San Diego Padres Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the San Diego Padres.
SABRhood team report

San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres ranks 19th in run generation and 9th in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 1 recent risers.

League intelligence# 9 56.5 index
Run generation#19
Composite score 46.4
Pitching#9
Composite score 66.6
Recent play#21
1 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#28
Current state taxed
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsRelief pitching / ShortstopClearest upgrade lanesSecond base / Starting pitching
CMiddle

Catcher

1.5WAR#15 of 30
Top valueLuis Campusano1.0 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

2.2WAR#11 of 30
Top valueTy France2.3 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.3WAR#27 of 30
Top valueSung-Mun Song0.5 WAR
3BMiddle

Third base

0.7WAR#18 of 29
Top valueManny Machado1.6 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

4.1WAR#3 of 28
Top valueFernando Tatis Jr.2.5 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

2.3WAR#24 of 30
Top valueJackson Merrill1.8 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

0.2WAR#10 of 20
Top valueGavin Sheets0.2 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

3.7WAR#25 of 30
Top valueMichael King1.9 WAR
RPStrength

Relief pitching

6.9WAR#1 of 30
Top valueMason Miller3.1 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    San Diego Padres’s analytical identity

    San Diego Padres ranks 19th in run generation and 9th in pitching performance, with a taxed bullpen and 1 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Manny Machado is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.058 versus 0.701 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Mason Miller’s Slider: 88.0 mph, 53.4% whiffs

    Quality score 86.3; usage 51.7%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Pitcher change profile

Kyle Hart

San Diego Padres | LHP

34.6
Season BF242OPS allowed0.646Est. wOBA allowed0.282Samplemoderate
Biggest changehard-hit rate allowed -2.33 z

Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 93rd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed73rd
0.646
Est. wOBA allowed76th
0.282
Strikeout rate61st
23.1%
Walk rate allowed57th
7.9%
Hard-hit rate allowed93rd
30.5%
Run value allowed / PA43rd
0.001
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.28 z
Recent 0.594 baseline 0.651
Est. wOBA allowed+0.27 z
Recent 0.262 baseline 0.284
Strikeout rate+0.41 z
Recent 26.1% baseline 22.8%
Walk rate allowed-0.23 z
Recent 8.7% baseline 7.8%
Hard-hit rate allowed-2.33 z
Recent 53.3% baseline 28.2%
Run value allowed / PA+0.59 z
Recent -0.045 baseline 0.005
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 93rd percentile. Recent sample: 23 BF; prior sample: 219 BF.
Pitcher change profile

Michael King

San Diego Padres | RHP

30.7
Season BF688OPS allowed0.642Est. wOBA allowed0.287Samplestrong
Biggest changehard-hit rate allowed -1.84 z

Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 85th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed75th
0.642
Est. wOBA allowed73rd
0.287
Strikeout rate42nd
20.9%
Walk rate allowed34th
9.6%
Hard-hit rate allowed85th
33.0%
Run value allowed / PA84th
-0.038
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS allowed+0.42 z
Recent 0.558 baseline 0.648
Est. wOBA allowed+0.27 z
Recent 0.267 baseline 0.288
Strikeout rate-0.39 z
Recent 18.0% baseline 21.2%
Walk rate allowed-0.56 z
Recent 12.0% baseline 9.4%
Hard-hit rate allowed-1.84 z
Recent 51.5% baseline 31.6%
Run value allowed / PA+1.02 z
Recent -0.121 baseline -0.032
Broadcast read: Hard-hit rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 1.8 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 85th percentile. Recent sample: 50 BF; prior sample: 638 BF.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres176
  2. 2Manny MachadoSan Diego Padres117
  3. 3Jackson MerrillSan Diego Padres113
  4. 4Xander BogaertsSan Diego Padres93
  5. 5Ty FranceSan Diego Padres88
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres38.9%
  2. 2Ty FranceSan Diego Padres29.8%
  3. 3Manny MachadoSan Diego Padres29.2%
  4. 4Jackson MerrillSan Diego Padres27.6%
  5. 5Jase BowenSan Diego Padres26.0%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres438
  2. 2Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres203
  3. 3Bradgley RodriguezSan Diego Padres10
  4. 4David MorganSan Diego Padres0
  5. 5Wandy PeraltaSan Diego Padres0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres43.8%
  2. 2Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres16.6%
  3. 3Bradgley RodriguezSan Diego Padres1.0%
  4. 4David MorganSan Diego Padres0.0%
  5. 5Wandy PeraltaSan Diego Padres0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Samad TaylorSan Diego Padres0.305
  2. 2Ty FranceSan Diego Padres0.286
  3. 3Luis CampusanoSan Diego Padres0.285
  4. 4Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres0.282
  5. 5Miguel AndujarSan Diego Padres0.259
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Manny MachadoSan Diego Padres26
  2. 2Jackson MerrillSan Diego Padres22
  3. 3Ty FranceSan Diego Padres20
  4. 4Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres20
  5. 5Gavin SheetsSan Diego Padres16
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Luis CampusanoSan Diego Padres0.856
  2. 2Ty FranceSan Diego Padres0.855
  3. 3Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres0.793
  4. 4Samad TaylorSan Diego Padres0.768
  5. 5Manny MachadoSan Diego Padres0.728
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Michael KingSan Diego Padres144
  2. 2Robbie RaySan Diego Padres127
  3. 3Walker BuehlerSan Diego Padres117
  4. 4Mason MillerSan Diego Padres113
  5. 5Casey MizeSan Diego Padres107
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres48.5%
  2. 2Nick PivettaSan Diego Padres31.3%
  3. 3Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres30.2%
  4. 4Jeremiah EstradaSan Diego Padres30.2%
  5. 5Yuki MatsuiSan Diego Padres27.1%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres0.404
  2. 2Nick PivettaSan Diego Padres0.488
  3. 3Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres0.545
  4. 4Jeremiah EstradaSan Diego Padres0.554
  5. 5Bradgley RodriguezSan Diego Padres0.556
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · RHP

Michael King

125.1 IP · 3.38 ERA · 1.9 WAR

2,700 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
SinkerSI · 760 pitches 28.1% 93.131st pct 14.5%77th pct 25.4%49th pct 55.0%42nd pct 0.0%100th pct 45.1%36th pct
ChangeupCH · 732 pitches 27.1% 86.552nd pct 25.8%34th pct 38.2%68th pct 42.1%76th pct 0.0%100th pct 24.3%77th pct
Four-Seam FastballFF · 536 pitches 19.9% 94.242nd pct 25.4%88th pct 29.9%67th pct 43.3%7th pct 0.0%100th pct 40.6%65th pct
SweeperST · 513 pitches 19.0% 82.037th pct 23.7%26th pct 27.4%25th pct 46.6%72nd pct 0.0%100th pct 28.2%58th pct
SliderSL · 159 pitches 5.9% 85.226th pct 21.9%13th pct 23.1%7th pct 42.8%45th pct 0.0%100th pct 30.8%72nd pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge81.1

Griffin Canning

San Diego Padres

Griffin Canning is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.400
vs R0.275

Estimated wOBA: 0.400 vs L, 0.275 vs R.

pitcher edge79.1

Randy Vásquez

San Diego Padres

Randy Vásquez is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.357
vs R0.263

Estimated wOBA: 0.357 vs L, 0.263 vs R.

pitcher edge74.2

Yuki Matsui

San Diego Padres

Yuki Matsui is limiting left-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.215
vs R0.326

Estimated wOBA: 0.215 vs L, 0.326 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter94.3

Yuki Matsui

LHP · available · 4 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup100.0%Performance77.0%
Right-handed batter82.3

Yuki Matsui

LHP · available · 4 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup40.0%Performance77.0%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Mason Miller Mason Miller is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 90.6
Ty France Ty France is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 89.4
Adrian Morejon Adrian Morejon is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 88.2
Fernando Tatis Jr. Fernando Tatis Jr. is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 85.4
Bradgley Rodriguez Bradgley Rodriguez is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 85.2
Luis Campusano Luis Campusano is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 84.3
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.