The SABRhood
  • Home
  • Today
  • Leaders
  • Awards
    • MLB Award Races
    • Insane Baseball Awards
  • Intelligence
    • Story Engine
    • Players
    • Player Change Engine
    • Teams
    • Team reports
    • Matchups
    • Pitch Lab
    • Triple-A Watch
    • History
    • League Trends
  • Projections
  • Newsletter
  • Graphics
  • Research
  • Broadcast
  • About

Miami Marlins Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Miami Marlins.
← Baltimore OriolesAll teamsChicago White Sox →
SABRhood team report

Miami Marlins

Miami Marlins ranks 8th in offensive quality and 9th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 0 surge signals.

League intelligence# 11 54.3 index
Offensive quality#8
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.322
Run prevention#9
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.294
Recent form#27
0 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#29
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsSecond base / CatcherClearest upgrade lanesFirst base / Designated hitter
CStrength

Catcher

3.1WAR#3 of 30
Top valueJoe Mack1.6 WAR
1BNeed

First base

0.0WAR#24 of 30
Top valueDeyvison De Los Santos0.0 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

6.6WAR#1 of 30
Top valueOtto Lopez4.3 WAR
3BMiddle

Third base

0.7WAR#18 of 29
Top valueJavier Sanoja0.9 WAR
OFMiddle

Outfield

3.5WAR#13 of 30
Top valueHeriberto Hernández1.2 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

-0.8WAR#19 of 20
Top valueChristopher Morel-0.8 WAR
SPMiddle

Starting pitching

7.2WAR#14 of 30
Top valueMax Meyer2.4 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

3.1WAR#15 of 30
Top valueAnthony Bender0.9 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Miami Marlins’s analytical identity

    Miami Marlins ranks 8th in offensive quality and 9th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 0 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Ryan Gusto is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.407 versus 0.752 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Janson Junk is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

    Estimated wOBA: 0.376 vs L, 0.248 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Cade Gibson

Miami Marlins | LHP

43.5
Season BF119OPS allowed0.697Est. wOBA allowed0.312Samplemoderate
Biggest changewalk rate allowed -3.0 SD

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 29th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed54th
0.697
Est. wOBA allowed44th
0.312
Strikeout rate33rd
20.2%
Walk rate allowed29th
9.2%
Hard-hit rate allowed72nd
35.4%
Run value allowed / PA25th
0.017
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+1.3 SD
Recent 0.410 vs baseline 0.742
Est. wOBA allowed+0.8 SD
Recent 0.242 vs baseline 0.324
Strikeout rate-1.6 SD
Recent 10.0% vs baseline 22.2%
Walk rate allowed-3.0 SD
Recent 20.0% vs baseline 7.1%
Hard-hit rate allowed-0.3 SD
Recent 38.5% vs baseline 34.8%
Run value allowed / PA+1.2 SD
Recent -0.078 vs baseline 0.036
Cooling0 SDImproving
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 29th percentile. Recent sample: 20 BF; prior sample: 99 BF.
Hitter change profile

Xavier Edwards

Miami Marlins | LHB

41.3
Season PA438OPS0.767Est. wOBA0.336Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate -2.6 SD

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 92nd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS63rd
0.767
Est. wOBA66th
0.336
Strikeout rate92nd
13.7%
Walk rate76th
11.0%
Hard-hit rate9th
28.8%
Run value / PA40th
0.002
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-1.5 SD
Recent 0.416 vs baseline 0.802
Est. wOBA-1.6 SD
Recent 0.190 vs baseline 0.349
Strikeout rate-2.6 SD
Recent 32.4% vs baseline 12.0%
Walk rate-0.9 SD
Recent 5.4% vs baseline 11.5%
Hard-hit rate+0.6 SD
Recent 34.8% vs baseline 28.3%
Run value / PA-1.4 SD
Recent -0.126 vs baseline 0.014
Cooling0 SDImproving
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 92nd percentile. Recent sample: 37 PA; prior sample: 401 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Otto LopezMiami Marlins0.328
  2. 2Xavier EdwardsMiami Marlins0.289
  3. 3Liam HicksMiami Marlins0.278
  4. 4Javier SanojaMiami Marlins0.266
  5. 5Griffin ConineMiami Marlins0.262
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Liam HicksMiami Marlins14
  2. 2Heriberto HernándezMiami Marlins14
  3. 3Owen CaissieMiami Marlins12
  4. 4Kyle StowersMiami Marlins12
  5. 5Joe MackMiami Marlins10
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Griffin ConineMiami Marlins0.859
  2. 2Otto LopezMiami Marlins0.855
  3. 3Esteury RuizMiami Marlins0.853
  4. 4Heriberto HernándezMiami Marlins0.797
  5. 5Liam HicksMiami Marlins0.793
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Max MeyerMiami Marlins121
  2. 2Sandy AlcantaraMiami Marlins110
  3. 3Eury PérezMiami Marlins106
  4. 4Lake BacharMiami Marlins59
  5. 5Tyler PhillipsMiami Marlins58
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Anthony BenderMiami Marlins29.5%
  2. 2Pete FairbanksMiami Marlins29.5%
  3. 3Michael PetersenMiami Marlins28.8%
  4. 4Andrew NardiMiami Marlins27.3%
  5. 5Lake BacharMiami Marlins26.7%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Anthony BenderMiami Marlins0.478
  2. 2John KingMiami Marlins0.495
  3. 3Michael PetersenMiami Marlins0.564
  4. 4Lake BacharMiami Marlins0.608
  5. 5Max MeyerMiami Marlins0.623
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Breaking identity

Max Meyer

Miami Marlins | Slider

76.4
Horizontal breakIVB
Whiff37.9%
Chase39.2%
Usage25.8%
Average velocity90.2 mph
Offspeed identity

John King

Miami Marlins | Changeup

73.5
Horizontal breakIVB
Whiff32.8%
Chase50.0%
Usage27.4%
Average velocity83.5 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge79.4

Janson Junk

Miami Marlins

Janson Junk is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.376
vs R0.248

Estimated wOBA: 0.376 vs L, 0.248 vs R.

hitter edge77.3

Liam Hicks

Miami Marlins

Liam Hicks is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.228
vs R0.374

Estimated wOBA: 0.229 vs L, 0.374 vs R.

pitcher edge71.1

Pete Fairbanks

Miami Marlins

Pete Fairbanks is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.432
vs R0.286

Estimated wOBA: 0.432 vs L, 0.286 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter87.5

Dax Fulton

LHP · available · 5 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup100.0%Performance50.0%
Right-handed batter75.5

Dax Fulton

LHP · available · 5 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup40.0%Performance50.0%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Otto Lopez Otto Lopez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.7
run_prevention Anthony Bender Anthony Bender is suppressing offense at an elite rate 82.7
offensive_race Griffin Conine Griffin Conine is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 79.9
offensive_race Heriberto Hernández Heriberto Hernández is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 77.1
run_prevention Michael Petersen Michael Petersen is suppressing offense at an elite rate 75.7
pitch_identity Max Meyer Max Meyer’s Slider: 90.2 mph, 37.9% whiffs 75.2
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.
← Baltimore OriolesAll teamsChicago White Sox →

© 2026 The SABRhood

  • Methodology

  • Glossary

  • History Desk

  • @thesabrhood