Houston Astros Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Houston Astros.
SABRhood team report

Houston Astros

Houston Astros ranks 22nd in run generation and 23rd in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 1 recent risers.

League intelligence# 22 39.9 index
Run generation#22
Composite score 43.1
Pitching#23
Composite score 36.6
Recent play#22
1 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#6
Current state rested
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsDesignated hitter / ShortstopClearest upgrade lanesStarting pitching / Outfield
CNeed

Catcher

-0.1WAR#28 of 30
Top valueYainer Diaz0.2 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

1.8WAR#16 of 30
Top valueChristian Walker1.7 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.5WAR#25 of 30
Top valueJose Altuve0.5 WAR
3BStrength

Third base

2.7WAR#7 of 29
Top valueIsaac Paredes2.8 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

4.4WAR#2 of 28
Top valueJeremy Peña2.9 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

0.9WAR#29 of 30
Top valueCam Smith1.1 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

5.4WAR#1 of 20
Top valueYordan Alvarez5.4 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

2.3WAR#30 of 30
Top valuePeter Lambert1.7 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

1.0WAR#21 of 30
Top valueSteven Okert1.2 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Houston Astros’s analytical identity

    Houston Astros ranks 22nd in run generation and 23rd in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 1 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Cristian Javier is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.635 versus 0.864 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Bennett Sousa’s Slider: 85.7 mph, 38.7% whiffs

    Quality score 81.8; usage 100.0%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Enyel De Los Santos

Houston Astros | RHP

39.5
Season BF277OPS allowed0.687Est. wOBA allowed0.295Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate allowed -2.59 z

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 84th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed54th
0.687
Est. wOBA allowed61st
0.295
Strikeout rate50th
22.0%
Walk rate allowed84th
6.1%
Hard-hit rate allowed62nd
36.5%
Run value allowed / PA40th
0.003
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.22 z
Recent 0.649 baseline 0.691
Est. wOBA allowed+0.18 z
Recent 0.284 baseline 0.297
Strikeout rate+0.41 z
Recent 25.0% baseline 21.7%
Walk rate allowed-2.59 z
Recent 17.9% baseline 4.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed-0.09 z
Recent 37.5% baseline 36.5%
Run value allowed / PA+0.39 z
Recent -0.025 baseline 0.007
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 84th percentile. Recent sample: 28 BF; prior sample: 249 BF.
Pitcher change profile

Bryan Abreu

Houston Astros | RHP

35.0
Season BF246OPS allowed0.692Est. wOBA allowed0.313Samplemoderate
Biggest changehard-hit rate allowed -2.30 z

Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 16th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed52nd
0.692
Est. wOBA allowed40th
0.313
Strikeout rate89th
29.3%
Walk rate allowed1st
16.3%
Hard-hit rate allowed16th
42.2%
Run value allowed / PA52nd
-0.007
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+1.46 z
Recent 0.380 baseline 0.733
Est. wOBA allowed+1.37 z
Recent 0.200 baseline 0.328
Strikeout rate+0.41 z
Recent 32.1% baseline 28.9%
Walk rate allowed+0.39 z
Recent 14.3% baseline 16.5%
Hard-hit rate allowed-2.30 z
Recent 64.3% baseline 39.5%
Run value allowed / PA+1.63 z
Recent -0.135 baseline 0.010
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 16th percentile. Recent sample: 28 BF; prior sample: 218 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros155
  2. 2Christian WalkerHouston Astros108
  3. 3Cam SmithHouston Astros91
  4. 4Daulton VarshoHouston Astros70
  5. 5Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros69
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros38.1%
  2. 2Nelson VelázquezHouston Astros37.7%
  3. 3Zach ColeHouston Astros33.3%
  4. 4Carlos CorreaHouston Astros30.9%
  5. 5Christian WalkerHouston Astros28.3%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Christian RoaHouston Astros0
  2. 2AJ BlubaughHouston Astros0
  3. 3Bryan AbreuHouston Astros0
  4. 4Hunter BrownHouston Astros0
  5. 5Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Christian RoaHouston Astros0.0%
  2. 2AJ BlubaughHouston Astros0.0%
  3. 3Bryan AbreuHouston Astros0.0%
  4. 4Hunter BrownHouston Astros0.0%
  5. 5Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros0.312
  2. 2Carlos CorreaHouston Astros0.279
  3. 3Nick AllenHouston Astros0.275
  4. 4Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros0.269
  5. 5Yainer DiazHouston Astros0.265
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros38
  2. 2Christian WalkerHouston Astros25
  3. 3Isaac ParedesHouston Astros18
  4. 4Cam SmithHouston Astros18
  5. 5Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros17
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Yordan AlvarezHouston Astros0.998
  2. 2Carlos CorreaHouston Astros0.782
  3. 3Jeremy PeñaHouston Astros0.777
  4. 4Isaac ParedesHouston Astros0.777
  5. 5Christian WalkerHouston Astros0.732
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Peter LambertHouston Astros137
  2. 2Hunter BrownHouston Astros93
  3. 3AJ BlubaughHouston Astros89
  4. 4Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros88
  5. 5Mike BurrowsHouston Astros75
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Josh HaderHouston Astros35.8%
  2. 2Bryan AbreuHouston Astros29.3%
  3. 3Tatsuya ImaiHouston Astros27.9%
  4. 4Steven OkertHouston Astros26.0%
  5. 5Hunter BrownHouston Astros25.3%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Josh HaderHouston Astros0.350
  2. 2Steven OkertHouston Astros0.567
  3. 3Hayden WesneskiHouston Astros0.595
  4. 4Peter LambertHouston Astros0.648
  5. 5Hunter BrownHouston Astros0.654
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Peter Lambert

103.0 IP · 3.06 ERA · 1.7 WAR

2,358 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 735 pitches 31.2% 93.936th pct 21.1%71st pct 32.6%80th pct 52.4%50th pct 0.0%100th pct 48.2%29th pct
ChangeupCH · 562 pitches 23.8% 87.057th pct 31.9%63rd pct 38.0%66th pct 37.7%54th pct 0.0%100th pct 21.0%89th pct
SliderSL · 287 pitches 12.2% 85.632nd pct 24.6%22nd pct 23.4%8th pct 46.3%65th pct 0.0%100th pct 32.6%65th pct
CutterFC · 248 pitches 10.5% 91.678th pct 14.4%13th pct 17.9%3rd pct 57.3%85th pct 0.0%100th pct 35.7%59th pct
SinkerSI · 227 pitches 9.6% 93.435th pct 7.4%17th pct 35.3%91st pct 47.6%5th pct 0.0%100th pct 36.0%72nd pct
SweeperST · 185 pitches 7.8% 82.853rd pct 26.5%40th pct 32.1%53rd pct 39.5%29th pct 0.0%100th pct 32.3%38th pct
SlurveSV · 114 pitches 4.8% 80.225th pct 13.3%25th pct 17.4%12th pct 39.5%50th pct 0.0%100th pct 45.5%25th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge79.1

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

Yordan Alvarez is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.344
vs R0.445

Estimated wOBA: 0.344 vs L, 0.445 vs R.

pitcher edge77.3

Mike Burrows

Houston Astros

Mike Burrows is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.409
vs R0.315

Estimated wOBA: 0.409 vs L, 0.315 vs R.

pitcher edge74.2

Enyel De Los Santos

Houston Astros

Enyel De Los Santos is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.249
vs R0.345

Estimated wOBA: 0.249 vs L, 0.345 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter93.7

Josh Hader

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability94.4%Matchup100.0%Performance83.5%
Right-handed batter81.7

Josh Hader

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability94.4%Matchup40.0%Performance83.5%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Yordan Alvarez Yordan Alvarez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 95.5
Josh Hader Josh Hader is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 86.6
Steven Okert Steven Okert is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 81.7
Isaac Paredes Isaac Paredes is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 78.0
Bennett Sousa Bennett Sousa’s Slider: 85.7 mph, 38.7% whiffs 77.7
Steven Okert Steven Okert’s Slider: 80.9 mph, 33.6% whiffs 74.4
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.