Chicago Cubs Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Chicago Cubs.
SABRhood team report

Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs ranks 3rd in run generation and 24th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 3 recent risers.

League intelligence# 10 54.0 index
Run generation#3
Composite score 81.7
Pitching#24
Composite score 26.2
Recent play#14
3 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#19
Current state usable
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsOutfield / Designated hitterClearest upgrade lanesStarting pitching
CMiddle

Catcher

2.2WAR#11 of 30
Top valueMiguel Amaya1.1 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

1.6WAR#17 of 30
Top valueMichael Busch1.6 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

2.7WAR#8 of 30
Top valueNico Hoerner1.8 WAR
3BStrength

Third base

2.8WAR#6 of 29
Top valueAlex Bregman2.3 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

2.4WAR#10 of 28
Top valueDansby Swanson2.5 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

9.9WAR#1 of 30
Top valuePete Crow-Armstrong7.2 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

2.4WAR#4 of 20
Top valueSeiya Suzuki2.8 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

2.6WAR#28 of 30
Top valueShota Imanaga1.4 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

1.6WAR#20 of 30
Top valueBen Brown2.0 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Chicago Cubs’s analytical identity

    Chicago Cubs ranks 3rd in run generation and 24th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 3 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Tyrone Taylor is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.179 versus 0.793 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Shota Imanaga’s Splitter: 82.8 mph, 40.4% whiffs

    Quality score 82.8; usage 34.9%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Trent Thornton

Chicago Cubs | RHP

55.5
Season BF188OPS allowed0.744Est. wOBA allowed0.321Samplemoderate
Biggest changeOPS allowed -3.64 z

OPS allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 31st percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed31st
0.744
Est. wOBA allowed33rd
0.321
Strikeout rate7th
15.4%
Walk rate allowed44th
8.5%
Hard-hit rate allowed10th
43.6%
Run value allowed / PA58th
-0.012
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed-3.64 z
Recent 1.536 baseline 0.610
Est. wOBA allowed-3.59 z
Recent 0.621 baseline 0.267
Strikeout rate+0.36 z
Recent 17.9% baseline 15.0%
Walk rate allowed+0.26 z
Recent 7.1% baseline 8.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed+0.16 z
Recent 42.1% baseline 43.8%
Run value allowed / PA-2.55 z
Recent 0.186 baseline -0.047
Broadcast read: OPS allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 31st percentile. Recent sample: 28 BF; prior sample: 160 BF.
Pitcher change profile

Javier Assad

Chicago Cubs | RHP

54.7
Season BF351OPS allowed0.689Est. wOBA allowed0.299Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate allowed -3.75 z

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 67th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed53rd
0.689
Est. wOBA allowed57th
0.299
Strikeout rate12th
16.5%
Walk rate allowed67th
7.1%
Hard-hit rate allowed4th
45.7%
Run value allowed / PA72nd
-0.024
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.14 z
Recent 0.667 baseline 0.689
Est. wOBA allowed-0.21 z
Recent 0.322 baseline 0.298
Strikeout rate-0.20 z
Recent 15.0% baseline 16.6%
Walk rate allowed-3.75 z
Recent 25.0% baseline 6.0%
Hard-hit rate allowed-0.42 z
Recent 50.0% baseline 45.5%
Run value allowed / PA-0.08 z
Recent -0.015 baseline -0.025
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 67th percentile. Recent sample: 20 BF; prior sample: 331 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago Cubs127
  2. 2Seiya SuzukiChicago Cubs91
  3. 3Michael BuschChicago Cubs84
  4. 4Ian HappChicago Cubs83
  5. 5Alex BregmanChicago Cubs78
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago Cubs32.1%
  2. 2Michael ConfortoChicago Cubs29.9%
  3. 3Gabriel AriasChicago Cubs29.5%
  4. 4Ian HappChicago Cubs25.8%
  5. 5Seiya SuzukiChicago Cubs25.7%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Daniel PalenciaChicago Cubs75
  2. 2Ryan ZeferjahnChicago Cubs3
  3. 3Edward CabreraChicago Cubs0
  4. 4Yacksel RíosChicago Cubs0
  5. 5Hunter HarveyChicago Cubs0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Daniel PalenciaChicago Cubs19.9%
  2. 2Ryan ZeferjahnChicago Cubs0.3%
  3. 3Edward CabreraChicago Cubs0.0%
  4. 4Ben BrownChicago Cubs0.0%
  5. 5Tyler FergusonChicago Cubs0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Tyrone TaylorChicago Cubs0.282
  2. 2Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago Cubs0.281
  3. 3Seiya SuzukiChicago Cubs0.266
  4. 4Pedro RamírezChicago Cubs0.266
  5. 5Nico HoernerChicago Cubs0.265
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago Cubs41
  2. 2Seiya SuzukiChicago Cubs24
  3. 3Alex BregmanChicago Cubs24
  4. 4Ian HappChicago Cubs23
  5. 5Michael BuschChicago Cubs18
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Pete Crow-ArmstrongChicago Cubs0.944
  2. 2Tyrone TaylorChicago Cubs0.845
  3. 3Seiya SuzukiChicago Cubs0.838
  4. 4Michael ConfortoChicago Cubs0.814
  5. 5Alex BregmanChicago Cubs0.783
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Kevin GausmanChicago Cubs165
  2. 2Shota ImanagaChicago Cubs152
  3. 3David PetersonChicago Cubs117
  4. 4Colin ReaChicago Cubs99
  5. 5Ryan ZeferjahnChicago Cubs88
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Ryan ZeferjahnChicago Cubs31.7%
  2. 2Caleb ThielbarChicago Cubs29.5%
  3. 3Tyler FergusonChicago Cubs26.9%
  4. 4Daniel PalenciaChicago Cubs26.6%
  5. 5Jacob WebbChicago Cubs25.7%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Ben BrownChicago Cubs0.497
  2. 2Clay HolmesChicago Cubs0.575
  3. 3Ryan ZeferjahnChicago Cubs0.632
  4. 4Jacob WebbChicago Cubs0.665
  5. 5Ryan RolisonChicago Cubs0.665
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Ben Brown

68.0 IP · 1.85 ERA · 2.0 WAR

944 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 371 pitches 39.3% 96.378th pct 13.3%24th pct 23.7%25th pct 59.0%93rd pct 0.0%100th pct 52.2%14th pct
Knuckle CurveKC · 366 pitches 38.8% 86.893rd pct 41.6%89th pct 38.1%71st pct 40.4%71st pct 0.0%100th pct 39.3%61st pct
SinkerSI · 207 pitches 21.9% 96.483rd pct 8.7%26th pct 25.8%54th pct 55.1%42nd pct 0.0%100th pct 33.3%83rd pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge82.5

Ian Happ

Chicago Cubs

Ian Happ is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.220
vs R0.352

Estimated wOBA: 0.220 vs L, 0.352 vs R.

pitcher edge81.6

Ryan Rolison

Chicago Cubs

Ryan Rolison is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.183
vs R0.385

Estimated wOBA: 0.183 vs L, 0.385 vs R.

pitcher edge80.0

Javier Assad

Chicago Cubs

Javier Assad is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.351
vs R0.240

Estimated wOBA: 0.351 vs L, 0.240 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter86.0

Ryan Rolison

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability95.6%Matchup100.0%Performance50.9%
Right-handed batter75.1

Daniel Palencia

RHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability91.1%Matchup70.0%Performance38.8%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Pete Crow-Armstrong Pete Crow-Armstrong is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 95.1
Seiya Suzuki Seiya Suzuki is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.1
Kevin Gausman Kevin Gausman’s Splitter: 84.1 mph, 39.7% whiffs 82.9
Shota Imanaga Shota Imanaga’s Splitter: 82.8 mph, 40.4% whiffs 82.4
Michael Conforto Michael Conforto is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 81.8
Tyrone Taylor Tyrone Taylor is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 80.5
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.