Houston Astros Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Houston Astros.
SABRhood team report

Houston Astros

Houston Astros ranks 13th in offensive quality and 24th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 3 surge signals.

League intelligence# 18 46.4 index
Offensive quality#13
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.319
Run prevention#24
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.318
Recent form#6
3 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#24
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsDesignated hitter / ShortstopClearest upgrade lanesStarting pitching / Catcher
CNeed

Catcher

-0.4WAR#28 of 30
Top valueCollin Price0.0 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

1.5WAR#18 of 30
Top valueChristian Walker1.5 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.6WAR#24 of 30
Top valueJose Altuve0.6 WAR
3BStrength

Third base

2.5WAR#6 of 29
Top valueIsaac Paredes2.6 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

3.5WAR#5 of 28
Top valueJeremy Peña2.2 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

1.1WAR#28 of 30
Top valueCam Smith1.1 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

5.1WAR#1 of 20
Top valueYordan Alvarez5.1 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

1.8WAR#29 of 30
Top valuePeter Lambert1.5 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

1.3WAR#23 of 30
Top valueSteven Okert1.1 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Houston Astros’s analytical identity

    Houston Astros ranks 13th in offensive quality and 24th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 3 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Jeremy Peña is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.176 versus 0.790 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Josh Hader’s Slider: 84.5 mph, 54.0% whiffs

    Quality score 88.9; usage 36.6%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Christian Walker

Houston Astros | RHB

42.5
Season PA422OPS0.753Est. wOBA0.322Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate -2.8 SD

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 32nd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS58th
0.753
Est. wOBA54th
0.322
Strikeout rate32nd
23.9%
Walk rate39th
7.8%
Hard-hit rate57th
42.1%
Run value / PA46th
0.009
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-1.5 SD
Recent 0.389 baseline 0.778
Est. wOBA-1.4 SD
Recent 0.189 baseline 0.332
Strikeout rate-2.8 SD
Recent 44.4% baseline 22.5%
Walk rate+0.2 SD
Recent 7.4% baseline 7.8%
Hard-hit rate-0.7 SD
Recent 33.3% baseline 42.5%
Run value / PA-1.4 SD
Recent -0.125 baseline 0.018
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 32nd percentile. Recent sample: 27 PA; prior sample: 395 PA.
Pitcher change profile

Josh Hader

Houston Astros | LHP

38.6
Season BF78OPS allowed0.431Est. wOBA allowed0.203Sampledeveloping
Biggest changewalk rate allowed +2.6 SD

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 20th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed100th
0.431
Est. wOBA allowed100th
0.203
Strikeout rate100th
42.3%
Walk rate allowed20th
10.3%
Hard-hit rate allowed100th
21.6%
Run value allowed / PA100th
-0.078
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed-1.7 SD
Recent 0.714 baseline 0.315
Est. wOBA allowed-1.6 SD
Recent 0.310 baseline 0.163
Strikeout rate-0.8 SD
Recent 38.1% baseline 43.9%
Walk rate allowed+2.6 SD
Recent 0.0% baseline 14.0%
Hard-hit rate allowed-1.1 SD
Recent 30.8% baseline 16.7%
Run value allowed / PA-1.6 SD
Recent 0.034 baseline -0.120
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 20th percentile. Recent sample: 21 BF; prior sample: 57 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros0.326
  2. 2Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros0.314
  3. 3Carlos CorreaHouston Astros0.279
  4. 4Isaac ParedesHouston Astros0.263
  5. 5Nick AllenHouston Astros0.242
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros34
  2. 2Christian WalkerHouston Astros20
  3. 3Isaac ParedesHouston Astros14
  4. 4Cam SmithHouston Astros13
  5. 5Jose AltuveHouston Astros12
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros1.060
  2. 2Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros0.845
  3. 3Isaac ParedesHouston Astros0.791
  4. 4Carlos CorreaHouston Astros0.782
  5. 5Christian WalkerHouston Astros0.753
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Peter LambertHouston Astros94
  2. 2Spencer ArrighettiHouston Astros87
  3. 3Mike BurrowsHouston Astros75
  4. 4Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros71
  5. 5AJ BlubaughHouston Astros68
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Josh HaderHouston Astros42.3%
  2. 2Bryan AbreuHouston Astros28.4%
  3. 3Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros27.5%
  4. 4Steven OkertHouston Astros26.4%
  5. 5Hunter BrownHouston Astros24.8%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Josh HaderHouston Astros0.431
  2. 2Steven OkertHouston Astros0.520
  3. 3Peter LambertHouston Astros0.615
  4. 4Hunter BrownHouston Astros0.619
  5. 5Nate PearsonHouston Astros0.633
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Breaking identity

Josh Hader

Houston Astros | Slider

88.9
Whiff54.0%
Chase44.7%
Usage36.6%
Average velocity84.5 mph
Breaking identity

Tatsuya Imai

Houston Astros | Slider

80.2
Whiff38.2%
Chase39.7%
Usage51.7%
Average velocity86.7 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge79.2

Kai-Wei Teng

Houston Astros

Kai-Wei Teng is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.375
vs R0.264

Estimated wOBA: 0.375 vs L, 0.264 vs R.

hitter edge77.8

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

Yordan Alvarez is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.362
vs R0.469

Estimated wOBA: 0.362 vs L, 0.469 vs R.

pitcher edge76.5

Mike Burrows

Houston Astros

Mike Burrows is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.409
vs R0.315

Estimated wOBA: 0.409 vs L, 0.315 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter84.5

Bryan King

LHP · available · 6 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup100.0%Performance38.2%
Right-handed batter81.9

Nate Pearson

RHP · available · 17 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance51.6%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 94.0
run_prevention Steven Okert Steven Okert is suppressing offense at an elite rate 82.6
run_prevention Josh Hader Josh Hader is suppressing offense at an elite rate 82.5
offensive_race Jeremy Peña Jeremy Peña is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 81.9
pitch_identity Josh Hader Josh Hader’s Slider: 84.5 mph, 54.0% whiffs 79.6
pitch_identity Tatsuya Imai Tatsuya Imai’s Slider: 86.7 mph, 38.2% whiffs 78.7
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.