Cleveland Guardians Team report

Automated SABRhood research report for the Cleveland Guardians.
SABRhood team report

Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians ranks 24th in run generation and 7th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 4 recent risers.

League intelligence# 14 52.6 index
Run generation#24
Composite score 34.3
Pitching#7
Composite score 70.9
Recent play#4
4 recent risers
Bullpen readiness#4
Current state rested
Roster construction

Where this club creates, and loses, WAR

Players are split by position and total WAR is calculated; the green border indicates a club is top-ten in positional WAR, the red border indicates a bottom-ten club.

Best value pocketsShortstop / Third baseClearest upgrade lanesFirst base / Catcher
CNeed

Catcher

0.1WAR#26 of 30
Top valueAustin Hedges0.6 WAR
1BNeed

First base

-0.5WAR#29 of 30
Top valueKyle Manzardo-0.1 WAR
2BMiddle

Second base

1.9WAR#16 of 30
Top valueTravis Bazzana1.7 WAR
3BStrength

Third base

2.1WAR#8 of 29
Top valueJosé Ramírez2.1 WAR
SSStrength

Shortstop

3.9WAR#5 of 28
Top valueBrayan Rocchio3.2 WAR
OFMiddle

Outfield

3.0WAR#20 of 30
Top valueSteven Kwan1.8 WAR
DHStrength

Designated hitter

1.0WAR#8 of 20
Top valueChase DeLauter1.9 WAR
SPStrength

Starting pitching

9.7WAR#9 of 30
Top valueParker Messick3.5 WAR
RPMiddle

Relief pitching

3.3WAR#16 of 30
Top valueCade Smith1.8 WAR
Broadcast three

Water cooler notes

Three concise, evidence-linked notes to start a broadcast conversation.

  1. 1
    team identity

    Cleveland Guardians’s analytical identity

    Cleveland Guardians ranks 24th in run generation and 7th in pitching performance, with a rested bullpen and 4 recent risers.

  2. 2
    form driver

    Angel Martínez is the strongest recent hitter signal

    Recent OPS 1.276 versus 0.706 previously.

  3. 3
    matchup edge

    Jo Adell is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

    Estimated wOBA: 0.407 vs L, 0.259 vs R.

Why it changed

Player movement with league context attached

The recent-window shift and the full-season league standing are separate, so a surge never floats free of the player’s actual level.

Hitter change profile

Angel Martínez

Cleveland Guardians | LHB

48.1
Season PA394OPS0.751Est. wOBA0.319Samplestrong
Biggest changerun value per PA +3.14 z

Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.1 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 43rd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS59th
0.751
Est. wOBA52nd
0.319
Strikeout rate48th
22.3%
Walk rate2nd
3.0%
Hard-hit rate28th
35.3%
Run value / PA43rd
0.004
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS+2.45 z
Recent 1.276 baseline 0.706
Est. wOBA+2.43 z
Recent 0.524 baseline 0.302
Strikeout rate-0.33 z
Recent 24.1% baseline 22.2%
Walk rate-0.57 z
Recent 0.0% baseline 3.3%
Hard-hit rate-0.30 z
Recent 31.8% baseline 35.6%
Run value / PA+3.14 z
Recent 0.259 baseline -0.016
Broadcast read: Run value per PA is the largest recent shift: improving by 3.1 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 43rd percentile. Recent sample: 29 PA; prior sample: 365 PA.
Hitter change profile

Patrick Bailey

Cleveland Guardians | LHB

35.7
Season PA331OPS0.591Est. wOBA0.261Samplestrong
Biggest changestrikeout rate -2.33 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 24th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS2nd
0.591
Est. wOBA3rd
0.261
Strikeout rate24th
26.3%
Walk rate42nd
8.2%
Hard-hit rate59th
41.7%
Run value / PA4th
-0.044
What changedRecent vs earlier season
OPS-0.23 z
Recent 0.555 baseline 0.595
Est. wOBA-0.16 z
Recent 0.252 baseline 0.262
Strikeout rate-2.33 z
Recent 41.4% baseline 24.8%
Walk rate-0.95 z
Recent 3.4% baseline 8.6%
Hard-hit rate-0.10 z
Recent 40.0% baseline 41.8%
Run value / PA-0.98 z
Recent -0.120 baseline -0.037
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: declining by 2.3 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 24th percentile. Recent sample: 29 PA; prior sample: 302 PA.
Team highs

The category leaders inside this clubhouse

Familiar production now sits beside tracked force: 100+ mph contact and pitches are shown as both totals and opportunity rates.

Club contact

100+ mph batted balls

Tracked-contact season total

  1. 1Jo AdellCleveland Guardians131
  2. 2Chase DeLauterCleveland Guardians118
  3. 3José RamírezCleveland Guardians87
  4. 4Nathaniel LoweCleveland Guardians82
  5. 5Travis BazzanaCleveland Guardians66
Club contact

100+ mph contact rate

Minimum 30 tracked batted balls

  1. 1Jo AdellCleveland Guardians30.7%
  2. 2Nathaniel LoweCleveland Guardians30.0%
  3. 3Chase DeLauterCleveland Guardians29.6%
  4. 4Angel GenaoCleveland Guardians23.8%
  5. 5Patrick BaileyCleveland Guardians23.4%
Club velocity

Pitches at 100+ mph

Across every pitch type

  1. 1Gavin WilliamsCleveland Guardians28
  2. 2Cade SmithCleveland Guardians25
  3. 3Daniel EspinoCleveland Guardians14
  4. 4Colin HoldermanCleveland Guardians1
  5. 5Carlos HernándezCleveland Guardians0
Club velocity

100+ mph pitch rate

Minimum 100 tracked pitches

  1. 1Daniel EspinoCleveland Guardians5.8%
  2. 2Cade SmithCleveland Guardians2.1%
  3. 3Gavin WilliamsCleveland Guardians1.0%
  4. 4Colin HoldermanCleveland Guardians0.1%
  5. 5Franco AlemanCleveland Guardians0.0%
Club offense

Batting average

Best qualified contact results

  1. 1Chase DeLauterCleveland Guardians0.291
  2. 2Steven KwanCleveland Guardians0.277
  3. 3Angel MartínezCleveland Guardians0.253
  4. 4Nathaniel LoweCleveland Guardians0.252
  5. 5Austin HedgesCleveland Guardians0.250
Club offense

Home runs

The club power board

  1. 1Jo AdellCleveland Guardians22
  2. 2Nathaniel LoweCleveland Guardians17
  3. 3Angel MartínezCleveland Guardians17
  4. 4Chase DeLauterCleveland Guardians15
  5. 5Travis BazzanaCleveland Guardians15
Club offense

OPS

On-base and slugging production

  1. 1Chase DeLauterCleveland Guardians0.821
  2. 2Nathaniel LoweCleveland Guardians0.765
  3. 3Angel MartínezCleveland Guardians0.751
  4. 4Travis BazzanaCleveland Guardians0.746
  5. 5Steven KwanCleveland Guardians0.715
Club pitching

Strikeouts

Total batters finished by strikeout

  1. 1Gavin WilliamsCleveland Guardians244
  2. 2Parker MessickCleveland Guardians186
  3. 3Joey CantilloCleveland Guardians167
  4. 4Foster GriffinCleveland Guardians151
  5. 5Tanner BibeeCleveland Guardians142
Club pitching

Strikeout rate

Strikeouts per batter faced

  1. 1Erik SabrowskiCleveland Guardians37.0%
  2. 2Cade SmithCleveland Guardians36.0%
  3. 3Gavin WilliamsCleveland Guardians33.4%
  4. 4Franco AlemanCleveland Guardians26.7%
  5. 5Parker MessickCleveland Guardians26.2%
Club pitching

Lowest OPS allowed

Qualified opponent production

  1. 1Colin HoldermanCleveland Guardians0.534
  2. 2Cade SmithCleveland Guardians0.546
  3. 3Erik SabrowskiCleveland Guardians0.563
  4. 4Parker MessickCleveland Guardians0.612
  5. 5Hunter GaddisCleveland Guardians0.624
Ace-in-the-Hole

The staff ace’s complete arsenal

The highest-WAR qualified starter leads the card. Every tracked offering is shown with usage, pitch traits, outcomes, and same-pitch MLB percentiles.

Staff ace · LHP

Parker Messick

129.2 IP · 2.57 ERA · 3.5 WAR

2,788 tracked pitches
Pitch Use Velo Whiff Chase Zone Putaway Hard hit
Four-Seam FastballFF · 1,149 pitches 41.2% 94.345th pct 23.4%82nd pct 28.9%61st pct 56.4%82nd pct 0.0%100th pct 35.5%84th pct
ChangeupCH · 651 pitches 23.4% 85.945th pct 34.5%73rd pct 43.3%88th pct 28.0%13th pct 0.0%100th pct 23.7%80th pct
SinkerSI · 425 pitches 15.2% 92.828th pct 7.5%18th pct 24.1%42nd pct 60.0%78th pct 0.0%100th pct 42.3%48th pct
CurveballCU · 245 pitches 8.8% 79.234th pct 10.4%1st pct 19.5%8th pct 45.7%83rd pct 0.0%100th pct 24.2%83rd pct
SliderSL · 184 pitches 6.6% 87.158th pct 27.2%34th pct 26.9%18th pct 41.3%36th pct 0.0%100th pct 42.4%22nd pct
CutterFC · 134 pitches 4.8% 90.563rd pct 24.1%77th pct 21.4%11th pct 37.3%2nd pct 0.0%100th pct 35.7%58th pct
Percentiles compare each pitch only with the same MLB pitch type and a minimum 50-pitch peer sample. Hard-hit percentile is reversed so a higher percentile is better.
Matchup intelligence

The largest qualified handedness edges

hitter edge86.4

Jo Adell

Cleveland Guardians

Jo Adell is doing more damage against left-handed pitching

vs L0.407
vs R0.259

Estimated wOBA: 0.407 vs L, 0.259 vs R.

hitter edge76.2

Travis Bazzana

Cleveland Guardians

Travis Bazzana is doing more damage against right-handed pitching

vs L0.254
vs R0.356

Estimated wOBA: 0.254 vs L, 0.356 vs R.

pitcher edge76.0

Hunter Gaddis

Cleveland Guardians

Hunter Gaddis is limiting right-handed batters more effectively

vs L0.336
vs R0.223

Estimated wOBA: 0.336 vs L, 0.223 vs R.

Bullpen decision board

Best available matchup for either side

The board now shows only the highest-ranked active reliever against a left-handed hitter and a right-handed hitter. Workload availability, role, season performance, and handedness all remain visible.

Left-handed batter94.7

Erik Sabrowski

LHP · available · 5 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup100.0%Performance79.0%
Right-handed batter85.0

Craig Yoho

RHP · available · 6 days rest

Availability100.0%Matchup70.0%Performance64.1%
Story leads

Team Headlines

Subject Reporting lead Score
Chase DeLauter Chase DeLauter is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 87.7
Parker Messick Parker Messick is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 84.5
Erik Sabrowski Erik Sabrowski is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 83.1
Cade Smith Cade Smith is limiting opponent production at an elite rate 82.7
Gavin Williams Gavin Williams’s Sweeper: 87.5 mph, 43.3% whiffs 79.3
Nathaniel Lowe Nathaniel Lowe is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases 78.1
Research status: this automated report is a reporting foundation, not a finished scouting report. Active rosters are date-stamped; injuries, same-day transactions, probable pitchers, and opponent context still require pregame confirmation.