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San Diego Padres Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the San Diego Padres.
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SABRhood team report

San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres ranks 30th in offensive quality and 22nd in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 4 surge signals.

League intelligence# 30 28.3 index
Offensive quality#30
Weighted estimated wOBA 0.299
Run prevention#22
Opponent estimated wOBA 0.312
Recent form#3
4 surging signals
Bullpen readiness#30
Current state ready
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsRelief pitching / ShortstopClearest upgrade lanesSecond base / Outfield
CMiddle

Catcher

1.2WAR#18 of 30
Top valueLuis Campusano1.0 WAR
1BMiddle

First base

1.7WAR#16 of 30
Top valueTy France2.0 WAR
2BNeed

Second base

0.4WAR#27 of 30
Top valueSung-Mun Song0.6 WAR
3BMiddle

Third base

0.7WAR#19 of 29
Top valueManny Machado1.6 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

4.0WAR#2 of 28
Top valueFernando Tatis Jr.2.4 WAR
OFNeed

Outfield

1.6WAR#26 of 30
Top valueJackson Merrill1.2 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

0.3WAR#10 of 20
Top valueGavin Sheets0.3 WAR
SPNeed

Starting pitching

3.6WAR#25 of 30
Top valueMichael King1.9 WAR
RPStrength

Relief pitching

5.5WAR#1 of 30
Top valueMason Miller2.6 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    San Diego Padres’s analytical identity

    San Diego Padres ranks 30th in offensive quality and 22nd in run prevention, with a ready bullpen and 4 surge signals.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Luis Rengifo is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.227 versus 0.519 previously.

  3. 3
    signature pitch

    Mason Miller’s Slider: 87.8 mph, 53.6% whiffs

    Quality score 92.2; usage 53.7%.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Ty France

San Diego Padres | RHB

48.6
Season PA270OPS0.876Est. wOBA0.368Samplestrong
Biggest changerun value per PA +3.0 SD

Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 81st percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS93rd
0.876
Est. wOBA92nd
0.368
Strikeout rate34th
23.7%
Walk rate6th
4.4%
Hard-hit rate90th
50.3%
Run value / PA81st
0.039
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+2.1 SD
Recent 1.259 vs baseline 0.801
Est. wOBA+2.0 SD
Recent 0.509 vs baseline 0.340
Strikeout rate+0.4 SD
Recent 22.7% vs baseline 23.9%
Walk rate+0.3 SD
Recent 4.5% vs baseline 4.4%
Hard-hit rate+2.3 SD
Recent 71.0% vs baseline 46.1%
Run value / PA+3.0 SD
Recent 0.251 vs baseline -0.002
Cooling0 SDImproving
Broadcast read: Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 81st percentile. Recent sample: 44 PA; prior sample: 226 PA.
Hitter change profile

Luis Rengifo

San Diego Padres | RHB

48.2
Season PA238OPS0.599Est. wOBA0.268Samplemoderate
Biggest changeestimated wOBA +3.2 SD

Estimated wOBA is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.2 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 4th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS4th
0.599
Est. wOBA4th
0.268
Strikeout rate94th
12.6%
Walk rate58th
9.2%
Hard-hit rate32nd
37.8%
Run value / PA15th
-0.018
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+3.1 SD
Recent 1.227 vs baseline 0.519
Est. wOBA+3.2 SD
Recent 0.519 vs baseline 0.235
Strikeout rate-0.7 SD
Recent 18.5% vs baseline 11.8%
Walk rate+0.7 SD
Recent 11.1% vs baseline 9.0%
Hard-hit rate+2.5 SD
Recent 63.2% vs baseline 34.9%
Run value / PA+2.5 SD
Recent 0.166 vs baseline -0.041
Cooling0 SDImproving
Broadcast read: Estimated wOBA is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.2 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 4th percentile. Recent sample: 27 PA; prior sample: 211 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Separate boards keep familiar counting stats beside rate production. Rate boards require at least 30 plate appearances or batters faced in the current data snapshot.

Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Samad TaylorSan Diego Padres0.330
  2. 2Ty FranceSan Diego Padres0.280
  3. 3Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres0.280
  4. 4Miguel AndujarSan Diego Padres0.259
  5. 5Luis RengifoSan Diego Padres0.227
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Manny MachadoSan Diego Padres22
  2. 2Ty FranceSan Diego Padres16
  3. 3Gavin SheetsSan Diego Padres14
  4. 4Jackson MerrillSan Diego Padres14
  5. 5Xander BogaertsSan Diego Padres9
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Ty FranceSan Diego Padres0.876
  2. 2Samad TaylorSan Diego Padres0.808
  3. 3Fernando Tatis Jr.San Diego Padres0.746
  4. 4Miguel AndujarSan Diego Padres0.723
  5. 5Manny MachadoSan Diego Padres0.718
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Michael KingSan Diego Padres103
  2. 2Walker BuehlerSan Diego Padres84
  3. 3Mason MillerSan Diego Padres80
  4. 4Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres63
  5. 5Randy VásquezSan Diego Padres63
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres49.1%
  2. 2Jeremiah EstradaSan Diego Padres28.0%
  3. 3Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres27.9%
  4. 4Yuki MatsuiSan Diego Padres25.9%
  5. 5David MorganSan Diego Padres25.0%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Mason MillerSan Diego Padres0.371
  2. 2Adrian MorejonSan Diego Padres0.570
  3. 3Bradgley RodriguezSan Diego Padres0.573
  4. 4Jeremiah EstradaSan Diego Padres0.580
  5. 5Michael KingSan Diego Padres0.627
Pitch identity

The arsenal signatures worth knowing

Breaking identity

Mason Miller

San Diego Padres | Slider

92.2
Horizontal breakIVB
Whiff53.6%
Chase41.5%
Usage53.7%
Average velocity87.8 mph
Offspeed identity

Yuki Matsui

San Diego Padres | Splitter

83.9
Horizontal breakIVB
Whiff46.7%
Chase50.5%
Usage27.2%
Average velocity83.2 mph
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

pitcher edge81.2

Griffin Canning

San Diego Padres

Griffin Canning is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.422
vs R0.278

Estimated wOBA: 0.422 vs L, 0.278 vs R.

pitcher edge74.8

Mason Miller

San Diego Padres

Mason Miller is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.245
vs R0.112

Estimated wOBA: 0.245 vs L, 0.112 vs R.

pitcher edge72.9

Germán Márquez

San Diego Padres

Germán Márquez is suppressing right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.414
vs R0.307

Estimated wOBA: 0.414 vs L, 0.307 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter87.7

Yuki Matsui

LHP · available · 2 days rest

Availability90.6%Matchup100.0%Performance65.8%
Right-handed batter76.0

Mason Miller

RHP · monitor · 1 days rest

Availability63.6%Matchup70.0%Performance86.5%
Story leads

What this team could become next

Lane Subject Reporting lead Score
run_prevention Mason Miller Mason Miller is suppressing offense at an elite rate 88.3
pitch_identity Mason Miller Mason Miller’s Slider: 87.8 mph, 53.6% whiffs 87.1
offensive_race Ty France Ty France is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 86.7
run_prevention Adrian Morejon Adrian Morejon is suppressing offense at an elite rate 82.2
milestone Xander Bogaerts Xander Bogaerts reached 200 career home runs 81.4
run_prevention Bradgley Rodriguez Bradgley Rodriguez is suppressing offense at an elite rate 77.0
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.
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