Cincinnati Reds Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Cincinnati Reds.
SABRhood team report

Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds ranks 22nd in offensive quality and 25th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 0 surge signals.

League intelligence# 22 40.5 index
Offensive quality#22
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.308
Run prevention#25
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.319
Recent form#5
0 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#8
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsShortstop / First baseClearest upgrade lanesThird base / Second base
CMiddle

Catcher

1.0WAR#20 of 30
Top valueTyler Stephenson0.6 WAR
1BStrength

First base

2.6WAR#9 of 30
Top valueSal Stewart1.5 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.0WAR#28 of 30
Top valueMatt McLain0.1 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

-2.3WAR#29 of 29
Top valueEugenio Suárez-0.5 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

3.5WAR#4 of 28
Top valueElly De La Cruz3.5 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

1.5WAR#27 of 30
Top valueJJ Bleday1.3 WAR
SPMiddle

Starting pitching

6.6WAR#18 of 30
Top valueChase Burns3.0 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

-1.1WAR#28 of 30
Top valueGraham Ashcraft0.4 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Cincinnati Reds’s analytical identity

    Cincinnati Reds ranks 22nd in offensive quality and 25th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 0 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Brady Singer is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.492 versus 0.848 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Chase Burns’s Slider: 90.4 mph, 49.1% whiffs

    Quality score 85.4; usage 39.7%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Hunter Greene

Cincinnati Reds | RHP

45.5
Season BF94OPS allowed0.722Est. wOBA allowed0.313Sampledeveloping
Biggest changestrikeout rate -2.7 SD

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 96th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed41st
0.722
Est. wOBA allowed44th
0.313
Strikeout rate96th
30.9%
Walk rate allowed53rd
7.4%
Hard-hit rate allowed6th
46.6%
Run value allowed / PA3rd
0.065
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.0 SD
Recent 0.711 baseline 0.733
Est. wOBA allowed+0.1 SD
Recent 0.304 baseline 0.321
Strikeout rate-2.7 SD
Recent 20.4% baseline 42.2%
Walk rate allowed+1.2 SD
Recent 4.1% baseline 11.1%
Hard-hit rate allowed+0.1 SD
Recent 45.9% baseline 47.6%
Run value allowed / PA-0.4 SD
Recent 0.083 baseline 0.045
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 96th percentile. Recent sample: 49 BF; prior sample: 45 BF.
Hitter change profile

Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds | LHB

40.2
Season PA377OPS0.850Est. wOBA0.362Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate +2.5 SD

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.5 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 18th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS88th
0.850
Est. wOBA87th
0.362
Strikeout rate18th
26.8%
Walk rate72nd
10.3%
Hard-hit rate94th
52.1%
Run value / PA78th
0.036
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+0.4 SD
Recent 0.905 baseline 0.843
Est. wOBA+0.4 SD
Recent 0.387 baseline 0.359
Strikeout rate+2.5 SD
Recent 12.2% baseline 28.6%
Walk rate+1.2 SD
Recent 14.6% baseline 9.8%
Hard-hit rate-0.1 SD
Recent 50.0% baseline 52.5%
Run value / PA-0.5 SD
Recent -0.015 baseline 0.043
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.5 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 18th percentile. Recent sample: 41 PA; prior sample: 336 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Blake DunnCincinnati Reds0.282
  2. 2Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds0.275
  3. 3Dane MyersCincinnati Reds0.257
  4. 4Sal StewartCincinnati Reds0.249
  5. 5Edwin ArroyoCincinnati Reds0.248
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Sal StewartCincinnati Reds21
  2. 2Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds17
  3. 3JJ BledayCincinnati Reds17
  4. 4Spencer SteerCincinnati Reds16
  5. 5Eugenio SuárezCincinnati Reds14
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds0.850
  2. 2JJ BledayCincinnati Reds0.819
  3. 3Nathaniel LoweCincinnati Reds0.791
  4. 4Sal StewartCincinnati Reds0.790
  5. 5Spencer SteerCincinnati Reds0.743
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds124
  2. 2Andrew AbbottCincinnati Reds90
  3. 3Brady SingerCincinnati Reds88
  4. 4Rhett LowderCincinnati Reds65
  5. 5Nick LodoloCincinnati Reds50
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Hunter GreeneCincinnati Reds30.9%
  2. 2Graham AshcraftCincinnati Reds29.1%
  3. 3Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds28.6%
  4. 4Sam MollCincinnati Reds24.9%
  5. 5Emilio PagánCincinnati Reds24.1%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Tejay AntoneCincinnati Reds0.582
  2. 2Graham AshcraftCincinnati Reds0.609
  3. 3Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds0.625
  4. 4Brock BurkeCincinnati Reds0.661
  5. 5Sam MollCincinnati Reds0.684
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Breaking identity

Chase Burns

Cincinnati Reds | Slider

85.4
Whiff49.1%
Chase42.3%
Usage39.7%
Average velocity90.4 mph
Breaking identity

Graham Ashcraft

Cincinnati Reds | Slider

82.4
Whiff42.6%
Chase39.2%
Usage48.7%
Average velocity90.6 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge81.4

Spencer Steer

Cincinnati Reds

Spencer Steer is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.445
vs R0.282

Estimated wOBA: 0.445 vs L, 0.282 vs R.

hitter edge74.7

Elly De La Cruz

Cincinnati Reds

Elly De La Cruz is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.435
vs R0.334

Estimated wOBA: 0.435 vs L, 0.334 vs R.

pitcher edge71.0

Chase Burns

Cincinnati Reds

Chase Burns is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.305
vs R0.226

Estimated wOBA: 0.305 vs L, 0.226 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter89.3

Sam Moll

LHP · available · 4 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup100.0%Performance57.2%
Right-handed batter78.4

Chase Petty

RHP · available · 5 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance37.8%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.7
pitch_identity Chase Burns Chase Burns’s Slider: 90.4 mph, 49.1% whiffs 83.9
offensive_race JJ Bleday JJ Bleday is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 81.2
run_prevention Chase Burns Chase Burns is suppressing offense at an elite rate 79.6
offensive_race Sal Stewart Sal Stewart is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 77.2
pitch_identity Graham Ashcraft Graham Ashcraft’s Slider: 90.6 mph, 42.6% whiffs 77.0
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.