Seattle Mariners Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Seattle Mariners.
SABRhood team report

Seattle Mariners

Seattle Mariners ranks 28th in offensive quality and 5th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 3 surge signals.

League intelligence# 20 42.2 index
Offensive quality#28
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.302
Run prevention#5
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.291
Recent form#24
3 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#14
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsStarting pitching / Designated hitterClearest upgrade lanesThird base / First base
CNeed

Catcher

0.9WAR#21 of 30
Top valueCal Raleigh0.4 WAR
1BNeed

First base

0.4WAR#22 of 30
Top valueJosh Naylor0.5 WAR
2BStrength

Second base

2.0WAR#10 of 30
Top valueCole Young1.6 WAR
3BNeed

Third base

-0.2WAR#25 of 29
Top valueColt Emerson0.4 WAR
SSMiddle

Shortstop

1.1WAR#17 of 28
Top valueJ.P. Crawford1.1 WAR
OFMiddle

Outfield

4.2WAR#11 of 30
Top valueRandy Arozarena2.8 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

1.5WAR#6 of 20
Top valueDominic Canzone1.5 WAR
SPStrength

Starting pitching

11.4WAR#3 of 30
Top valueBryan Woo2.7 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

1.9WAR#19 of 30
Top valueAndrés Muñoz0.8 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Seattle Mariners’s analytical identity

    Seattle Mariners ranks 28th in offensive quality and 5th in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 3 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Cole Wilcox is the strongest recent pitcher signal

    Recent OPS allowed 0.296 versus 0.744 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    José A. Ferrer is suppressing left-handed batters more effectively

    Estimated wOBA: 0.222 vs L, 0.381 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Luis Castillo

Seattle Mariners | RHP

40.5
Season BF419OPS allowed0.748Est. wOBA allowed0.322Samplestrong
Biggest changehard-hit rate allowed +2.7 SD

Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 32nd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed30th
0.748
Est. wOBA allowed33rd
0.322
Strikeout rate32nd
20.0%
Walk rate allowed59th
7.2%
Hard-hit rate allowed32nd
41.1%
Run value allowed / PA15th
0.030
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.4 SD
Recent 0.639 baseline 0.756
Est. wOBA allowed+0.6 SD
Recent 0.265 baseline 0.326
Strikeout rate-1.2 SD
Recent 11.1% baseline 20.7%
Walk rate allowed-0.3 SD
Recent 7.4% baseline 7.1%
Hard-hit rate allowed+2.7 SD
Recent 9.1% baseline 43.6%
Run value allowed / PA+0.5 SD
Recent -0.020 baseline 0.033
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 32nd percentile. Recent sample: 27 BF; prior sample: 392 BF.
Pitcher change profile

Bryce Miller

Seattle Mariners | RHP

38.0
Season BF263OPS allowed0.615Est. wOBA allowed0.263Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate -2.3 SD

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 81st percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed83rd
0.615
Est. wOBA allowed89th
0.263
Strikeout rate81st
27.0%
Walk rate allowed99th
3.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed94th
30.9%
Run value allowed / PA91st
-0.050
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed-1.1 SD
Recent 0.827 baseline 0.567
Est. wOBA allowed-1.2 SD
Recent 0.353 baseline 0.243
Strikeout rate-2.3 SD
Recent 12.2% baseline 30.4%
Walk rate allowed-0.4 SD
Recent 4.1% baseline 3.7%
Hard-hit rate allowed-0.9 SD
Recent 40.0% baseline 28.4%
Run value allowed / PA-0.7 SD
Recent 0.005 baseline -0.062
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 81st percentile. Recent sample: 49 BF; prior sample: 214 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Randy ArozarenaSeattle Mariners0.280
  2. 2Brendan DonovanSeattle Mariners0.274
  3. 3Josh NaylorSeattle Mariners0.255
  4. 4Julio RodríguezSeattle Mariners0.253
  5. 5Dominic CanzoneSeattle Mariners0.252
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Dominic CanzoneSeattle Mariners15
  2. 2Julio RodríguezSeattle Mariners15
  3. 3Luke RaleySeattle Mariners15
  4. 4Cole YoungSeattle Mariners13
  5. 5Randy ArozarenaSeattle Mariners11
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Brendan DonovanSeattle Mariners0.839
  2. 2Dominic CanzoneSeattle Mariners0.816
  3. 3Randy ArozarenaSeattle Mariners0.813
  4. 4Luke RaleySeattle Mariners0.735
  5. 5Julio RodríguezSeattle Mariners0.731
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Logan GilbertSeattle Mariners129
  2. 2Bryan WooSeattle Mariners114
  3. 3George KirbySeattle Mariners104
  4. 4Emerson HancockSeattle Mariners97
  5. 5Luis CastilloSeattle Mariners84
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Andrés MuñozSeattle Mariners35.7%
  2. 2Michael RuckerSeattle Mariners27.6%
  3. 3Logan GilbertSeattle Mariners27.3%
  4. 4Bryce MillerSeattle Mariners27.0%
  5. 5Alex HoppeSeattle Mariners24.1%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Nick DavilaSeattle Mariners0.601
  2. 2Emerson HancockSeattle Mariners0.612
  3. 3Andrés MuñozSeattle Mariners0.613
  4. 4Bryce MillerSeattle Mariners0.615
  5. 5Logan GilbertSeattle Mariners0.637
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Breaking identity

Andrés Muñoz

Seattle Mariners | Slider

79.5
Whiff49.4%
Chase47.2%
Usage57.0%
Average velocity86.9 mph
Offspeed identity

Logan Gilbert

Seattle Mariners | Splitter

77.3
Whiff37.2%
Chase35.7%
Usage14.2%
Average velocity81.6 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge80.1

José A. Ferrer

Seattle Mariners

José A. Ferrer is suppressing left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.222
vs R0.381

Estimated wOBA: 0.222 vs L, 0.381 vs R.

pitcher edge71.4

Gabe Speier

Seattle Mariners

Gabe Speier is suppressing left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.190
vs R0.383

Estimated wOBA: 0.190 vs L, 0.383 vs R.

pitcher edge70.4

Andrés Muñoz

Seattle Mariners

Andrés Muñoz is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.327
vs R0.211

Estimated wOBA: 0.327 vs L, 0.211 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter86.8

José A. Ferrer

LHP · available · 4 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup100.0%Performance47.3%
Right-handed batter85.0

Andrés Muñoz

RHP · available · 6 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance64.0%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
offensive_race Randy Arozarena Randy Arozarena is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 82.8
offensive_race Dominic Canzone Dominic Canzone is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 80.1
run_prevention Bryce Miller Bryce Miller is suppressing offense at an elite rate 79.7
milestone Cal Raleigh Cal Raleigh reached 500 career hits 76.5
pitch_identity Andrés Muñoz Andrés Muñoz’s Slider: 86.9 mph, 49.4% whiffs 76.0
run_prevention Logan Gilbert Logan Gilbert is suppressing offense at an elite rate 74.8
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.