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The SABRhood

MLB analysis for fans, journalists, and broadcasters.

Intelligence for the ’hood

See the game before the box score explains it.

The SABRhood combines pitch-level research, daily signals, simulation, history, and journalistic reporting for fans and broadcasters.

Open today’s headlines Explore today’s projections

Built for
FansUnderstand the game beyond the box score.
BroadcastersBuild game-day prep from one research desk.
JournalistsFind the next lead in the Trend Engine.
Headliners

Find headlines from different angles every day.

The engine hand picks new stories to keep things fresh.

Offensive race95.5

Yordan Alvarez

Houston Astros

Yordan Alvarez is building one of baseball’s strongest offensive cases

OPS 0.998; race score 97.6.

Run prevention93.7

Jacob Misiorowski

Milwaukee Brewers

Jacob Misiorowski is limiting opponent production at an elite rate

OPS allowed 0.475; race score 95.4.

Team intelligence87.4

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers has a new league-wide reporting lead

Los Angeles Dodgers ranks 1st in run generation and 1st in pitching performance, with a usable bullpen and 3 recent risers.

Milestone85.8

Freddie Freeman

LAD

Freddie Freeman reached 2,500 career hits

Career estimate 2,558.

Open the complete Story Engine
The Trend Engine

The winds have changed, where are these players heading now?

Our engine searches for the players with the most movement against there season averages.

Hitter change profile

Jonah Cox

San Francisco Giants | RHB

66.4
Season PA100OPS0.794Est. wOBA0.337Samplemoderate
Biggest changestrikeout rate +4.40 z

Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 4.4 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 0th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS78th
0.794
Est. wOBA74th
0.337
Hard-hit rate71st
43.9%
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
Strikeout rate+4.40 z
Recent 22.4% vs baseline 52.9%
Cooling50Improving
Broadcast read: Strikeout rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 4.4 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 0th percentile. Recent sample: 49 PA; prior sample: 51 PA.
Hitter change profile

Jake Bauers

Milwaukee Brewers | LHB

65.8
Season PA520OPS0.882Est. wOBA0.380Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate +4.36 z

Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 4.4 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 100th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS97th
0.882
Est. wOBA99th
0.380
Hard-hit rate96th
52.9%
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
Walk rate+4.36 z
Recent 37.0% vs baseline 14.3%
Cooling50Improving
Broadcast read: Walk rate is the largest recent shift: improving by 4.4 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 100th percentile. Recent sample: 46 PA; prior sample: 474 PA.
Pitcher change profile

Sean Burke

Chicago White Sox | RHP

63.2
Season BF654OPS allowed0.682Est. wOBA allowed0.298Samplestrong
Biggest changewalk rate allowed -3.74 z

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 43rd percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed57th
0.682
Est. wOBA allowed58th
0.298
Hard-hit rate allowed43rd
38.6%
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
Walk rate allowed-3.74 z
Recent 25.9% vs baseline 7.0%
Cooling50Improving
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: declining by 3.7 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 43rd percentile. Recent sample: 54 BF; prior sample: 600 BF.
Pitcher change profile

Riley Cornelio

Washington Nationals | RHP

58.4
Season BF116OPS allowed0.677Est. wOBA allowed0.305Samplemoderate
Biggest changewalk rate allowed +4.02 z

Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 4.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 0th percentile.

Season contextMLB percentile
OPS allowed60th
0.677
Est. wOBA allowed50th
0.305
Hard-hit rate allowed0th
48.5%
0League midpoint100
What changedRecent vs earlier season
Walk rate allowed+4.02 z
Recent 0.0% vs baseline 20.8%
Cooling50Improving
Broadcast read: Walk rate allowed is the largest recent shift: improving by 4.0 standard deviations versus the MLB change pattern. Season level: 0th percentile. Recent sample: 20 BF; prior sample: 96 BF.
Open the full Player Change Engine
Career Path Engine

Where have careers like this gone next?

Games, age, offensive shape, and historical survival turn today’s player line into a range of career paths.

CIN · 121 career gamesStrong neighbor fit

Sal Stewart

At 121 career games, Sal Stewart’s historical neighbors point to a median 1,503 more games. The closest current career shape is David Wright.

Legacy ProjectionNo Hall yet

The comparable group has not usually finished on a Hall-level path.

Closest pathDavid WrightProjected AVG / OBP / SLG.274 / .340 / .468Expected HR pace20.8 per 600 PA
2027 estimate25 HR681 PA · .274 / .340 / .468Regular Role
2028 estimate25 HR681 PA · .274 / .340 / .468Regular Role
2029 estimate25 HR681 PA · .274 / .340 / .468Regular Role
ARI · 582 career gamesStrong neighbor fit

Corbin Carroll

At 582 career games, Corbin Carroll’s historical neighbors point to a median 1,400 more games. The closest current career shape is Barry Bonds.

Legacy ProjectionHall bound?

This career shape frequently appears beside eventual Hall of Famers.

Closest pathBarry BondsProjected AVG / OBP / SLG.274 / .351 / .476Expected HR pace23.0 per 600 PA
2027 estimate26 HR703 PA · .274 / .351 / .476Regular Role
2028 estimate26 HR703 PA · .274 / .351 / .476Regular Role
2029 estimate26 HR703 PA · .274 / .351 / .476Regular Role
WSN · 194 career gamesStrong neighbor fit

Daylen Lile

At 194 career games, Daylen Lile’s historical neighbors point to a median 1,534 more games. The closest current career shape is Brett Lawrie.

Legacy ProjectionNo Hall yet

The comparable group has not usually finished on a Hall-level path.

Closest pathBrett LawrieProjected AVG / OBP / SLG.278 / .332 / .449Expected HR pace18.2 per 600 PA
2027 estimate20 HR657 PA · .278 / .332 / .449Regular Role
2028 estimate20 HR657 PA · .278 / .332 / .449Regular Role
2029 estimate19 HR641 PA · .278 / .332 / .449Regular Role
Open the Career Path Engine
Simulation center preview

Probabilities with the uncertainty left in

The future daily board will report a lean, a score range, and the factors behind the number — never a naked percentage.

Game 1 · scheduled slateClear lean
AwayMinnesota Twins35.5%
HomeDetroit Tigers64.5%
Mean score4.4 – 5.6Model total10.0One-run game31.9%
Detroit Tigers 64.5%20,000 draws · confirmed orders · matched starters
Game 2 · scheduled slateNarrow lean
AwayToronto Blue Jays41.3%
HomeAthletics58.7%
Mean score3.8 – 4.5Model total8.3One-run game36.4%
Athletics 58.7%20,000 draws · conditional orders · matched starters
Game 3 · scheduled slateNarrow lean
AwaySt. Louis Cardinals40.9%
HomeSan Francisco Giants59.1%
Mean score3.8 – 4.4Model total8.2One-run game36.5%
San Francisco Giants 59.1%20,000 draws · conditional orders · matched starters
Preview the complete projection board
From our writers

Stories from the Sabrhood

Original stories crafted from our own research engine.

Artwork for Caleb Durbin is Digging Deep
Boston Red Sox | Hitting

Caleb Durbin is Digging Deep

There is a heat wave in Boston, centralized entirely in Caleb Durbin’s bat.

June 29, 2026Read story →
Artwork for Breaking Down Bello
Boston Red Sox | Pitching

Breaking Down Bello

A pitch-level look at Brayan Bello’s arsenal, results, and changing approach.

June 10, 2026Read story →
Artwork for A.J. Ewing Gets the Call
New York Mets | Prospects

A.J. Ewing Gets the Call

Can an early-season call-up change the direction of a club searching for a spark?

May 12, 2026Read story →
Open the full article archive
Around the league

Complete team reports

Taking you to every clubhouse around the league.

Rank Team Index Run gen. Pitching Risers Pen Recent riser
1 Los Angeles Dodgers 87.4 86.4 88.4 3 usable Teoscar Hernández (Hitter)
2 Milwaukee Brewers 84.2 85.2 83.1 0 taxed Jackson Chourio (Hitter)
3 New York Yankees 74.3 62.6 86.0 1 rested Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Hitter)
4 Boston Red Sox 74.0 61.4 86.6 0 taxed Trevor Story (Hitter)
5 Philadelphia Phillies 70.2 63.3 77.2 0 rested Aaron Nola (Pitcher)
6 Tampa Bay Rays 69.9 58.6 81.2 2 usable Tyler Wells (Pitcher)
7 Pittsburgh Pirates 66.6 70.5 62.6 1 rested Carmen Mlodzinski (Pitcher)
8 Atlanta Braves 62.0 47.1 76.9 2 usable Ha-Seong Kim (Hitter)
Open all 30 team reports

Research catered to you

Here to answer all of YOUR baseball questions.

Awards races, season leaders, matchup splits, daily historical notes, simulations, and reporting leads—organized around the questions baseball people actually ask.

Player intelligence Player Change Engine Career Path Engine Performance races Story Engine Matchup edges Team pulse History desk Daily newsletter Research archive Broadcast services Read the methodology

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