Cincinnati Reds Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Cincinnati Reds.
SABRhood team report

Cincinnati Reds

Cincinnati Reds ranks 28th in run generation and 30th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 0 recent risers.

League intelligence# 30 19.6 index
Run generation#28
Composite score 28.1
Pitching#30
Composite score 11.2
Recent play#30
0 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#17
Current state usable
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsShortstop / First baseClearest upgrade lanesThird base / Second base
CMiddle

Catcher

1.3WAR#18 of 30
Top valueTyler Stephenson0.8 WAR
1BStrength

First base

2.8WAR#9 of 30
Top valueSal Stewart1.8 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

-0.2WAR#28 of 30
Top valueMatt McLain0.1 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

-3.0WAR#29 of 29
Top valueEugenio Suárez-0.9 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

4.0WAR#4 of 28
Top valueElly De La Cruz4.0 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

1.8WAR#27 of 30
Top valueJJ Bleday1.4 WAR
SPMiddle

Starting pitching

6.9WAR#17 of 30
Top valueChase Burns3.0 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

-0.6WAR#27 of 30
Top valueTejay Antone0.5 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Cincinnati Reds’s analytical identity

    Cincinnati Reds ranks 28th in run generation and 30th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 0 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Elly De La Cruz is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.143 versus 0.857 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Chase Burns is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

    Estimated wOBA: 0.319 vs L, 0.223 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Héctor Rodríguez

Cincinnati Reds | LHB

48.2
Season PA132OPS0.644Est. wOBA0.278Samplemoderate
Biggest changeestimated wOBA -3.09 z

Estimated wOBA is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.1 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 11th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS13th
0.644
Est. wOBA11th
0.278
Strikeout rate23rd
26.5%
Walk rate12th
5.3%
Hard-hit rate19th
32.6%
Run value / PA10th
-0.030
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-2.80 z
Recent 0.182 baseline 0.806
Est. wOBA-3.09 z
Recent 0.074 baseline 0.346
Strikeout rate+0.35 z
Recent 24.2% baseline 27.3%
Walk rate-1.34 z
Recent 0.0% baseline 7.1%
Hard-hit rate-0.55 z
Recent 28.0% baseline 34.4%
Run value / PA-2.38 z
Recent -0.185 baseline 0.021
Broadcast read: Estimated wOBA is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.1 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 11th percentile. Recent sample: 33 PA; prior sample: 99 PA.
Pitcher change profile

Brandon Williamson

Cincinnati Reds | LHP

41.4
Season BF195OPS allowed0.810Est. wOBA allowed0.350Samplemoderate
Biggest changewalk rate allowed +2.82 z

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 3rd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed12th
0.810
Est. wOBA allowed10th
0.350
Strikeout rate6th
15.9%
Walk rate allowed3rd
13.3%
Hard-hit rate allowed18th
41.8%
Run value allowed / PA7th
0.049
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.49 z
Recent 0.714 baseline 0.819
Est. wOBA allowed+0.71 z
Recent 0.292 baseline 0.357
Strikeout rate-0.20 z
Recent 14.3% baseline 16.1%
Walk rate allowed+2.82 z
Recent 0.0% baseline 14.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed+0.27 z
Recent 38.9% baseline 42.2%
Run value allowed / PA+1.17 z
Recent -0.049 baseline 0.061
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 3rd percentile. Recent sample: 21 BF; prior sample: 174 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds147
  2. 2Sal StewartCincinnati Reds131
  3. 3JJ BledayCincinnati Reds79
  4. 4Tyler StephensonCincinnati Reds75
  5. 5Spencer SteerCincinnati Reds63
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds40.4%
  2. 2Sal StewartCincinnati Reds29.1%
  3. 3Tyler StephensonCincinnati Reds27.2%
  4. 4Spencer SteerCincinnati Reds26.1%
  5. 5Ke’Bryan HayesCincinnati Reds25.7%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds29
  2. 2Hunter GreeneCincinnati Reds23
  3. 3Luis MeyCincinnati Reds22
  4. 4Zach MaxwellCincinnati Reds18
  5. 5Connor PhillipsCincinnati Reds16
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Zach MaxwellCincinnati Reds6.2%
  2. 2Hunter GreeneCincinnati Reds5.0%
  3. 3Luis MeyCincinnati Reds3.6%
  4. 4Connor PhillipsCincinnati Reds2.9%
  5. 5Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds1.1%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds0.285
  2. 2Blake DunnCincinnati Reds0.282
  3. 3Sal StewartCincinnati Reds0.267
  4. 4Dane MyersCincinnati Reds0.255
  5. 5Tyler StephensonCincinnati Reds0.244
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Sal StewartCincinnati Reds32
  2. 2Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds28
  3. 3Eugenio SuárezCincinnati Reds24
  4. 4JJ BledayCincinnati Reds23
  5. 5Spencer SteerCincinnati Reds16
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Elly De La CruzCincinnati Reds0.880
  2. 2Sal StewartCincinnati Reds0.799
  3. 3Spencer SteerCincinnati Reds0.739
  4. 4JJ BledayCincinnati Reds0.737
  5. 5Tyler StephensonCincinnati Reds0.732
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds185
  2. 2Andrew AbbottCincinnati Reds125
  3. 3Brady SingerCincinnati Reds125
  4. 4Rhett LowderCincinnati Reds101
  5. 5Nick LodoloCincinnati Reds80
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Luis MeyCincinnati Reds30.9%
  2. 2Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds29.4%
  3. 3Hunter GreeneCincinnati Reds27.3%
  4. 4Graham AshcraftCincinnati Reds27.1%
  5. 5Emilio PagánCincinnati Reds25.7%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Brock BurkeCincinnati Reds0.612
  2. 2Julian GarciaCincinnati Reds0.627
  3. 3Chase BurnsCincinnati Reds0.647
  4. 4Tejay AntoneCincinnati Reds0.670
  5. 5Emilio PagánCincinnati Reds0.671
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Chase Burns

112.2 IP · 2.40 ERA · 3.0 WAR

2,556 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 1,422 pitches 55.6% 97.691st pct 14.5%28th pct 29.2%64th pct 52.4%51st pct 0.0%100th pct 38.8%72nd pct
SliderSL · 1,000 pitches 39.1% 90.296th pct 49.7%98th pct 41.2%90th pct 34.0%7th pct 0.0%100th pct 37.8%42nd pct
ChangeupCH · 134 pitches 5.2% 90.291st pct 32.7%66th pct 26.5%13th pct 23.9%5th pct 0.0%100th pct 29.4%56th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge79.8

Chase Burns

Cincinnati Reds

Chase Burns is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.319
vs R0.223

Estimated wOBA: 0.319 vs L, 0.223 vs R.

hitter edge78.0

Spencer Steer

Cincinnati Reds

Spencer Steer is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.445
vs R0.280

Estimated wOBA: 0.445 vs L, 0.280 vs R.

pitcher edge74.2

Julian Garcia

Cincinnati Reds

Julian Garcia is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.212
vs R0.344

Estimated wOBA: 0.212 vs L, 0.344 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter90.5

Brock Burke

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability92.8%Matchup100.0%Performance73.6%
Right-handed batter81.4

Tejay Antone

RHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability92.2%Matchup70.0%Performance62.2%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Elly De La Cruz Elly De La Cruz is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 93.8
Sal Stewart Sal Stewart is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 83.5
Chase Burns Chase Burns is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 79.7
Chase Burns Chase Burns’s Slider: 90.2 mph, 49.7% whiffs 79.2
Brock Burke Brock Burke is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 78.8
Tejay Antone Tejay Antone’s Sweeper: 83.9 mph, 29.3% whiffs 74.4
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.