Chicago Cubs Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Chicago Cubs.
SABRhood team report

Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs ranks 4th in offensive quality and 27th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 2 surge signals.

League intelligence# 5 64.3 index
Offensive quality#4
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.327
Run prevention#27
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.325
Recent form#2
2 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#1
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsOutfield / Designated hitterClearest upgrade lanesStarting pitching
CMiddle

Catcher

2.1WAR#11 of 30
Top valueCarson Kelly1.2 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

1.8WAR#15 of 30
Top valueMichael Busch1.8 WAR
2BMiddle

Second base

1.8WAR#14 of 30
Top valueNico Hoerner1.5 WAR
3BStrength

Third base

2.2WAR#8 of 29
Top valueAlex Bregman1.7 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

2.4WAR#10 of 28
Top valueDansby Swanson2.5 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

9.1WAR#1 of 30
Top valuePete Crow-Armstrong6.6 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

2.0WAR#5 of 20
Top valueSeiya Suzuki2.4 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

2.2WAR#28 of 30
Top valueShota Imanaga1.2 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

1.5WAR#20 of 30
Top valueBen Brown2.0 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Chicago Cubs’s analytical identity

    Chicago Cubs ranks 4th in offensive quality and 27th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 2 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    David Peterson is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.341 versus 0.804 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Shota Imanaga’s Splitter: 83.0 mph, 39.1% whiffs

    Quality score 82.7; usage 34.8%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Seiya Suzuki

Chicago Cubs | RHB

38.2
Season PA380OPS0.821Est. wOBA0.352Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate +2.3 SD

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 77th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS79th
0.821
Est. wOBA80th
0.352
Strikeout rate19th
26.3%
Walk rate77th
11.1%
Hard-hit rate49th
40.6%
Run value / PA67th
0.024
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+0.4 SD
Recent 0.880 baseline 0.813
Est. wOBA+0.5 SD
Recent 0.385 baseline 0.348
Strikeout rate+0.1 SD
Recent 27.3% baseline 26.2%
Walk rate+2.3 SD
Recent 20.5% baseline 9.8%
Hard-hit rate+0.1 SD
Recent 40.9% baseline 40.6%
Run value / PA+0.5 SD
Recent 0.049 baseline 0.021
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 77th percentile. Recent sample: 44 PA; prior sample: 336 PA.
Pitcher change profile

Matthew Boyd

Chicago Cubs | LHP

32.4
Season BF246OPS allowed0.686Est. wOBA allowed0.302Samplemoderate
Biggest changehard-hit rate allowed +1.8 SD

Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 29th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed58th
0.686
Est. wOBA allowed53rd
0.302
Strikeout rate49th
22.4%
Walk rate allowed67th
6.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed29th
41.8%
Run value allowed / PA70th
-0.022
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.4 SD
Recent 0.619 baseline 0.718
Est. wOBA allowed+0.3 SD
Recent 0.277 baseline 0.314
Strikeout rate-1.6 SD
Recent 14.1% baseline 26.2%
Walk rate allowed-0.1 SD
Recent 6.4% baseline 7.1%
Hard-hit rate allowed+1.8 SD
Recent 26.7% baseline 50.0%
Run value allowed / PA+0.4 SD
Recent -0.050 baseline -0.009
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 29th percentile. Recent sample: 78 BF; prior sample: 168 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago Cubs0.293
  2. 2Seiya SuzukiChicago Cubs0.266
  3. 3Carson KellyChicago Cubs0.262
  4. 4Matt ShawChicago Cubs0.246
  5. 5Michael BuschChicago Cubs0.244
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago Cubs23
  2. 2Ian HappChicago Cubs18
  3. 3Seiya SuzukiChicago Cubs17
  4. 4Dansby SwansonChicago Cubs16
  5. 5Michael BuschChicago Cubs13
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago Cubs0.934
  2. 2Seiya SuzukiChicago Cubs0.821
  3. 3Michael ConfortoChicago Cubs0.789
  4. 4Michael BuschChicago Cubs0.763
  5. 5Ian HappChicago Cubs0.751
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Shota ImanagaChicago Cubs113
  2. 2Colin ReaChicago Cubs81
  3. 3David PetersonChicago Cubs74
  4. 4Ben BrownChicago Cubs65
  5. 5Edward CabreraChicago Cubs65
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Caleb ThielbarChicago Cubs31.0%
  2. 2Jacob WebbChicago Cubs27.0%
  3. 3Ryan RolisonChicago Cubs25.3%
  4. 4Ben BrownChicago Cubs24.5%
  5. 5Shota ImanagaChicago Cubs23.2%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Ben BrownChicago Cubs0.497
  2. 2Ryan RolisonChicago Cubs0.637
  3. 3Trent ThorntonChicago Cubs0.640
  4. 4Jacob WebbChicago Cubs0.666
  5. 5Matthew BoydChicago Cubs0.686
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Offspeed identity

Shota Imanaga

Chicago Cubs | Splitter

82.7
Whiff39.1%
Chase46.4%
Usage34.8%
Average velocity83.0 mph
Offspeed identity

Jacob Webb

Chicago Cubs | Changeup

80.4
Whiff39.2%
Chase43.1%
Usage44.4%
Average velocity85.6 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge80.4

Carson Kelly

Chicago Cubs

Carson Kelly is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.418
vs R0.277

Estimated wOBA: 0.418 vs L, 0.277 vs R.

hitter edge80.2

Ian Happ

Chicago Cubs

Ian Happ is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.241
vs R0.361

Estimated wOBA: 0.241 vs L, 0.361 vs R.

pitcher edge72.1

Ryan Rolison

Chicago Cubs

Ryan Rolison is suppressing left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.206
vs R0.342

Estimated wOBA: 0.206 vs L, 0.342 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter86.1

Ryan Rolison

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability93.3%Matchup100.0%Performance55.2%
Right-handed batter78.4

Tyler Ferguson

RHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability92.2%Matchup70.0%Performance50.0%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 93.0
pitch_identity Shota Imanaga Shota Imanaga’s Splitter: 83.0 mph, 39.1% whiffs 81.5
offensive_race Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 79.9
run_prevention Ben Brown Ben Brown is suppressing offense at an elite rate 77.5
milestone Ian Happ Ian Happ reached 1,000 career hits 77.3
offensive_race Michael Busch Michael Busch is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 77.0
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.