Washington Nationals Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Washington Nationals.
SABRhood team report

Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals ranks 16th in run generation and 30th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 4 recent risers.

League intelligence# 28 30.4 index
Run generation#16
Composite score 48.8
Pitching#30
Composite score 12.1
Recent play#17
4 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#12
Current state usable
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsOutfield / Second baseClearest upgrade lanesRelief pitching / Starting pitching
CNeed

Catcher

1.1WAR#21 of 30
Top valueKeibert Ruiz1.1 WAR
1BNeed

First base

0.5WAR#21 of 30
Top valueAndrés Chaparro0.5 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

3.5WAR#4 of 30
Top valueLuis García Jr.2.2 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

0.0WAR#23 of 29
Top valueBrady House0.0 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

3.8WAR#6 of 28
Top valueCJ Abrams3.8 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

8.5WAR#2 of 30
Top valueJames Wood4.3 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

0.0WAR#12 of 20
Top valueAbimelec Ortiz0.0 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

4.4WAR#24 of 30
Top valueCade Cavalli2.7 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

-1.5WAR#29 of 30
Top valueAndrew Alvarez1.3 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Washington Nationals’s analytical identity

    Washington Nationals ranks 16th in run generation and 30th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 4 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Cade Cavalli is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.348 versus 0.679 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Brady House is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.410 vs L, 0.259 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Riley Cornelio

Washington Nationals | RHP

58.4
Season BF116OPS allowed0.677Est. wOBA allowed0.305Samplemoderate
Biggest changewalk rate allowed +4.02 z

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 4.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 0th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed60th
0.677
Est. wOBA allowed50th
0.305
Strikeout rate62nd
23.3%
Walk rate allowed0th
17.2%
Hard-hit rate allowed0th
48.5%
Run value allowed / PA22nd
0.022
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+1.16 z
Recent 0.450 baseline 0.728
Est. wOBA allowed+1.50 z
Recent 0.188 baseline 0.330
Strikeout rate+1.76 z
Recent 35.0% baseline 20.8%
Walk rate allowed+4.02 z
Recent 0.0% baseline 20.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed-2.98 z
Recent 75.0% baseline 42.9%
Run value allowed / PA+1.12 z
Recent -0.059 baseline 0.039
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 4.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 0th percentile. Recent sample: 20 BF; prior sample: 96 BF.
Pitcher change profile

Max Kranick

Washington Nationals | RHP

47.6
Season BF94OPS allowed1.048Est. wOBA allowed0.443Sampledeveloping
Biggest changewalk rate allowed -3.21 z

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.2 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 4th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed0th
1.048
Est. wOBA allowed0th
0.443
Strikeout rate1st
11.7%
Walk rate allowed4th
13.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed76th
34.8%
Run value allowed / PA1st
0.090
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed-2.00 z
Recent 1.448 baseline 0.932
Est. wOBA allowed-1.79 z
Recent 0.577 baseline 0.398
Strikeout rate-0.49 z
Recent 8.7% baseline 12.7%
Walk rate allowed-3.21 z
Recent 26.1% baseline 9.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed-1.41 z
Recent 46.7% baseline 31.5%
Run value allowed / PA-2.51 z
Recent 0.263 baseline 0.034
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.2 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 4th percentile. Recent sample: 23 BF; prior sample: 71 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1James WoodWashington Nationals142
  2. 2CJ AbramsWashington Nationals95
  3. 3Daylen LileWashington Nationals93
  4. 4Dylan CrewsWashington Nationals75
  5. 5José TenaWashington Nationals58
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1James WoodWashington Nationals46.7%
  2. 2José TenaWashington Nationals35.6%
  3. 3Joey WiemerWashington Nationals32.5%
  4. 4Andrés ChaparroWashington Nationals30.3%
  5. 5Dylan CrewsWashington Nationals29.8%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Yovanny CruzWashington Nationals32
  2. 2Luis PeralesWashington Nationals9
  3. 3Orlando RibaltaWashington Nationals1
  4. 4Clayton BeeterWashington Nationals0
  5. 5Cade CavalliWashington Nationals0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Yovanny CruzWashington Nationals18.4%
  2. 2Luis PeralesWashington Nationals8.1%
  3. 3Orlando RibaltaWashington Nationals0.1%
  4. 4Clayton BeeterWashington Nationals0.0%
  5. 5Cade CavalliWashington Nationals0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Keibert RuizWashington Nationals0.285
  2. 2James WoodWashington Nationals0.264
  3. 3CJ AbramsWashington Nationals0.260
  4. 4Andrés ChaparroWashington Nationals0.259
  5. 5Daylen LileWashington Nationals0.251
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1James WoodWashington Nationals30
  2. 2CJ AbramsWashington Nationals30
  3. 3Daylen LileWashington Nationals20
  4. 4Dylan CrewsWashington Nationals11
  5. 5Andrés ChaparroWashington Nationals10
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1James WoodWashington Nationals0.908
  2. 2Andrés ChaparroWashington Nationals0.880
  3. 3CJ AbramsWashington Nationals0.827
  4. 4Keibert RuizWashington Nationals0.770
  5. 5Daylen LileWashington Nationals0.736
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Cade CavalliWashington Nationals185
  2. 2Andrew AlvarezWashington Nationals91
  3. 3Jake IrvinWashington Nationals90
  4. 4Brad LordWashington Nationals70
  5. 5Miles MikolasWashington Nationals58
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Will DionWashington Nationals28.3%
  2. 2Cade CavalliWashington Nationals27.9%
  3. 3Justin LawrenceWashington Nationals24.4%
  4. 4Jake BirdWashington Nationals23.8%
  5. 5Orlando RibaltaWashington Nationals23.6%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Brad LordWashington Nationals0.628
  2. 2Orlando RibaltaWashington Nationals0.638
  3. 3Andrew AlvarezWashington Nationals0.660
  4. 4Cade CavalliWashington Nationals0.660
  5. 5PJ PoulinWashington Nationals0.667
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Cade Cavalli

116.2 IP · 3.55 ERA · 2.7 WAR

2,607 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 851 pitches 32.6% 96.983rd pct 19.2%59th pct 28.1%54th pct 54.4%67th pct 0.0%100th pct 47.0%33rd pct
Knuckle CurveKC · 715 pitches 27.4% 86.286th pct 37.9%71st pct 35.1%46th pct 44.2%89th pct 0.0%100th pct 31.2%86th pct
SweeperST · 351 pitches 13.5% 86.492nd pct 31.4%64th pct 39.3%92nd pct 39.0%27th pct 0.0%100th pct 34.6%30th pct
SinkerSI · 331 pitches 12.7% 96.179th pct 10.2%43rd pct 24.2%44th pct 60.1%80th pct 0.0%100th pct 48.7%22nd pct
ChangeupCH · 198 pitches 7.6% 89.182nd pct 23.9%28th pct 29.2%26th pct 39.4%62nd pct 0.0%100th pct 31.2%47th pct
CutterFC · 161 pitches 6.2% 93.694th pct 15.9%23rd pct 25.7%34th pct 54.0%71st pct 0.0%100th pct 43.3%26th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge77.5

Brady House

Washington Nationals

Brady House is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.410
vs R0.259

Estimated wOBA: 0.410 vs L, 0.259 vs R.

hitter edge77.0

Dylan Crews

Washington Nationals

Dylan Crews is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.372
vs R0.256

Estimated wOBA: 0.372 vs L, 0.256 vs R.

pitcher edge74.5

Brad Lord

Washington Nationals

Brad Lord is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.326
vs R0.236

Estimated wOBA: 0.326 vs L, 0.236 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter83.3

Erik Tolman

LHP · available · 3 days rest

Availability89.4%Matchup100.0%Performance50.0%
Right-handed batter81.5

Luis Perales

RHP · available · 4 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance50.0%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
James Wood James Wood is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 94.8
Andrés Chaparro Andrés Chaparro is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.8
CJ Abrams CJ Abrams is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.0
Cade Cavalli Cade Cavalli is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 74.9
Cade Cavalli Cade Cavalli’s Knuckle Curve: 86.2 mph, 37.9% whiffs 74.2
Orlando Ribalta Orlando Ribalta is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 71.6
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.