New York Mets Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the New York Mets.
SABRhood team report

New York Mets

New York Mets ranks 24th in offensive quality and 15th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 1 surge signals.

League intelligence# 29 30.2 index
Offensive quality#24
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.307
Run prevention#15
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.307
Recent form#28
1 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#20
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsOutfield / CatcherClearest upgrade lanesSecond base / Third base
CStrength

Catcher

2.3WAR#10 of 30
Top valueFrancisco Alvarez1.3 WAR
1BNeed

First base

0.6WAR#21 of 30
Top valueJared Young0.8 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

-2.0WAR#30 of 30
Top valueVidal Bruján-0.1 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

-1.0WAR#27 of 29
Top valueBrett Baty0.1 WAR
SSMiddle

Shortstop

1.9WAR#14 of 28
Top valueBo Bichette1.0 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

5.4WAR#6 of 30
Top valueJuan Soto2.8 WAR
SPMiddle

Starting pitching

6.0WAR#20 of 30
Top valueNolan McLean2.5 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

3.3WAR#11 of 30
Top valueLuke Weaver1.1 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    New York Mets’s analytical identity

    New York Mets ranks 24th in offensive quality and 15th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 1 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Zac Thornton is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.328 versus 0.670 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Devin Williams’s Changeup: 84.0 mph, 37.5% whiffs

    Quality score 86.6; usage 48.5%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Zac Thornton

New York Mets | LHP

32.9
Season BF87OPS allowed0.495Est. wOBA allowed0.221Sampledeveloping
Biggest changehard-hit rate allowed +2.0 SD

Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 58th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed99th
0.495
Est. wOBA allowed99th
0.221
Strikeout rate29th
19.5%
Walk rate allowed68th
6.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed58th
37.5%
Run value allowed / PA99th
-0.070
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+1.3 SD
Recent 0.328 baseline 0.670
Est. wOBA allowed+1.3 SD
Recent 0.155 baseline 0.290
Strikeout rate-1.1 SD
Recent 15.6% baseline 23.8%
Walk rate allowed-0.2 SD
Recent 6.7% baseline 7.1%
Hard-hit rate allowed+2.0 SD
Recent 25.7% baseline 51.7%
Run value allowed / PA+1.4 SD
Recent -0.136 baseline 0.001
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 58th percentile. Recent sample: 45 BF; prior sample: 42 BF.
Hitter change profile

Bo Bichette

New York Mets | RHB

30.6
Season PA449OPS0.672Est. wOBA0.292Samplestrong
Biggest changehard-hit rate -1.9 SD

Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 1.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 58th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS20th
0.672
Est. wOBA17th
0.292
Strikeout rate66th
18.3%
Walk rate22nd
6.5%
Hard-hit rate58th
42.3%
Run value / PA42nd
0.005
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-0.2 SD
Recent 0.597 baseline 0.678
Est. wOBA-0.1 SD
Recent 0.275 baseline 0.294
Strikeout rate-0.7 SD
Recent 24.3% baseline 17.7%
Walk rate+1.2 SD
Recent 10.8% baseline 6.1%
Hard-hit rate-1.9 SD
Recent 20.8% baseline 43.9%
Run value / PA-1.0 SD
Recent -0.090 baseline 0.013
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 1.9 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 58th percentile. Recent sample: 37 PA; prior sample: 412 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Juan SotoNew York Mets0.285
  2. 2A.J. EwingNew York Mets0.262
  3. 3Francisco AlvarezNew York Mets0.260
  4. 4Carson BengeNew York Mets0.260
  5. 5Bo BichetteNew York Mets0.255
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Juan SotoNew York Mets21
  2. 2Francisco AlvarezNew York Mets12
  3. 3Carson BengeNew York Mets11
  4. 4Mark VientosNew York Mets11
  5. 5Bo BichetteNew York Mets10
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Juan SotoNew York Mets0.936
  2. 2Francisco AlvarezNew York Mets0.779
  3. 3Jared YoungNew York Mets0.769
  4. 4A.J. EwingNew York Mets0.740
  5. 5Tyrone TaylorNew York Mets0.735
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Nolan McLeanNew York Mets142
  2. 2Freddy PeraltaNew York Mets110
  3. 3Sean ManaeaNew York Mets84
  4. 4Christian ScottNew York Mets78
  5. 5Kodai SengaNew York Mets49
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Devin WilliamsNew York Mets28.8%
  2. 2Christian ScottNew York Mets28.8%
  3. 3Nolan McLeanNew York Mets28.6%
  4. 4Luke WeaverNew York Mets27.6%
  5. 5Kodai SengaNew York Mets25.3%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Luke WeaverNew York Mets0.458
  2. 2Zac ThorntonNew York Mets0.495
  3. 3Huascar BrazobánNew York Mets0.540
  4. 4Clay HolmesNew York Mets0.570
  5. 5Brooks RaleyNew York Mets0.626
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Offspeed identity

Devin Williams

New York Mets | Changeup

86.6
Whiff37.5%
Chase48.4%
Usage48.5%
Average velocity84.0 mph
Offspeed identity

Luke Weaver

New York Mets | Changeup

79.0
Whiff38.3%
Chase46.8%
Usage40.8%
Average velocity88.0 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge78.2

Mark Vientos

New York Mets

Mark Vientos is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.359
vs R0.227

Estimated wOBA: 0.359 vs L, 0.227 vs R.

pitcher edge78.2

Tobias Myers

New York Mets

Tobias Myers is suppressing left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.290
vs R0.427

Estimated wOBA: 0.290 vs L, 0.427 vs R.

hitter edge67.6

Tyrone Taylor

New York Mets

Tyrone Taylor is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.365
vs R0.260

Estimated wOBA: 0.365 vs L, 0.260 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter81.9

Luke Weaver

RHP · available · 4 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup35.0%Performance79.4%
Right-handed batter88.9

Luke Weaver

RHP · available · 4 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance79.4%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Juan Soto Juan Soto is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 91.7
run_prevention Luke Weaver Luke Weaver is suppressing offense at an elite rate 83.5
pitch_identity Devin Williams Devin Williams’s Changeup: 84.0 mph, 37.5% whiffs 81.9
run_prevention Nolan McLean Nolan McLean is suppressing offense at an elite rate 79.4
run_prevention Huascar Brazobán Huascar Brazobán is suppressing offense at an elite rate 78.9
pitch_identity Luke Weaver Luke Weaver’s Changeup: 88.0 mph, 38.3% whiffs 73.9
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.