Houston Astros Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Houston Astros.
SABRhood team report

Houston Astros

Houston Astros ranks 22nd in run generation and 21st in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 2 recent risers.

League intelligence# 19 38.6 index
Run generation#22
Composite score 39.5
Pitching#21
Composite score 37.8
Recent play#22
2 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#10
Current state usable
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsDesignated hitter / ShortstopClearest upgrade lanesStarting pitching / Outfield
CNeed

Catcher

-0.1WAR#28 of 30
Top valueYainer Diaz0.2 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

1.8WAR#16 of 30
Top valueChristian Walker1.7 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.5WAR#25 of 30
Top valueJose Altuve0.5 WAR
3BStrength

Third base

2.7WAR#7 of 29
Top valueIsaac Paredes2.8 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

4.4WAR#2 of 28
Top valueJeremy Peña2.9 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

0.9WAR#29 of 30
Top valueCam Smith1.1 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

5.4WAR#1 of 20
Top valueYordan Alvarez5.4 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

2.3WAR#30 of 30
Top valuePeter Lambert1.7 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

1.0WAR#21 of 30
Top valueSteven Okert1.2 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Houston Astros’s analytical identity

    Houston Astros ranks 22nd in run generation and 21st in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 2 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Ethan Pecko is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.402 versus 0.809 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Yordan Alvarez is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.342 vs L, 0.449 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Hunter Brown

Houston Astros | RHP

41.1
Season BF429OPS allowed0.639Est. wOBA allowed0.288Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate +2.38 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.4 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 85th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed76th
0.639
Est. wOBA allowed69th
0.288
Strikeout rate85th
28.0%
Walk rate allowed10th
11.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed54th
37.3%
Run value allowed / PA71st
-0.021
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.47 z
Recent 0.555 baseline 0.654
Est. wOBA allowed+0.52 z
Recent 0.250 baseline 0.295
Strikeout rate+2.38 z
Recent 43.5% baseline 25.3%
Walk rate allowed+0.80 z
Recent 8.1% baseline 12.5%
Hard-hit rate allowed-0.32 z
Recent 40.0% baseline 36.9%
Run value allowed / PA+0.09 z
Recent -0.021 baseline -0.021
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.4 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 85th percentile. Recent sample: 62 BF; prior sample: 367 BF.
Pitcher change profile

AJ Blubaugh

Houston Astros | RHP

33.4
Season BF387OPS allowed0.705Est. wOBA allowed0.305Samplestrong
Biggest changeOPS allowed -2.23 z

OPS allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.2 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 47th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed47th
0.705
Est. wOBA allowed49th
0.305
Strikeout rate63rd
23.8%
Walk rate allowed20th
10.3%
Hard-hit rate allowed48th
38.1%
Run value allowed / PA75th
-0.027
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed-2.23 z
Recent 1.309 baseline 0.667
Est. wOBA allowed-2.16 z
Recent 0.532 baseline 0.290
Strikeout rate-1.59 z
Recent 12.0% baseline 24.6%
Walk rate allowed-2.05 z
Recent 20.0% baseline 9.7%
Hard-hit rate allowed-1.22 z
Recent 50.0% baseline 37.3%
Run value allowed / PA-1.89 z
Recent 0.163 baseline -0.040
Broadcast read: OPS allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.2 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 47th percentile. Recent sample: 25 BF; prior sample: 362 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros163
  2. 2Christian WalkerHouston Astros114
  3. 3Cam SmithHouston Astros96
  4. 4Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros77
  5. 5Daulton VarshoHouston Astros73
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Nelson VelázquezHouston Astros39.7%
  2. 2Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros37.8%
  3. 3Zach ColeHouston Astros33.3%
  4. 4Carlos CorreaHouston Astros30.9%
  5. 5Christian WalkerHouston Astros27.9%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Christian RoaHouston Astros0
  2. 2AJ BlubaughHouston Astros0
  3. 3Bryan AbreuHouston Astros0
  4. 4Hunter BrownHouston Astros0
  5. 5Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Christian RoaHouston Astros0.0%
  2. 2AJ BlubaughHouston Astros0.0%
  3. 3Bryan AbreuHouston Astros0.0%
  4. 4Hunter BrownHouston Astros0.0%
  5. 5Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros0.314
  2. 2Carlos CorreaHouston Astros0.279
  3. 3Yainer DiazHouston Astros0.277
  4. 4Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros0.274
  5. 5Nick AllenHouston Astros0.271
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros40
  2. 2Christian WalkerHouston Astros25
  3. 3Isaac ParedesHouston Astros22
  4. 4Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros20
  5. 5Cam SmithHouston Astros20
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros1.004
  2. 2Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros0.794
  3. 3Isaac ParedesHouston Astros0.790
  4. 4Carlos CorreaHouston Astros0.782
  5. 5Yainer DiazHouston Astros0.751
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Peter LambertHouston Astros147
  2. 2Hunter BrownHouston Astros120
  3. 3Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros96
  4. 4AJ BlubaughHouston Astros92
  5. 5Bryan AbreuHouston Astros79
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Josh HaderHouston Astros34.8%
  2. 2Bryan AbreuHouston Astros30.4%
  3. 3Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros28.7%
  4. 4Hunter BrownHouston Astros28.0%
  5. 5Steven OkertHouston Astros26.0%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Josh HaderHouston Astros0.340
  2. 2Steven OkertHouston Astros0.567
  3. 3Hunter BrownHouston Astros0.639
  4. 4Hayden WesneskiHouston Astros0.646
  5. 5Peter LambertHouston Astros0.650
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Peter Lambert

103.0 IP · 3.06 ERA · 1.7 WAR

2,530 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 808 pitches 31.9% 93.937th pct 20.8%67th pct 32.7%82nd pct 53.5%59th pct 0.0%100th pct 49.6%24th pct
ChangeupCH · 604 pitches 23.9% 86.957th pct 31.5%61st pct 38.0%66th pct 37.3%52nd pct 0.0%100th pct 20.2%91st pct
SliderSL · 290 pitches 11.5% 85.633rd pct 24.4%22nd pct 23.1%7th pct 46.2%64th pct 0.0%100th pct 34.0%59th pct
CutterFC · 262 pitches 10.4% 91.677th pct 13.5%9th pct 19.5%5th pct 56.9%85th pct 0.0%100th pct 36.4%56th pct
SinkerSI · 243 pitches 9.6% 93.437th pct 7.1%15th pct 34.1%86th pct 48.1%6th pct 0.0%100th pct 34.5%76th pct
SweeperST · 194 pitches 7.7% 82.854th pct 27.0%41st pct 34.2%66th pct 39.7%31st pct 0.0%100th pct 33.3%37th pct
SlurveSV · 129 pitches 5.1% 80.233rd pct 16.7%22nd pct 19.5%11th pct 40.3%67th pct 0.0%100th pct 50.0%22nd pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge80.3

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

Yordan Alvarez is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.342
vs R0.449

Estimated wOBA: 0.342 vs L, 0.449 vs R.

pitcher edge77.1

Mike Burrows

Houston Astros

Mike Burrows is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.409
vs R0.315

Estimated wOBA: 0.409 vs L, 0.315 vs R.

pitcher edge74.3

Bennett Sousa

Houston Astros

Bennett Sousa is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.455
vs R0.245

Estimated wOBA: 0.455 vs L, 0.245 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter95.9

Josh Hader

LHP · available · 4 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup100.0%Performance83.6%
Right-handed batter83.9

Josh Hader

LHP · available · 4 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup40.0%Performance83.6%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 95.6
Josh Hader Josh Hader is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 86.8
Steven Okert Steven Okert is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 81.8
Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 80.1
Hunter Brown Hunter Brown is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 77.6
Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 77.4
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.