Washington Nationals Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Washington Nationals.
SABRhood team report

Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals ranks 20th in run generation and 28th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 2 recent risers.

League intelligence# 27 30.4 index
Run generation#20
Composite score 44.5
Pitching#28
Composite score 16.4
Recent play#13
2 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#6
Current state rested
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsOutfield / Second baseClearest upgrade lanesRelief pitching / Starting pitching
CNeed

Catcher

1.1WAR#21 of 30
Top valueKeibert Ruiz1.1 WAR
1BNeed

First base

0.5WAR#21 of 30
Top valueAndrés Chaparro0.5 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

3.5WAR#4 of 30
Top valueLuis García Jr.2.2 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

0.0WAR#23 of 29
Top valueBrady House0.0 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

3.8WAR#6 of 28
Top valueCJ Abrams3.8 WAR
OFStrength

Outfield

8.5WAR#2 of 30
Top valueJames Wood4.3 WAR
DHNeed

Designated hitter

0.0WAR#12 of 20
Top valueAbimelec Ortiz0.0 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

4.4WAR#24 of 30
Top valueCade Cavalli2.7 WAR
RPNeed

Relief pitching

-1.5WAR#29 of 30
Top valueAndrew Alvarez1.3 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Washington Nationals’s analytical identity

    Washington Nationals ranks 20th in run generation and 28th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 2 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Riley Cornelio is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.390 versus 0.743 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Brady House is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.417 vs L, 0.251 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Jorbit Vivas

Washington Nationals | LHB

42.5
Season PA357OPS0.666Est. wOBA0.300Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate -2.71 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 86th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS18th
0.666
Est. wOBA27th
0.300
Strikeout rate86th
14.8%
Walk rate83rd
11.5%
Hard-hit rate2nd
21.5%
Run value / PA52nd
0.011
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+0.51 z
Recent 0.782 baseline 0.653
Est. wOBA+0.53 z
Recent 0.346 baseline 0.295
Strikeout rate-2.71 z
Recent 32.4% baseline 13.0%
Walk rate+0.17 z
Recent 11.8% baseline 11.5%
Hard-hit rate-0.53 z
Recent 15.8% baseline 21.9%
Run value / PA+0.85 z
Recent 0.079 baseline 0.004
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 86th percentile. Recent sample: 34 PA; prior sample: 323 PA.
Hitter change profile

Brady House

Washington Nationals | RHB

28.6
Season PA340OPS0.700Est. wOBA0.304Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate +1.84 z

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 40th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS33rd
0.700
Est. wOBA32nd
0.304
Strikeout rate27th
25.9%
Walk rate40th
7.9%
Hard-hit rate88th
48.2%
Run value / PA61st
0.016
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-0.17 z
Recent 0.677 baseline 0.702
Est. wOBA-0.01 z
Recent 0.307 baseline 0.304
Strikeout rate+1.49 z
Recent 15.6% baseline 26.9%
Walk rate+1.84 z
Recent 15.6% baseline 7.1%
Hard-hit rate+1.27 z
Recent 59.1% baseline 47.0%
Run value / PA+0.48 z
Recent 0.055 baseline 0.012
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 40th percentile. Recent sample: 32 PA; prior sample: 308 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1James WoodWashington Nationals153
  2. 2CJ AbramsWashington Nationals102
  3. 3Daylen LileWashington Nationals102
  4. 4Dylan CrewsWashington Nationals84
  5. 5Brady HouseWashington Nationals66
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1James WoodWashington Nationals46.9%
  2. 2José TenaWashington Nationals34.5%
  3. 3Joey WiemerWashington Nationals32.5%
  4. 4Brady HouseWashington Nationals29.9%
  5. 5Dylan CrewsWashington Nationals29.7%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Yovanny CruzWashington Nationals57
  2. 2Luis PeralesWashington Nationals12
  3. 3Orlando RibaltaWashington Nationals1
  4. 4Clayton BeeterWashington Nationals0
  5. 5Cade CavalliWashington Nationals0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Yovanny CruzWashington Nationals25.1%
  2. 2Luis PeralesWashington Nationals4.8%
  3. 3Orlando RibaltaWashington Nationals0.1%
  4. 4Clayton BeeterWashington Nationals0.0%
  5. 5Cade CavalliWashington Nationals0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Keibert RuizWashington Nationals0.284
  2. 2James WoodWashington Nationals0.264
  3. 3CJ AbramsWashington Nationals0.259
  4. 4Andrés ChaparroWashington Nationals0.257
  5. 5Jacob YoungWashington Nationals0.250
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1CJ AbramsWashington Nationals31
  2. 2James WoodWashington Nationals30
  3. 3Daylen LileWashington Nationals22
  4. 4Dylan CrewsWashington Nationals12
  5. 5Andrés ChaparroWashington Nationals11
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1James WoodWashington Nationals0.889
  2. 2Andrés ChaparroWashington Nationals0.870
  3. 3CJ AbramsWashington Nationals0.819
  4. 4Keibert RuizWashington Nationals0.769
  5. 5Daylen LileWashington Nationals0.734
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Cade CavalliWashington Nationals200
  2. 2Andrew AlvarezWashington Nationals107
  3. 3Jake IrvinWashington Nationals104
  4. 4Brad LordWashington Nationals74
  5. 5Miles MikolasWashington Nationals58
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Cade CavalliWashington Nationals28.3%
  2. 2Will DionWashington Nationals26.6%
  3. 3Justin LawrenceWashington Nationals24.4%
  4. 4Riley CornelioWashington Nationals23.9%
  5. 5Jake BirdWashington Nationals23.8%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Andrew AlvarezWashington Nationals0.632
  2. 2Orlando RibaltaWashington Nationals0.638
  3. 3Riley CornelioWashington Nationals0.650
  4. 4Cade CavalliWashington Nationals0.651
  5. 5Brad LordWashington Nationals0.664
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Cade Cavalli

116.2 IP · 3.55 ERA · 2.7 WAR

2,776 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 904 pitches 32.6% 96.884th pct 19.0%58th pct 27.7%54th pct 54.4%68th pct 0.0%100th pct 45.3%42nd pct
Knuckle CurveKC · 750 pitches 27.0% 86.286th pct 38.3%72nd pct 36.4%59th pct 44.0%86th pct 0.0%100th pct 32.0%86th pct
SweeperST · 387 pitches 13.9% 86.392nd pct 32.4%66th pct 39.0%92nd pct 39.0%27th pct 0.0%100th pct 35.7%26th pct
SinkerSI · 347 pitches 12.5% 96.179th pct 9.8%38th pct 26.1%55th pct 60.2%80th pct 0.0%100th pct 48.1%22nd pct
ChangeupCH · 212 pitches 7.6% 89.182nd pct 25.8%36th pct 29.0%26th pct 38.2%57th pct 0.0%100th pct 31.2%51st pct
CutterFC · 176 pitches 6.3% 93.593rd pct 15.6%19th pct 27.2%45th pct 54.0%71st pct 0.0%100th pct 44.1%23rd pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge79.7

Brady House

Washington Nationals

Brady House is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.417
vs R0.251

Estimated wOBA: 0.417 vs L, 0.251 vs R.

hitter edge73.5

CJ Abrams

Washington Nationals

CJ Abrams is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.296
vs R0.371

Estimated wOBA: 0.296 vs L, 0.371 vs R.

pitcher edge71.8

Jake Bird

Washington Nationals

Jake Bird is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.456
vs R0.292

Estimated wOBA: 0.456 vs L, 0.292 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter76.8

Richard Lovelady

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability87.2%Matchup100.0%Performance27.8%
Right-handed batter81.5

Luis Perales

RHP · available · 5 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance50.0%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
James Wood James Wood is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 94.6
Andrés Chaparro Andrés Chaparro is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.6
CJ Abrams CJ Abrams is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 85.4
Cade Cavalli Cade Cavalli is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 76.9
Cade Cavalli Cade Cavalli’s Knuckle Curve: 86.2 mph, 38.3% whiffs 75.4
Riley Cornelio Riley Cornelio’s Slider: 84.9 mph, 50.4% whiffs 74.0
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.