San Diego Padres Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the San Diego Padres.
SABRhood team report

San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres ranks 11th in run generation and 9th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 3 recent risers.

League intelligence# 9 59.3 index
Run generation#11
Composite score 55.3
Pitching#9
Composite score 63.3
Recent play#7
3 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#19
Current state usable
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsRelief pitching / ShortstopClearest upgrade lanesSecond base / Starting pitching
CMiddle

Catcher

1.5WAR#15 of 30
Top valueLuis Campusano1.0 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

2.2WAR#11 of 30
Top valueTy France2.3 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.3WAR#27 of 30
Top valueSung-Mun Song0.5 WAR
3BMiddle

Third base

0.7WAR#18 of 29
Top valueManny Machado1.6 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

4.1WAR#3 of 28
Top valueFernando Tatis Jr.2.5 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

2.3WAR#24 of 30
Top valueJackson Merrill1.8 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

0.2WAR#10 of 20
Top valueGavin Sheets0.2 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

3.7WAR#25 of 30
Top valueMichael King1.9 WAR
RPStrength

Relief pitching

6.9WAR#1 of 30
Top valueMason Miller3.1 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    San Diego Padres’s analytical identity

    San Diego Padres ranks 11th in run generation and 9th in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 3 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Jackson Merrill is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.191 versus 0.702 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Mason Miller’s Slider: 88.0 mph, 54.0% whiffs

    Quality score 86.4; usage 51.1%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Samad Taylor

San Diego Padres | RHB

41.0
Season PA159OPS0.862Est. wOBA0.377Samplemoderate
Biggest changestrikeout rate +2.57 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 30th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS95th
0.862
Est. wOBA97th
0.377
Strikeout rate30th
25.2%
Walk rate74th
10.7%
Hard-hit rate3rd
23.8%
Run value / PA99th
0.075
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+1.53 z
Recent 1.136 baseline 0.774
Est. wOBA+1.44 z
Recent 0.478 baseline 0.345
Strikeout rate+2.57 z
Recent 10.5% baseline 29.8%
Walk rate+0.06 z
Recent 10.5% baseline 10.7%
Hard-hit rate+0.02 z
Recent 23.3% baseline 23.9%
Run value / PA+0.97 z
Recent 0.141 baseline 0.054
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 30th percentile. Recent sample: 38 PA; prior sample: 121 PA.
Pitcher change profile

Bradgley Rodriguez

San Diego Padres | RHP

37.9
Season BF286OPS allowed0.611Est. wOBA allowed0.264Samplestrong
Biggest changeOPS allowed -2.60 z

OPS allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 84th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed84th
0.611
Est. wOBA allowed87th
0.264
Strikeout rate78th
26.6%
Walk rate allowed82nd
6.3%
Hard-hit rate allowed96th
29.7%
Run value allowed / PA58th
-0.012
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed-2.60 z
Recent 1.300 baseline 0.556
Est. wOBA allowed-2.57 z
Recent 0.529 baseline 0.244
Strikeout rate-0.88 z
Recent 20.0% baseline 27.1%
Walk rate allowed+1.25 z
Recent 0.0% baseline 6.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed-1.46 z
Recent 43.8% baseline 28.4%
Run value allowed / PA-1.10 z
Recent 0.102 baseline -0.020
Broadcast read: OPS allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.6 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 84th percentile. Recent sample: 20 BF; prior sample: 266 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres188
  2. 2Jackson MerrillSan Diego Padres128
  3. 3Manny MachadoSan Diego Padres124
  4. 4Xander BogaertsSan Diego Padres100
  5. 5Ty FranceSan Diego Padres94
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres38.5%
  2. 2Ty FranceSan Diego Padres28.9%
  3. 3Jackson MerrillSan Diego Padres28.7%
  4. 4Manny MachadoSan Diego Padres28.4%
  5. 5Xander BogaertsSan Diego Padres24.7%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres488
  2. 2Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres206
  3. 3Bradgley RodriguezSan Diego Padres11
  4. 4David MorganSan Diego Padres1
  5. 5Wandy PeraltaSan Diego Padres0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres44.8%
  2. 2Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres16.1%
  3. 3Bradgley RodriguezSan Diego Padres1.0%
  4. 4David MorganSan Diego Padres0.2%
  5. 5Wandy PeraltaSan Diego Padres0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Samad TaylorSan Diego Padres0.343
  2. 2Dustin HarrisSan Diego Padres0.304
  3. 3Ty FranceSan Diego Padres0.298
  4. 4Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres0.285
  5. 5Luis CampusanoSan Diego Padres0.263
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Manny MachadoSan Diego Padres28
  2. 2Jackson MerrillSan Diego Padres26
  3. 3Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres25
  4. 4Ty FranceSan Diego Padres21
  5. 5Gavin SheetsSan Diego Padres16
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Ty FranceSan Diego Padres0.874
  2. 2Samad TaylorSan Diego Padres0.862
  3. 3Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres0.819
  4. 4Luis CampusanoSan Diego Padres0.802
  5. 5Dustin HarrisSan Diego Padres0.753
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Michael KingSan Diego Padres154
  2. 2Robbie RaySan Diego Padres138
  3. 3Walker BuehlerSan Diego Padres128
  4. 4Mason MillerSan Diego Padres123
  5. 5Casey MizeSan Diego Padres109
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres48.2%
  2. 2Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres30.8%
  3. 3Jeremiah EstradaSan Diego Padres30.2%
  4. 4Nick PivettaSan Diego Padres29.2%
  5. 5Bradgley RodriguezSan Diego Padres26.6%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres0.415
  2. 2Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres0.541
  3. 3Nick PivettaSan Diego Padres0.551
  4. 4Jeremiah EstradaSan Diego Padres0.554
  5. 5Yuki MatsuiSan Diego Padres0.574
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Michael King

125.1 IP · 3.38 ERA · 1.9 WAR

2,900 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
SinkerSI · 808 pitches 27.9% 93.233rd pct 14.0%74th pct 25.3%48th pct 54.5%39th pct 0.0%100th pct 44.6%36th pct
ChangeupCH · 780 pitches 26.9% 86.551st pct 25.3%32nd pct 38.0%67th pct 41.7%74th pct 0.0%100th pct 23.9%80th pct
Four-Seam FastballFF · 579 pitches 20.0% 94.243rd pct 25.0%88th pct 28.9%61st pct 43.9%7th pct 0.0%100th pct 40.3%66th pct
SweeperST · 539 pitches 18.6% 82.038th pct 24.3%26th pct 28.6%31st pct 46.2%71st pct 0.0%100th pct 29.1%51st pct
SliderSL · 194 pitches 6.7% 85.428th pct 24.1%20th pct 25.5%11th pct 43.3%49th pct 0.0%100th pct 29.4%76th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge81.2

Randy Vásquez

San Diego Padres

Randy Vásquez is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.362
vs R0.261

Estimated wOBA: 0.362 vs L, 0.261 vs R.

pitcher edge81.1

Griffin Canning

San Diego Padres

Griffin Canning is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.395
vs R0.274

Estimated wOBA: 0.395 vs L, 0.274 vs R.

pitcher edge74.7

Casey Mize

San Diego Padres

Casey Mize is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.266
vs R0.344

Estimated wOBA: 0.266 vs L, 0.344 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter91.0

Adrian Morejon

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability86.1%Matchup100.0%Performance86.4%
Right-handed batter79.0

Adrian Morejon

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability86.1%Matchup40.0%Performance86.4%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Ty France Ty France is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 91.5
Mason Miller Mason Miller is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 91.2
Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 90.2
Adrian Morejon Adrian Morejon is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 89.2
Mason Miller Mason Miller’s Slider: 88.0 mph, 54.0% whiffs 84.0
Yuki Matsui Yuki Matsui is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 82.7
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.