4. 4Hunter GreeneCincinnati Reds27.3%
  5. 5Brock BurkeCincinnati Reds24.7%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Graham AshcraftCincinnati Reds0.612
  2. 2Julian GarciaCincinnati Reds0.617
  3. 3Brock BurkeCincinnati Reds0.624
  4. 4Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds0.636
  5. 5Luis MeyCincinnati Reds0.668
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Chase Burns

112.2 IP · 2.40 ERA · 3.0 WAR

2,435 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 1,361 pitches 55.9% 97.691st pct 14.2%28th pct 30.2%68th pct 52.5%52nd pct 0.0%100th pct 38.9%72nd pct
SliderSL · 947 pitches 38.9% 90.296th pct 49.5%99th pct 41.2%90th pct 33.9%8th pct 0.0%100th pct 37.7%42nd pct
ChangeupCH · 127 pitches 5.2% 90.190th pct 33.3%69th pct 27.8%19th pct 23.6%5th pct 0.0%100th pct 25.0%74th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge81.1

Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds

Elly De La Cruz is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.446
vs R0.338

Estimated wOBA: 0.446 vs L, 0.338 vs R.

pitcher edge79.8

Chase Burns

Cincinnati Reds

Chase Burns is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.313
vs R0.216

Estimated wOBA: 0.313 vs L, 0.216 vs R.

hitter edge78.6

Spencer Steer

Cincinnati Reds

Spencer Steer is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.445
vs R0.280

Estimated wOBA: 0.445 vs L, 0.280 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter88.2

Brock Burke

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability88.3%Matchup100.0%Performance71.4%
Right-handed batter81.5

Julian Garcia

RHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability88.3%Matchup70.0%Performance68.8%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 92.5
Sal Stewart Sal Stewart is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 83.8
Chase Burns Chase Burns is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 80.4
Chase Burns Chase Burns’s Slider: 90.2 mph, 49.5% whiffs 79.1
Brock Burke Brock Burke is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 76.7
Tejay Antone Tejay Antone’s Sweeper: 83.9 mph, 29.8% whiffs 74.8
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.